Noise Trader Risk and Wealth Effect: A Theoretical Framework

This paper discusses the impact of noise trader risk on total consumption and investor consumption. The model predicts that: (1) If noise traders show optimistic beliefs, they will have a restraining effect on the total consumption when the noise trading intensity is high enough, they will expand co...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Cong Chen, Changsheng Hu, Hongxing Yao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/20/3873
Description
Summary:This paper discusses the impact of noise trader risk on total consumption and investor consumption. The model predicts that: (1) If noise traders show optimistic beliefs, they will have a restraining effect on the total consumption when the noise trading intensity is high enough, they will expand consumption at <i>t</i> = 1 and reduce consumption at <i>t</i> = 2, and rational investors will reduce consumption at <i>t</i> = 1 and expand consumption at <i>t</i> = 2; (2) if the beliefs of noise traders do not show bias, the consumption of rational investors is always higher than that of noise traders and exceeds the market benchmark; (3) the relative consumption of rational investors and noise traders depends on the risk, risk aversion, fundamental risk and market ratio of noise traders; (4) based on the reasonable range of noise traders’ beliefs, the lifetime consumption of noise traders will be higher than that of rational investors and the market, and the excess consumption will change with a series of parameters.
ISSN:2227-7390