Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis
Conventional theory suggests that people’s confidence about a decision reflects their subjective probability that the decision was correct. By studying decisions with multiple alternatives, the authors show that confidence reports instead reflect the difference in probabilities between the chosen an...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2020-04-01
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| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15581-6 |
| _version_ | 1818841248607240192 |
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| author | Hsin-Hung Li Wei Ji Ma |
| author_facet | Hsin-Hung Li Wei Ji Ma |
| author_sort | Hsin-Hung Li |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Conventional theory suggests that people’s confidence about a decision reflects their subjective probability that the decision was correct. By studying decisions with multiple alternatives, the authors show that confidence reports instead reflect the difference in probabilities between the chosen and the next-best alternative. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-19T04:23:04Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-56c6a826a4e64f42bc98a0c13199112c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2041-1723 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-19T04:23:04Z |
| publishDate | 2020-04-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nature Communications |
| spelling | doaj.art-56c6a826a4e64f42bc98a0c13199112c2022-12-21T20:36:06ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232020-04-0111111110.1038/s41467-020-15581-6Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesisHsin-Hung Li0Wei Ji Ma1Department of Psychology, New York UniversityDepartment of Psychology, New York UniversityConventional theory suggests that people’s confidence about a decision reflects their subjective probability that the decision was correct. By studying decisions with multiple alternatives, the authors show that confidence reports instead reflect the difference in probabilities between the chosen and the next-best alternative.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15581-6 |
| spellingShingle | Hsin-Hung Li Wei Ji Ma Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis Nature Communications |
| title | Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis |
| title_full | Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis |
| title_fullStr | Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis |
| title_short | Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis |
| title_sort | confidence reports in decision making with multiple alternatives violate the bayesian confidence hypothesis |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15581-6 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT hsinhungli confidencereportsindecisionmakingwithmultiplealternativesviolatethebayesianconfidencehypothesis AT weijima confidencereportsindecisionmakingwithmultiplealternativesviolatethebayesianconfidencehypothesis |