Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth.

The multi-group asset flow model is a nonlinear dynamical system originally developed as a tool for understanding the behavioral foundations of market phenomena such as flash crashes and price bubbles. In this paper we use a modification of this model to analyze the dynamics of a single-asset market...

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Main Authors: Mark DeSantis, David Swigon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2018-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0207764
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author Mark DeSantis
David Swigon
author_facet Mark DeSantis
David Swigon
author_sort Mark DeSantis
collection DOAJ
description The multi-group asset flow model is a nonlinear dynamical system originally developed as a tool for understanding the behavioral foundations of market phenomena such as flash crashes and price bubbles. In this paper we use a modification of this model to analyze the dynamics of a single-asset market in situations when the trading rates of investors (i.e., their desire to exchange stock for cash) are prescribed ahead of time and independent of the state of the market. Under the assumption of fast trading compared to the time-rate of change in the prescribed trading rates we decompose the dynamics of the system to fast and slow components. We use the model to derive a variety of observations regarding the dynamics of price and investors' wealth, and the dependence of these quantities on the prescribed trading rates. In particular, we show that strategies with constant trading rates, which represent the well-known constant-rebalanced portfolio (CRP) strategies, are optimal in the sense that they minimize investment risks. In contrast, we show that investors pursuing non-CRP strategies are at risk of loss of wealth, as a result of the slow system not being integrable in the sense that cyclic trading rates do not always result in periodic price variations.
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spelling doaj.art-58354fd82f9545c0af081627245232c62022-12-21T20:00:15ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032018-01-011311e020776410.1371/journal.pone.0207764Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth.Mark DeSantisDavid SwigonThe multi-group asset flow model is a nonlinear dynamical system originally developed as a tool for understanding the behavioral foundations of market phenomena such as flash crashes and price bubbles. In this paper we use a modification of this model to analyze the dynamics of a single-asset market in situations when the trading rates of investors (i.e., their desire to exchange stock for cash) are prescribed ahead of time and independent of the state of the market. Under the assumption of fast trading compared to the time-rate of change in the prescribed trading rates we decompose the dynamics of the system to fast and slow components. We use the model to derive a variety of observations regarding the dynamics of price and investors' wealth, and the dependence of these quantities on the prescribed trading rates. In particular, we show that strategies with constant trading rates, which represent the well-known constant-rebalanced portfolio (CRP) strategies, are optimal in the sense that they minimize investment risks. In contrast, we show that investors pursuing non-CRP strategies are at risk of loss of wealth, as a result of the slow system not being integrable in the sense that cyclic trading rates do not always result in periodic price variations.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0207764
spellingShingle Mark DeSantis
David Swigon
Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth.
PLoS ONE
title Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth.
title_full Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth.
title_fullStr Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth.
title_full_unstemmed Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth.
title_short Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth.
title_sort slow fast analysis of a multi group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0207764
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