Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS (SHAPES): protocol for a prospective cohort study

Introduction Maternal obesity increases the risk of multiple maternal and infant pregnancy complications, such as gestational diabetes and pre-eclampsia. Current UK guidelines use body mass index (BMI) to identify which women require additional care due to increased risk of complications. However, B...

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Main Authors: Louise Hayes, Luke Vale, Dawn Teare, John Allotey, Nicola Heslehurst, Theophile Bigirumurame, Raya Vinogradov, Giang T Nguyen, Susan C Lennie, Victoria Murtha, Rebecca Tothill, Janine Smith
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2023-09-01
Series:BMJ Open
Online Access:https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/13/9/e073545.full
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author Louise Hayes
Luke Vale
Dawn Teare
John Allotey
Nicola Heslehurst
Theophile Bigirumurame
Raya Vinogradov
Giang T Nguyen
Susan C Lennie
Victoria Murtha
Rebecca Tothill
Janine Smith
author_facet Louise Hayes
Luke Vale
Dawn Teare
John Allotey
Nicola Heslehurst
Theophile Bigirumurame
Raya Vinogradov
Giang T Nguyen
Susan C Lennie
Victoria Murtha
Rebecca Tothill
Janine Smith
author_sort Louise Hayes
collection DOAJ
description Introduction Maternal obesity increases the risk of multiple maternal and infant pregnancy complications, such as gestational diabetes and pre-eclampsia. Current UK guidelines use body mass index (BMI) to identify which women require additional care due to increased risk of complications. However, BMI may not accurately predict which women will develop complications during pregnancy as it does not determine amount and distribution of adipose tissue. Some adiposity measures (eg, waist circumference, ultrasound measures of abdominal visceral fat) can better identify where body fat is stored, which may be useful in predicting those women who need additional care.Methods and analysis This prospective cohort study (SHAPES, Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS) aims to evaluate the prognostic performance of adiposity measures (either alone or in combination with other adiposity, sociodemographic or clinical measures) to estimate risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. Pregnant women (n=1400) will be recruited at their first trimester ultrasound scan (11+2–14+1 weeks’) at Newcastle upon Tyne National Health Service Foundation Trust, UK. Early pregnancy adiposity measures and clinical and sociodemographic data will be collected. Routine data on maternal and infant pregnancy outcomes will be collected from routine hospital records. Regression methods will be used to compare the different adiposity measures with BMI in terms of their ability to predict pregnancy complications. If no individual measure performs better than BMI, multivariable models will be developed and evaluated to identify the most parsimonious model. The apparent performance of the developed model will be summarised using calibration, discrimination and internal validation analyses.Ethics and dissemination Ethical favourable opinion has been obtained from the North East: Newcastle & North Tyneside 1 Research Ethics Committee (REC reference: 22/NE/0035). All participants provide informed consent to take part in SHAPES. Planned dissemination includes peer-reviewed publications and additional dissemination appropriate to target audiences, including policy briefs for policymakers, media/social-media coverage for public and conferences for researchTrial registration number ISRCTN82185177.
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spelling doaj.art-56ef05f78c804680826f1954a48aedf62023-10-01T22:55:08ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552023-09-0113910.1136/bmjopen-2023-073545Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS (SHAPES): protocol for a prospective cohort studyLouise Hayes0Luke Vale1Dawn Teare2John Allotey3Nicola Heslehurst4Theophile Bigirumurame5Raya Vinogradov6Giang T Nguyen7Susan C Lennie8Victoria Murtha9Rebecca Tothill10Janine Smith11Population Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKInstitute of Metabolism and Systems Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UKPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKMaternity Services, Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKMaternity Services, Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UKJanine Smith Practice, Newcastle upon Tyne, Tyneside, UKIntroduction Maternal obesity increases the risk of multiple maternal and infant pregnancy complications, such as gestational diabetes and pre-eclampsia. Current UK guidelines use body mass index (BMI) to identify which women require additional care due to increased risk of complications. However, BMI may not accurately predict which women will develop complications during pregnancy as it does not determine amount and distribution of adipose tissue. Some adiposity measures (eg, waist circumference, ultrasound measures of abdominal visceral fat) can better identify where body fat is stored, which may be useful in predicting those women who need additional care.Methods and analysis This prospective cohort study (SHAPES, Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS) aims to evaluate the prognostic performance of adiposity measures (either alone or in combination with other adiposity, sociodemographic or clinical measures) to estimate risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. Pregnant women (n=1400) will be recruited at their first trimester ultrasound scan (11+2–14+1 weeks’) at Newcastle upon Tyne National Health Service Foundation Trust, UK. Early pregnancy adiposity measures and clinical and sociodemographic data will be collected. Routine data on maternal and infant pregnancy outcomes will be collected from routine hospital records. Regression methods will be used to compare the different adiposity measures with BMI in terms of their ability to predict pregnancy complications. If no individual measure performs better than BMI, multivariable models will be developed and evaluated to identify the most parsimonious model. The apparent performance of the developed model will be summarised using calibration, discrimination and internal validation analyses.Ethics and dissemination Ethical favourable opinion has been obtained from the North East: Newcastle & North Tyneside 1 Research Ethics Committee (REC reference: 22/NE/0035). All participants provide informed consent to take part in SHAPES. Planned dissemination includes peer-reviewed publications and additional dissemination appropriate to target audiences, including policy briefs for policymakers, media/social-media coverage for public and conferences for researchTrial registration number ISRCTN82185177.https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/13/9/e073545.full
spellingShingle Louise Hayes
Luke Vale
Dawn Teare
John Allotey
Nicola Heslehurst
Theophile Bigirumurame
Raya Vinogradov
Giang T Nguyen
Susan C Lennie
Victoria Murtha
Rebecca Tothill
Janine Smith
Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS (SHAPES): protocol for a prospective cohort study
BMJ Open
title Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS (SHAPES): protocol for a prospective cohort study
title_full Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS (SHAPES): protocol for a prospective cohort study
title_fullStr Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS (SHAPES): protocol for a prospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS (SHAPES): protocol for a prospective cohort study
title_short Study of How Adiposity in Pregnancy has an Effect on outcomeS (SHAPES): protocol for a prospective cohort study
title_sort study of how adiposity in pregnancy has an effect on outcomes shapes protocol for a prospective cohort study
url https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/13/9/e073545.full
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