Hospitalization Patient Forecasting Based on Multi–Task Deep Learning

Forecasting the number of hospitalization patients is important for hospital management. The number of hospitalization patients depends on three types of patients, namely admission patients, discharged patients, and inpatients. However, previous works focused on one type of patients rather than the...

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Main Authors: Zhou Min, Huang Xiaoxiao, Liu Haipeng, Zheng Dingchang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2023-03-01
Series:International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.34768/amcs-2023-0012
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author Zhou Min
Huang Xiaoxiao
Liu Haipeng
Zheng Dingchang
author_facet Zhou Min
Huang Xiaoxiao
Liu Haipeng
Zheng Dingchang
author_sort Zhou Min
collection DOAJ
description Forecasting the number of hospitalization patients is important for hospital management. The number of hospitalization patients depends on three types of patients, namely admission patients, discharged patients, and inpatients. However, previous works focused on one type of patients rather than the three types of patients together. In this paper, we propose a multi-task forecasting model to forecast the three types of patients simultaneously. We integrate three neural network modules into a unified model for forecasting. Besides, we extract date features of admission and discharged patient flows to improve forecasting accuracy. The algorithm is trained and evaluated on a real-world data set of a one-year daily observation of patient numbers in a hospital. We compare the performance of our model with eight baselines over two real-word data sets. The experimental results show that our approach outperforms other baseline algorithms significantly.
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spelling doaj.art-56da901aea9443d0a616fa34047560082023-04-11T17:28:19ZengSciendoInternational Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science2083-84922023-03-0133115116210.34768/amcs-2023-0012Hospitalization Patient Forecasting Based on Multi–Task Deep LearningZhou Min0Huang Xiaoxiao1Liu Haipeng2Zheng Dingchang31The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No.79 Qingchun Rd., 310003, Hangzhou, China1The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No.79 Qingchun Rd., 310003, Hangzhou, China2Research Centre for Intelligent Healthcare, Coventry University, Priory Street, CV1 5FB, Coventry, UK2Research Centre for Intelligent Healthcare, Coventry University, Priory Street, CV1 5FB, Coventry, UKForecasting the number of hospitalization patients is important for hospital management. The number of hospitalization patients depends on three types of patients, namely admission patients, discharged patients, and inpatients. However, previous works focused on one type of patients rather than the three types of patients together. In this paper, we propose a multi-task forecasting model to forecast the three types of patients simultaneously. We integrate three neural network modules into a unified model for forecasting. Besides, we extract date features of admission and discharged patient flows to improve forecasting accuracy. The algorithm is trained and evaluated on a real-world data set of a one-year daily observation of patient numbers in a hospital. We compare the performance of our model with eight baselines over two real-word data sets. The experimental results show that our approach outperforms other baseline algorithms significantly.https://doi.org/10.34768/amcs-2023-0012hospitalization patientsforecastingneural networkmultitask learning
spellingShingle Zhou Min
Huang Xiaoxiao
Liu Haipeng
Zheng Dingchang
Hospitalization Patient Forecasting Based on Multi–Task Deep Learning
International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science
hospitalization patients
forecasting
neural network
multitask learning
title Hospitalization Patient Forecasting Based on Multi–Task Deep Learning
title_full Hospitalization Patient Forecasting Based on Multi–Task Deep Learning
title_fullStr Hospitalization Patient Forecasting Based on Multi–Task Deep Learning
title_full_unstemmed Hospitalization Patient Forecasting Based on Multi–Task Deep Learning
title_short Hospitalization Patient Forecasting Based on Multi–Task Deep Learning
title_sort hospitalization patient forecasting based on multi task deep learning
topic hospitalization patients
forecasting
neural network
multitask learning
url https://doi.org/10.34768/amcs-2023-0012
work_keys_str_mv AT zhoumin hospitalizationpatientforecastingbasedonmultitaskdeeplearning
AT huangxiaoxiao hospitalizationpatientforecastingbasedonmultitaskdeeplearning
AT liuhaipeng hospitalizationpatientforecastingbasedonmultitaskdeeplearning
AT zhengdingchang hospitalizationpatientforecastingbasedonmultitaskdeeplearning