Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting

The manuscript highlights the major role that partisanship plays in moderating voters’ interpretation of polling information and incentives to behave strategically. While prior studies highlight that partisans are less likely to vote strategically as the expressive costs of defection increase, this...

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Main Author: Rodrigo Castro Cornejo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ediciones Universidad de Salamanca 2023-01-01
Series:Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.usal.es/cuatro/index.php/1852-9003/article/view/29606
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author Rodrigo Castro Cornejo
author_facet Rodrigo Castro Cornejo
author_sort Rodrigo Castro Cornejo
collection DOAJ
description The manuscript highlights the major role that partisanship plays in moderating voters’ interpretation of polling information and incentives to behave strategically. While prior studies highlight that partisans are less likely to vote strategically as the expressive costs of defection increase, this study sheds light on the conditions in which voters—even partisans—behave strategically and which contribute to an increase in the proportion of voters who change their vote intention during campaigns. Only partisans informed about polls are able to overcome their partisan bias and engage in strategic voting. By taking strategic voting into account in the study of campaigns, the present work builds a bridge between the campaigns effects literature and studies on strategic voting.
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spelling doaj.art-57d2bce5000d4e45b1d20ddff7f6b0e92023-03-21T13:32:35ZengEdiciones Universidad de SalamancaRevista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública1852-90032660-700X2023-01-011127310810.14201/rlop.2960635070Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic VotingRodrigo Castro Cornejo0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7332-9622CIDEThe manuscript highlights the major role that partisanship plays in moderating voters’ interpretation of polling information and incentives to behave strategically. While prior studies highlight that partisans are less likely to vote strategically as the expressive costs of defection increase, this study sheds light on the conditions in which voters—even partisans—behave strategically and which contribute to an increase in the proportion of voters who change their vote intention during campaigns. Only partisans informed about polls are able to overcome their partisan bias and engage in strategic voting. By taking strategic voting into account in the study of campaigns, the present work builds a bridge between the campaigns effects literature and studies on strategic voting.https://revistas.usal.es/cuatro/index.php/1852-9003/article/view/29606pollingstrategic votingcampaignspublic opinionlatin america
spellingShingle Rodrigo Castro Cornejo
Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting
Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública
polling
strategic voting
campaigns
public opinion
latin america
title Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting
title_full Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting
title_fullStr Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting
title_full_unstemmed Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting
title_short Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting
title_sort do perceptions of electoral polling affect voters behavior campaigns partisan bias and strategic voting
topic polling
strategic voting
campaigns
public opinion
latin america
url https://revistas.usal.es/cuatro/index.php/1852-9003/article/view/29606
work_keys_str_mv AT rodrigocastrocornejo doperceptionsofelectoralpollingaffectvotersbehaviorcampaignspartisanbiasandstrategicvoting