The Impacts of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in China
The Indian meal moth <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) is a notorious stored-grain pest that can be found in most parts of China. The corpses, excretions, and other secretions of <i>P. interpunctella</i> larvae cause serious grain pollution, serio...
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MDPI AG
2022-07-01
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| Series: | Insects |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/13/7/636 |
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| author | Jinyu Zhao Chengfei Song Li Ma Xizhong Yan Juan Shi Chi Hao |
| author_facet | Jinyu Zhao Chengfei Song Li Ma Xizhong Yan Juan Shi Chi Hao |
| author_sort | Jinyu Zhao |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The Indian meal moth <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) is a notorious stored-grain pest that can be found in most parts of China. The corpses, excretions, and other secretions of <i>P. interpunctella</i> larvae cause serious grain pollution, seriously affecting the nutritional and economic value of stored grain in China. To elucidate the potential distribution of <i>P. interpunctella</i> in China, we used the CLIMEX 4.0 model to project the potential distribution of the pest using historical climate data (1960–1990) and estimated future climate data (2030, 2050, and 2070). Under the historical climate situation, <i>P. interpunctella</i> was distributed in most areas of China, and its highly favorable habitats account for 48.14% of its total potential distribution. Because of temperature change in the future climate, suitable habitats will increase in the eastern part of Qinghai and will decrease in the mid-eastern, northeastern, and southeastern parts of China. Under these scenarios, the area of this pest’s highly favorable habitat will be reduced by 1.24 million km<sup>2</sup>, and its proportion will decrease to about 28.48%. These predicted outcomes will help to distinguish the impact of climate change on the potential distribution of <i>P. interpunctella</i>, thereby providing important information to design early forecasting and strategies to prevent pest harm to stored grain. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T03:20:16Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-56120f5f836347d4bdb61b15287ab1cb |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2075-4450 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T03:20:16Z |
| publishDate | 2022-07-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Insects |
| spelling | doaj.art-56120f5f836347d4bdb61b15287ab1cb2023-12-03T15:11:54ZengMDPI AGInsects2075-44502022-07-0113763610.3390/insects13070636The Impacts of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in ChinaJinyu Zhao0Chengfei Song1Li Ma2Xizhong Yan3Juan Shi4Chi Hao5College of Plant Protection, Shanxi Agricultural University, Jinzhong 030801, ChinaCollege of Plant Protection, Shanxi Agricultural University, Jinzhong 030801, ChinaCollege of Plant Protection, Shanxi Agricultural University, Jinzhong 030801, ChinaCollege of Plant Protection, Shanxi Agricultural University, Jinzhong 030801, ChinaBeijing Key Laboratory for Forest Pest Control, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, ChinaCollege of Plant Protection, Shanxi Agricultural University, Jinzhong 030801, ChinaThe Indian meal moth <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) is a notorious stored-grain pest that can be found in most parts of China. The corpses, excretions, and other secretions of <i>P. interpunctella</i> larvae cause serious grain pollution, seriously affecting the nutritional and economic value of stored grain in China. To elucidate the potential distribution of <i>P. interpunctella</i> in China, we used the CLIMEX 4.0 model to project the potential distribution of the pest using historical climate data (1960–1990) and estimated future climate data (2030, 2050, and 2070). Under the historical climate situation, <i>P. interpunctella</i> was distributed in most areas of China, and its highly favorable habitats account for 48.14% of its total potential distribution. Because of temperature change in the future climate, suitable habitats will increase in the eastern part of Qinghai and will decrease in the mid-eastern, northeastern, and southeastern parts of China. Under these scenarios, the area of this pest’s highly favorable habitat will be reduced by 1.24 million km<sup>2</sup>, and its proportion will decrease to about 28.48%. These predicted outcomes will help to distinguish the impact of climate change on the potential distribution of <i>P. interpunctella</i>, thereby providing important information to design early forecasting and strategies to prevent pest harm to stored grain.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/13/7/636climate change<i>Plodia interpunctella</i>CLIMEXpotential distributionprediction |
| spellingShingle | Jinyu Zhao Chengfei Song Li Ma Xizhong Yan Juan Shi Chi Hao The Impacts of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in China Insects climate change <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> CLIMEX potential distribution prediction |
| title | The Impacts of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in China |
| title_full | The Impacts of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in China |
| title_fullStr | The Impacts of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in China |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Impacts of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in China |
| title_short | The Impacts of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in China |
| title_sort | impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of i plodia interpunctella i hubner lepidoptera pyralidae in china |
| topic | climate change <i>Plodia interpunctella</i> CLIMEX potential distribution prediction |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/13/7/636 |
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