Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting
The manuscript highlights the major role that partisanship plays in moderating voters’ interpretation of polling information and incentives to behave strategically. While prior studies highlight that partisans are less likely to vote strategically as the expressive costs of defection increase, this...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Ediciones Universidad de Salamanca
2023-01-01
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Series: | Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública |
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Online Access: | https://revistas.usal.es/cuatro/index.php/1852-9003/article/view/29606 |
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author | Rodrigo Castro Cornejo |
author_facet | Rodrigo Castro Cornejo |
author_sort | Rodrigo Castro Cornejo |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The manuscript highlights the major role that partisanship plays in moderating voters’ interpretation of polling information and incentives to behave strategically. While prior studies highlight that partisans are less likely to vote strategically as the expressive costs of defection increase, this study sheds light on the conditions in which voters—even partisans—behave strategically and which contribute to an increase in the proportion of voters who change their vote intention during campaigns. Only partisans informed about polls are able to overcome their partisan bias and engage in strategic voting. By taking strategic voting into account in the study of campaigns, the present work builds a bridge between the campaigns effects literature and studies on strategic voting. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-09T23:22:54Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-57d2bce5000d4e45b1d20ddff7f6b0e9 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1852-9003 2660-700X |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-09T23:22:54Z |
publishDate | 2023-01-01 |
publisher | Ediciones Universidad de Salamanca |
record_format | Article |
series | Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública |
spelling | doaj.art-57d2bce5000d4e45b1d20ddff7f6b0e92023-03-21T13:32:35ZengEdiciones Universidad de SalamancaRevista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública1852-90032660-700X2023-01-011127310810.14201/rlop.2960635070Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic VotingRodrigo Castro Cornejo0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7332-9622CIDEThe manuscript highlights the major role that partisanship plays in moderating voters’ interpretation of polling information and incentives to behave strategically. While prior studies highlight that partisans are less likely to vote strategically as the expressive costs of defection increase, this study sheds light on the conditions in which voters—even partisans—behave strategically and which contribute to an increase in the proportion of voters who change their vote intention during campaigns. Only partisans informed about polls are able to overcome their partisan bias and engage in strategic voting. By taking strategic voting into account in the study of campaigns, the present work builds a bridge between the campaigns effects literature and studies on strategic voting.https://revistas.usal.es/cuatro/index.php/1852-9003/article/view/29606pollingstrategic votingcampaignspublic opinionlatin america |
spellingShingle | Rodrigo Castro Cornejo Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública polling strategic voting campaigns public opinion latin america |
title | Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting |
title_full | Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting |
title_fullStr | Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting |
title_full_unstemmed | Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting |
title_short | Do (Perceptions of) Electoral Polling Affect Voters' Behavior? Campaigns, Partisan Bias, and Strategic Voting |
title_sort | do perceptions of electoral polling affect voters behavior campaigns partisan bias and strategic voting |
topic | polling strategic voting campaigns public opinion latin america |
url | https://revistas.usal.es/cuatro/index.php/1852-9003/article/view/29606 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT rodrigocastrocornejo doperceptionsofelectoralpollingaffectvotersbehaviorcampaignspartisanbiasandstrategicvoting |