Para Politikası Etkilerinin Ölçümü: Türkiye Örneği(Measurement of the Monetary Policy’s Effects: The Case of Turkey)

This study attemts to test real effects of monetary policies employing Cochrane (1998) method by using Turkish data for the period of January 1988-December 2003. The findings reveal that both unexpected and expected monetary policies have real effects. From the viewpoint of ecomic theories, the find...

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Main Author: Osman PEKER
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Celal Bayar University 2007-01-01
Series:Yönetim ve Ekonomi
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www2.bayar.edu.tr/yonetimekonomi/dergi/pdf/C14S12007/OP.pdf
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author Osman PEKER
author_facet Osman PEKER
author_sort Osman PEKER
collection DOAJ
description This study attemts to test real effects of monetary policies employing Cochrane (1998) method by using Turkish data for the period of January 1988-December 2003. The findings reveal that both unexpected and expected monetary policies have real effects. From the viewpoint of ecomic theories, the findings are in line with the Keynesian argument contrary to the Classiscal Theory. The results are not supportive to the Rational Expectation Theory, when the real effects of monetary policy are taken as both expected and unexpected. The study also indicate that both the expected and unexpected monetary shocks appears to have an effect on the real output. The size of the effect varies depending on the expectation of economic agents. As the degree of expectation increases (λ), the size of the effect increases, correspondingly. The maximum effect of monetary policies appears when λ =1.
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spelling doaj.art-57f6a3e3885a489ebc2d912a907649a12023-02-15T16:08:21ZdeuCelal Bayar UniversityYönetim ve Ekonomi1302-00642007-01-01141181194Para Politikası Etkilerinin Ölçümü: Türkiye Örneği(Measurement of the Monetary Policy’s Effects: The Case of Turkey)Osman PEKERThis study attemts to test real effects of monetary policies employing Cochrane (1998) method by using Turkish data for the period of January 1988-December 2003. The findings reveal that both unexpected and expected monetary policies have real effects. From the viewpoint of ecomic theories, the findings are in line with the Keynesian argument contrary to the Classiscal Theory. The results are not supportive to the Rational Expectation Theory, when the real effects of monetary policy are taken as both expected and unexpected. The study also indicate that both the expected and unexpected monetary shocks appears to have an effect on the real output. The size of the effect varies depending on the expectation of economic agents. As the degree of expectation increases (λ), the size of the effect increases, correspondingly. The maximum effect of monetary policies appears when λ =1.http://www2.bayar.edu.tr/yonetimekonomi/dergi/pdf/C14S12007/OP.pdfVARPara PolitikasıÖngörülen Para PolitikasıÖngörülmeyen Para PolitikasıVARMonetary PolicyExpected Monetary PolicyUnexpected Monetary Policy
spellingShingle Osman PEKER
Para Politikası Etkilerinin Ölçümü: Türkiye Örneği(Measurement of the Monetary Policy’s Effects: The Case of Turkey)
Yönetim ve Ekonomi
VAR
Para Politikası
Öngörülen Para Politikası
Öngörülmeyen Para Politikası
VAR
Monetary Policy
Expected Monetary Policy
Unexpected Monetary Policy
title Para Politikası Etkilerinin Ölçümü: Türkiye Örneği(Measurement of the Monetary Policy’s Effects: The Case of Turkey)
title_full Para Politikası Etkilerinin Ölçümü: Türkiye Örneği(Measurement of the Monetary Policy’s Effects: The Case of Turkey)
title_fullStr Para Politikası Etkilerinin Ölçümü: Türkiye Örneği(Measurement of the Monetary Policy’s Effects: The Case of Turkey)
title_full_unstemmed Para Politikası Etkilerinin Ölçümü: Türkiye Örneği(Measurement of the Monetary Policy’s Effects: The Case of Turkey)
title_short Para Politikası Etkilerinin Ölçümü: Türkiye Örneği(Measurement of the Monetary Policy’s Effects: The Case of Turkey)
title_sort para politikasi etkilerinin olcumu turkiye ornegi measurement of the monetary policy s effects the case of turkey
topic VAR
Para Politikası
Öngörülen Para Politikası
Öngörülmeyen Para Politikası
VAR
Monetary Policy
Expected Monetary Policy
Unexpected Monetary Policy
url http://www2.bayar.edu.tr/yonetimekonomi/dergi/pdf/C14S12007/OP.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT osmanpeker parapolitikasıetkilerininolcumuturkiyeornegimeasurementofthemonetarypolicyseffectsthecaseofturkey