Globalization and Conflict: Welfare, Distribution,and Political Unrest

The consequences of globalization for the development of a more peaceful world remain highly controversial. This article seeks to clarify the impact that the globalization of the economy may have on civil war and political instability. Liberals argue that countries heavily dependent on the global ec...

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Main Authors: Ranveig Gissinger, Nels Petter Gleditsch
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University Library System, University of Pittsburgh 2015-08-01
Series:Journal of World-Systems Research
Online Access:http://jwsr.pitt.edu/ojs/index.php/jwsr/article/view/136
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author Ranveig Gissinger
Nels Petter Gleditsch
author_facet Ranveig Gissinger
Nels Petter Gleditsch
author_sort Ranveig Gissinger
collection DOAJ
description The consequences of globalization for the development of a more peaceful world remain highly controversial. This article seeks to clarify the impact that the globalization of the economy may have on civil war and political instability. Liberals argue that countries heavily dependent on the global economy (whether measured by trade or investment) are likely to experience higher economic growth, greater affluence, more democracy, and increasingly peaceful conditions at home and abroad. In stark contrast, most dependency theorists argue that high levels of trade and investment tend to generate greater economic inequality. Relative deprivation theory suggests that such inequality will increase the risk of political instability. From these two broad perspectives, a set of hypotheses is developed and tested on a global dataset for the period 1965-93. The consequences of an open economy prove to be quite complex. A high level of trade does generate more domestic peace; at the same time, direct foreign investment also creates conditions conducive to political instability. However, the consequences of trade are dependent on what is being exported. Exports of manufactured goods create high levels of welfare and equality, while exports of agricultural products promote poverty and inequality. Inequality emerges as but one of many factors which lead to political instability.
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spelling doaj.art-569d8f2777434917b8d3617e1c2ed5342022-12-22T03:13:02ZengUniversity Library System, University of PittsburghJournal of World-Systems Research1076-156X2015-08-015232536510.5195/jwsr.1999.136130Globalization and Conflict: Welfare, Distribution,and Political UnrestRanveig Gissinger0Nels Petter Gleditsch1Norwegian University of Science and TechnologyNorwegian University of Science and TechnologyThe consequences of globalization for the development of a more peaceful world remain highly controversial. This article seeks to clarify the impact that the globalization of the economy may have on civil war and political instability. Liberals argue that countries heavily dependent on the global economy (whether measured by trade or investment) are likely to experience higher economic growth, greater affluence, more democracy, and increasingly peaceful conditions at home and abroad. In stark contrast, most dependency theorists argue that high levels of trade and investment tend to generate greater economic inequality. Relative deprivation theory suggests that such inequality will increase the risk of political instability. From these two broad perspectives, a set of hypotheses is developed and tested on a global dataset for the period 1965-93. The consequences of an open economy prove to be quite complex. A high level of trade does generate more domestic peace; at the same time, direct foreign investment also creates conditions conducive to political instability. However, the consequences of trade are dependent on what is being exported. Exports of manufactured goods create high levels of welfare and equality, while exports of agricultural products promote poverty and inequality. Inequality emerges as but one of many factors which lead to political instability.http://jwsr.pitt.edu/ojs/index.php/jwsr/article/view/136
spellingShingle Ranveig Gissinger
Nels Petter Gleditsch
Globalization and Conflict: Welfare, Distribution,and Political Unrest
Journal of World-Systems Research
title Globalization and Conflict: Welfare, Distribution,and Political Unrest
title_full Globalization and Conflict: Welfare, Distribution,and Political Unrest
title_fullStr Globalization and Conflict: Welfare, Distribution,and Political Unrest
title_full_unstemmed Globalization and Conflict: Welfare, Distribution,and Political Unrest
title_short Globalization and Conflict: Welfare, Distribution,and Political Unrest
title_sort globalization and conflict welfare distribution and political unrest
url http://jwsr.pitt.edu/ojs/index.php/jwsr/article/view/136
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