Landscape Metrics Explain the Ecological Susceptibility of Terrestrial Ecosystems

This study examines the effects of the change in the shape of landscape patches, known as landscape structure, on ecological susceptibility, which is defined using the object-oriented method. The aim is to determine whether ecological susceptibility is influenced by the shape of the landscape patch...

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Main Authors: Mustafa Nur Istanbuly, Mohammad Kaboli, Sara Ahmadi, Gouhang Tian, Magdalena Michalak, Bahman Jabbarian Amiri
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: International Association for Landscape Ecology, Chapter Germany 2022-07-01
Series:Landscape Online
Subjects:
Online Access:https://landscape-online.org/index.php/lo/article/view/205
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author Mustafa Nur Istanbuly
Mohammad Kaboli
Sara Ahmadi
Gouhang Tian
Magdalena Michalak
Bahman Jabbarian Amiri
author_facet Mustafa Nur Istanbuly
Mohammad Kaboli
Sara Ahmadi
Gouhang Tian
Magdalena Michalak
Bahman Jabbarian Amiri
author_sort Mustafa Nur Istanbuly
collection DOAJ
description This study examines the effects of the change in the shape of landscape patches, known as landscape structure, on ecological susceptibility, which is defined using the object-oriented method. The aim is to determine whether ecological susceptibility is influenced by the shape of the landscape patches in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea. The multivariate linear regression approach is applied to discover the extent to which the mean, median, and weighted average of the landscape structure metrics can explain the total variations of the ecological susceptibility. To determine the optimal models, an intermodel comparison is conducted using the Akaike information criterion. Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses were performed to determine how sensitive ecological susceptibility is to changes in the variables of the models and how they behave under varying conditions. The models (0.64≥r2≥0.27, p ≤ 0.05) indicate that the landscape structure metrics can be applied to predict ecological susceptibility. Examining the mean, median, and weighted average of the landscape metrics in estimating ecological susceptibility also reveals that the models made by the mean and median values have less uncertainty than those developed by the weighted average. The results show that the regularity or irregularity in the shape of the landscape patches and the degree of contiguity of the land use/land cover patches can significantly affect ecological susceptibility. Closed deciduous broad-leaf forest patches, closed mixed forest patches, and open mixed forest patches can be considered crucial land use/land covers to estimate ecological susceptibility.
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spelling doaj.art-57b877b397244f5198ba3e628d35abab2022-12-22T03:24:23ZengInternational Association for Landscape Ecology, Chapter GermanyLandscape Online1865-15422022-07-019710.3097/LO.2022.1101Landscape Metrics Explain the Ecological Susceptibility of Terrestrial EcosystemsMustafa Nur Istanbuly0Mohammad Kaboli1Sara Ahmadi2Gouhang Tian3Magdalena Michalak4Bahman Jabbarian Amiri5 University of Tehran, Faculty of Natural Resources, Department of Environmental Science, Karaj, IranUniversity of Tehran, Faculty of Natural Resources, Department of Environmental Science, Karaj, IranUniversity of Tehran, Faculty of Natural Resources, Department of Environmental Science, Karaj, IranHenan Agricultural University, College of Landscape Architecture and Art, Henan, ChinaUniversity of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, Department of Regional Economics and the Environment, Lodz, PolandUniversity of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, Department of Regional Economics and the Environment, Lodz, Poland This study examines the effects of the change in the shape of landscape patches, known as landscape structure, on ecological susceptibility, which is defined using the object-oriented method. The aim is to determine whether ecological susceptibility is influenced by the shape of the landscape patches in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea. The multivariate linear regression approach is applied to discover the extent to which the mean, median, and weighted average of the landscape structure metrics can explain the total variations of the ecological susceptibility. To determine the optimal models, an intermodel comparison is conducted using the Akaike information criterion. Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses were performed to determine how sensitive ecological susceptibility is to changes in the variables of the models and how they behave under varying conditions. The models (0.64≥r2≥0.27, p ≤ 0.05) indicate that the landscape structure metrics can be applied to predict ecological susceptibility. Examining the mean, median, and weighted average of the landscape metrics in estimating ecological susceptibility also reveals that the models made by the mean and median values have less uncertainty than those developed by the weighted average. The results show that the regularity or irregularity in the shape of the landscape patches and the degree of contiguity of the land use/land cover patches can significantly affect ecological susceptibility. Closed deciduous broad-leaf forest patches, closed mixed forest patches, and open mixed forest patches can be considered crucial land use/land covers to estimate ecological susceptibility. https://landscape-online.org/index.php/lo/article/view/205SusceptibilityLandscape structureSubjectiveObjectiveModelingSensitivity
spellingShingle Mustafa Nur Istanbuly
Mohammad Kaboli
Sara Ahmadi
Gouhang Tian
Magdalena Michalak
Bahman Jabbarian Amiri
Landscape Metrics Explain the Ecological Susceptibility of Terrestrial Ecosystems
Landscape Online
Susceptibility
Landscape structure
Subjective
Objective
Modeling
Sensitivity
title Landscape Metrics Explain the Ecological Susceptibility of Terrestrial Ecosystems
title_full Landscape Metrics Explain the Ecological Susceptibility of Terrestrial Ecosystems
title_fullStr Landscape Metrics Explain the Ecological Susceptibility of Terrestrial Ecosystems
title_full_unstemmed Landscape Metrics Explain the Ecological Susceptibility of Terrestrial Ecosystems
title_short Landscape Metrics Explain the Ecological Susceptibility of Terrestrial Ecosystems
title_sort landscape metrics explain the ecological susceptibility of terrestrial ecosystems
topic Susceptibility
Landscape structure
Subjective
Objective
Modeling
Sensitivity
url https://landscape-online.org/index.php/lo/article/view/205
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