Research on the joint fluctuation laws between locational marginal price and renewables based on complex networks: A case study in Independent System Operator New England

Abstract The growing share of renewable energy has an increasingly significant impact on the electricity market. Locational marginal price (LMP), as a sensitive price signal, has a potential but considerable correlation with renewable energy generation. In this context, this paper focuses on the joi...

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Main Authors: Ding Liu, Cunbin Li, Defu Zhao, Qiqing Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-12-01
Series:Energy Science & Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.467
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author Ding Liu
Cunbin Li
Defu Zhao
Qiqing Wang
author_facet Ding Liu
Cunbin Li
Defu Zhao
Qiqing Wang
author_sort Ding Liu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The growing share of renewable energy has an increasingly significant impact on the electricity market. Locational marginal price (LMP), as a sensitive price signal, has a potential but considerable correlation with renewable energy generation. In this context, this paper focuses on the joint fluctuation laws between LMP and renewables consumed to generate electricity. At first, LMP and renewables consumption data from Independent System Operator New England (ISO‐NE) are collected and preprocessed. Then, through highly comparative time‐series analysis (hctsa), it is found that discrete symbolization features have effective description ability. Therefore, a coarse‐grained method is conducted to convert the real matrix data into a symbol vector based on numerical distribution analysis. Next, joint fluctuation complex networks are constructed according to the symbol vector. From a global perspective, the joint fluctuation network follows an exponential distribution and exhibits hierarchical modularity. From a local perspective, the joint fluctuation network follows a power‐law distribution. The research results of this paper provide a new perspective to understand the evolution of the electricity market with large‐scale renewable energy and have reference value for identifying the valuable joint fluctuation patterns and improving the LMP forecast results.
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spelling doaj.art-56a63618bd794637abfebcb128037dc22022-12-21T18:18:11ZengWileyEnergy Science & Engineering2050-05052019-12-01762866288310.1002/ese3.467Research on the joint fluctuation laws between locational marginal price and renewables based on complex networks: A case study in Independent System Operator New EnglandDing Liu0Cunbin Li1Defu Zhao2Qiqing Wang3School of Economics and Management North China Electric Power University Beijing ChinaSchool of Economics and Management North China Electric Power University Beijing ChinaSchool of Economics and Management North China Electric Power University Beijing ChinaSchool of Economics and Management North China Electric Power University Beijing ChinaAbstract The growing share of renewable energy has an increasingly significant impact on the electricity market. Locational marginal price (LMP), as a sensitive price signal, has a potential but considerable correlation with renewable energy generation. In this context, this paper focuses on the joint fluctuation laws between LMP and renewables consumed to generate electricity. At first, LMP and renewables consumption data from Independent System Operator New England (ISO‐NE) are collected and preprocessed. Then, through highly comparative time‐series analysis (hctsa), it is found that discrete symbolization features have effective description ability. Therefore, a coarse‐grained method is conducted to convert the real matrix data into a symbol vector based on numerical distribution analysis. Next, joint fluctuation complex networks are constructed according to the symbol vector. From a global perspective, the joint fluctuation network follows an exponential distribution and exhibits hierarchical modularity. From a local perspective, the joint fluctuation network follows a power‐law distribution. The research results of this paper provide a new perspective to understand the evolution of the electricity market with large‐scale renewable energy and have reference value for identifying the valuable joint fluctuation patterns and improving the LMP forecast results.https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.467complex networkjoint fluctuation lawLMPrenewable energy
spellingShingle Ding Liu
Cunbin Li
Defu Zhao
Qiqing Wang
Research on the joint fluctuation laws between locational marginal price and renewables based on complex networks: A case study in Independent System Operator New England
Energy Science & Engineering
complex network
joint fluctuation law
LMP
renewable energy
title Research on the joint fluctuation laws between locational marginal price and renewables based on complex networks: A case study in Independent System Operator New England
title_full Research on the joint fluctuation laws between locational marginal price and renewables based on complex networks: A case study in Independent System Operator New England
title_fullStr Research on the joint fluctuation laws between locational marginal price and renewables based on complex networks: A case study in Independent System Operator New England
title_full_unstemmed Research on the joint fluctuation laws between locational marginal price and renewables based on complex networks: A case study in Independent System Operator New England
title_short Research on the joint fluctuation laws between locational marginal price and renewables based on complex networks: A case study in Independent System Operator New England
title_sort research on the joint fluctuation laws between locational marginal price and renewables based on complex networks a case study in independent system operator new england
topic complex network
joint fluctuation law
LMP
renewable energy
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.467
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AT cunbinli researchonthejointfluctuationlawsbetweenlocationalmarginalpriceandrenewablesbasedoncomplexnetworksacasestudyinindependentsystemoperatornewengland
AT defuzhao researchonthejointfluctuationlawsbetweenlocationalmarginalpriceandrenewablesbasedoncomplexnetworksacasestudyinindependentsystemoperatornewengland
AT qiqingwang researchonthejointfluctuationlawsbetweenlocationalmarginalpriceandrenewablesbasedoncomplexnetworksacasestudyinindependentsystemoperatornewengland