Dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in Brazil (1954-2008)

INTRODUCTION: Sylvatic yellow fever (SYF) is enzootic in Brazil, causing periodic outbreaks in humans living near forest borders or in rural areas. In this study, the cycling patterns of this arbovirosis were analyzed. METHODS: Spectral Fourier analysis was used to capture the periodicity patterns o...

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Main Authors: Fernando Portela Câmara, Ana Luisa Bessa Bacellar Gomes, Luiz Max Fagundes de Carvalho, Luiz Gustavo Veloso Castello
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical (SBMT) 2011-06-01
Series:Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0037-86822011000300006&lng=en&tlng=en
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author Fernando Portela Câmara
Ana Luisa Bessa Bacellar Gomes
Luiz Max Fagundes de Carvalho
Luiz Gustavo Veloso Castello
author_facet Fernando Portela Câmara
Ana Luisa Bessa Bacellar Gomes
Luiz Max Fagundes de Carvalho
Luiz Gustavo Veloso Castello
author_sort Fernando Portela Câmara
collection DOAJ
description INTRODUCTION: Sylvatic yellow fever (SYF) is enzootic in Brazil, causing periodic outbreaks in humans living near forest borders or in rural areas. In this study, the cycling patterns of this arbovirosis were analyzed. METHODS: Spectral Fourier analysis was used to capture the periodicity patterns of SYF in time series. RESULTS: SYF outbreaks have not increased in frequency, only in the number of cases. There are two dominant cycles in SYF outbreaks, a seven year cycle for the central-western region and a 14 year cycle for the northern region. Most of the variance was concentrated in the central-western region and dominated the entire endemic region. CONCLUSIONS: The seven year cycle is predominant in the endemic region of the disease due the greater contribution of variance in the central-western region; however, it was possible identify a 14 cycle that governs SYF outbreaks in the northern region. No periodicities were identified for the remaining geographical regions.
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spelling doaj.art-576357e687d94aef8a0dfc19380b8b932022-12-22T00:24:37ZengSociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical (SBMT)Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical1678-98492011-06-0144329729910.1590/s0037-86822011005000024S0037-86822011000300006Dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in Brazil (1954-2008)Fernando Portela Câmara0Ana Luisa Bessa Bacellar Gomes1Luiz Max Fagundes de Carvalho2Luiz Gustavo Veloso Castello3Universidade Federal do Rio de JaneiroUniversidade Federal do Rio de JaneiroUniversidade Federal do Rio de JaneiroUniversidade Federal do Rio de JaneiroINTRODUCTION: Sylvatic yellow fever (SYF) is enzootic in Brazil, causing periodic outbreaks in humans living near forest borders or in rural areas. In this study, the cycling patterns of this arbovirosis were analyzed. METHODS: Spectral Fourier analysis was used to capture the periodicity patterns of SYF in time series. RESULTS: SYF outbreaks have not increased in frequency, only in the number of cases. There are two dominant cycles in SYF outbreaks, a seven year cycle for the central-western region and a 14 year cycle for the northern region. Most of the variance was concentrated in the central-western region and dominated the entire endemic region. CONCLUSIONS: The seven year cycle is predominant in the endemic region of the disease due the greater contribution of variance in the central-western region; however, it was possible identify a 14 cycle that governs SYF outbreaks in the northern region. No periodicities were identified for the remaining geographical regions.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0037-86822011000300006&lng=en&tlng=enFebre amarela silvestrePeriodicidadeAnálise espectralEpidemiologia
spellingShingle Fernando Portela Câmara
Ana Luisa Bessa Bacellar Gomes
Luiz Max Fagundes de Carvalho
Luiz Gustavo Veloso Castello
Dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in Brazil (1954-2008)
Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical
Febre amarela silvestre
Periodicidade
Análise espectral
Epidemiologia
title Dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in Brazil (1954-2008)
title_full Dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in Brazil (1954-2008)
title_fullStr Dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in Brazil (1954-2008)
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in Brazil (1954-2008)
title_short Dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in Brazil (1954-2008)
title_sort dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in brazil 1954 2008
topic Febre amarela silvestre
Periodicidade
Análise espectral
Epidemiologia
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0037-86822011000300006&lng=en&tlng=en
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