Trends in Temperature, Precipitation, Potential Evapotranspiration, and Water Availability across the Teesta River Basin under 1.5 and 2 °C Temperature Rise Scenarios of CMIP6

Considering the linkages between climate change and water management, a lack of effort has been observed in analyzing the imprints of climate change over the transboundary Teesta river basin, where the changing climatic conditions can trigger substantial changes in eco-hydrological and socio-politic...

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Main Authors: Soumik Das, Pritha Datta, Dreamlee Sharma, Kishor Goswami
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-06-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/6/941
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author Soumik Das
Pritha Datta
Dreamlee Sharma
Kishor Goswami
author_facet Soumik Das
Pritha Datta
Dreamlee Sharma
Kishor Goswami
author_sort Soumik Das
collection DOAJ
description Considering the linkages between climate change and water management, a lack of effort has been observed in analyzing the imprints of climate change over the transboundary Teesta river basin, where the changing climatic conditions can trigger substantial changes in eco-hydrological and socio-politico-economic setups. Therefore, to stimulate effective basin management, we investigated the trends in temperature, precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, and water availability under 1.5 and 2 °C warming levels across the transboundary Teesta river basin. The ensemble median of five bias-corrected model outputs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) was used for this purpose. The results indicate that the temperature is expected to significantly increase (decrease) in the near (far) future, along with an overall significant increasing trend in monsoon precipitation. The evaporation paradox is found in the near future, and the water availability is likely to increase, with some exceptions for the pre-monsoon season. The perpetuation of such changes might result in environmental degradation through snow melting, glacial recession, and floods. Anticipating the changing climatic scenarios and their possible impacts, in this study, we recommend a variety of short- and long-term strategies for the concerned stakeholders to implement the Sustainable Development Goal 13, i.e., “Climate Action”, over the Teesta river basin.
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spelling doaj.art-578717ddd6d547e9a8940b2fe27446bb2023-11-23T15:33:07ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332022-06-0113694110.3390/atmos13060941Trends in Temperature, Precipitation, Potential Evapotranspiration, and Water Availability across the Teesta River Basin under 1.5 and 2 °C Temperature Rise Scenarios of CMIP6Soumik Das0Pritha Datta1Dreamlee Sharma2Kishor Goswami3Department of Humanities and Social Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur 721302, IndiaDepartment of Humanities and Social Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur 721302, IndiaDepartment of Commerce and Management, St. Xavier’s University, Kolkata 700160, IndiaDepartment of Humanities and Social Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur 721302, IndiaConsidering the linkages between climate change and water management, a lack of effort has been observed in analyzing the imprints of climate change over the transboundary Teesta river basin, where the changing climatic conditions can trigger substantial changes in eco-hydrological and socio-politico-economic setups. Therefore, to stimulate effective basin management, we investigated the trends in temperature, precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, and water availability under 1.5 and 2 °C warming levels across the transboundary Teesta river basin. The ensemble median of five bias-corrected model outputs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) was used for this purpose. The results indicate that the temperature is expected to significantly increase (decrease) in the near (far) future, along with an overall significant increasing trend in monsoon precipitation. The evaporation paradox is found in the near future, and the water availability is likely to increase, with some exceptions for the pre-monsoon season. The perpetuation of such changes might result in environmental degradation through snow melting, glacial recession, and floods. Anticipating the changing climatic scenarios and their possible impacts, in this study, we recommend a variety of short- and long-term strategies for the concerned stakeholders to implement the Sustainable Development Goal 13, i.e., “Climate Action”, over the Teesta river basin.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/6/941Teesta rivertransboundaryclimate changeCMIP6water availabilitySouth Asia
spellingShingle Soumik Das
Pritha Datta
Dreamlee Sharma
Kishor Goswami
Trends in Temperature, Precipitation, Potential Evapotranspiration, and Water Availability across the Teesta River Basin under 1.5 and 2 °C Temperature Rise Scenarios of CMIP6
Atmosphere
Teesta river
transboundary
climate change
CMIP6
water availability
South Asia
title Trends in Temperature, Precipitation, Potential Evapotranspiration, and Water Availability across the Teesta River Basin under 1.5 and 2 °C Temperature Rise Scenarios of CMIP6
title_full Trends in Temperature, Precipitation, Potential Evapotranspiration, and Water Availability across the Teesta River Basin under 1.5 and 2 °C Temperature Rise Scenarios of CMIP6
title_fullStr Trends in Temperature, Precipitation, Potential Evapotranspiration, and Water Availability across the Teesta River Basin under 1.5 and 2 °C Temperature Rise Scenarios of CMIP6
title_full_unstemmed Trends in Temperature, Precipitation, Potential Evapotranspiration, and Water Availability across the Teesta River Basin under 1.5 and 2 °C Temperature Rise Scenarios of CMIP6
title_short Trends in Temperature, Precipitation, Potential Evapotranspiration, and Water Availability across the Teesta River Basin under 1.5 and 2 °C Temperature Rise Scenarios of CMIP6
title_sort trends in temperature precipitation potential evapotranspiration and water availability across the teesta river basin under 1 5 and 2 °c temperature rise scenarios of cmip6
topic Teesta river
transboundary
climate change
CMIP6
water availability
South Asia
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/6/941
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