A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysis

Some mathematical methods for formulation and numerical simulation of stochastic epidemic models are presented. Specifically, models are formulated for continuous-time Markov chains and stochastic differential equations. Some well-known examples are used for illustration such as an SIR epidemic mode...

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Main Author: Linda J.S. Allen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2017-05-01
Series:Infectious Disease Modelling
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042716300495
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author Linda J.S. Allen
author_facet Linda J.S. Allen
author_sort Linda J.S. Allen
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description Some mathematical methods for formulation and numerical simulation of stochastic epidemic models are presented. Specifically, models are formulated for continuous-time Markov chains and stochastic differential equations. Some well-known examples are used for illustration such as an SIR epidemic model and a host-vector malaria model. Analytical methods for approximating the probability of a disease outbreak are also discussed. Keywords: Branching process, Continuous-time Markov chain, Minor outbreak, Stochastic differential equation, 2000 MSC: 60H10, 60J28, 92D30
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spelling doaj.art-5845300186c24bda93928d86d9b7dcf32024-04-17T00:34:27ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Infectious Disease Modelling2468-04272017-05-0122128142A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysisLinda J.S. Allen0Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409-1042, USASome mathematical methods for formulation and numerical simulation of stochastic epidemic models are presented. Specifically, models are formulated for continuous-time Markov chains and stochastic differential equations. Some well-known examples are used for illustration such as an SIR epidemic model and a host-vector malaria model. Analytical methods for approximating the probability of a disease outbreak are also discussed. Keywords: Branching process, Continuous-time Markov chain, Minor outbreak, Stochastic differential equation, 2000 MSC: 60H10, 60J28, 92D30http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042716300495
spellingShingle Linda J.S. Allen
A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysis
Infectious Disease Modelling
title A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysis
title_full A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysis
title_fullStr A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysis
title_full_unstemmed A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysis
title_short A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysis
title_sort primer on stochastic epidemic models formulation numerical simulation and analysis
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042716300495
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