Exploring the dynamic connectedness between commodities and African equities

AbstractMarket participants, regulators, and practitioners might have disregarded the prospective integration of African markets and the integration of commodity markets with traditional markets. We examine the nonhomogeneous return spillovers and contagion between 12 commodity sectors and African e...

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Main Authors: Samuel Kwaku Agyei, Ahmed Bossman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Cogent Economics & Finance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2023.2186035
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author Samuel Kwaku Agyei
Ahmed Bossman
author_facet Samuel Kwaku Agyei
Ahmed Bossman
author_sort Samuel Kwaku Agyei
collection DOAJ
description AbstractMarket participants, regulators, and practitioners might have disregarded the prospective integration of African markets and the integration of commodity markets with traditional markets. We examine the nonhomogeneous return spillovers and contagion between 12 commodity sectors and African equities under the time-varying parameter vector autoregressions connectedness method. With daily datasets from February 2010 to February 2022, the average connectedness analysis suggests a low spillover transmission between commodities and respective African equity markets. We reveal that the return connectedness between commodities and African equities is largely driven by idiosyncratic spillovers. The results from the dynamic connectedness analysis reveal significant spillovers between the studied markets. Our findings underscore financial market contagion during stressed trading periods, suggesting that global commodity and African equity markets are not entirely immune to global market shocks. Therefore, prompt management of commodity price volatility and the integration between economies could result in controlled impacts of financial market contagion. Portfolio managers should deploy effective risk management strategies that capitalise on the nonhomogeneous roles of some assets as diversifiers, hedges, and safe havens across time horizons. Additional implications of our findings are discussed.
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spelling doaj.art-57468cf1b5684277a42e966cd2df48292023-10-17T10:51:07ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Economics & Finance2332-20392023-12-0111110.1080/23322039.2023.2186035Exploring the dynamic connectedness between commodities and African equitiesSamuel Kwaku Agyei0Ahmed Bossman1Department of Finance, School of Business, CC-191-7613, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, GhanaDepartment of Finance, School of Business, CC-191-7613, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, GhanaAbstractMarket participants, regulators, and practitioners might have disregarded the prospective integration of African markets and the integration of commodity markets with traditional markets. We examine the nonhomogeneous return spillovers and contagion between 12 commodity sectors and African equities under the time-varying parameter vector autoregressions connectedness method. With daily datasets from February 2010 to February 2022, the average connectedness analysis suggests a low spillover transmission between commodities and respective African equity markets. We reveal that the return connectedness between commodities and African equities is largely driven by idiosyncratic spillovers. The results from the dynamic connectedness analysis reveal significant spillovers between the studied markets. Our findings underscore financial market contagion during stressed trading periods, suggesting that global commodity and African equity markets are not entirely immune to global market shocks. Therefore, prompt management of commodity price volatility and the integration between economies could result in controlled impacts of financial market contagion. Portfolio managers should deploy effective risk management strategies that capitalise on the nonhomogeneous roles of some assets as diversifiers, hedges, and safe havens across time horizons. Additional implications of our findings are discussed.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2023.2186035commodity classesAfrican equity marketsfinancial market contagionspilloversdynamic connectednessTVP-VAR connectedness
spellingShingle Samuel Kwaku Agyei
Ahmed Bossman
Exploring the dynamic connectedness between commodities and African equities
Cogent Economics & Finance
commodity classes
African equity markets
financial market contagion
spillovers
dynamic connectedness
TVP-VAR connectedness
title Exploring the dynamic connectedness between commodities and African equities
title_full Exploring the dynamic connectedness between commodities and African equities
title_fullStr Exploring the dynamic connectedness between commodities and African equities
title_full_unstemmed Exploring the dynamic connectedness between commodities and African equities
title_short Exploring the dynamic connectedness between commodities and African equities
title_sort exploring the dynamic connectedness between commodities and african equities
topic commodity classes
African equity markets
financial market contagion
spillovers
dynamic connectedness
TVP-VAR connectedness
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2023.2186035
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AT ahmedbossman exploringthedynamicconnectednessbetweencommoditiesandafricanequities