A Hybrid Three-Staged, Short-Term Wind-Power Prediction Method Based on SDAE-SVR Deep Learning and BA Optimization

Wind power prediction (WPP) is necessary to the safe operation and economic dispatch of power systems. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of WPP, in this paper we propose a three-step model named SDAE-SVR-BA to be applied in short-term WPP based on stacked-denoising-autoencoder (SDAE) featu...

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Main Authors: Ruiqin Duan, Xiaosheng Peng, Cong Li, Zimin Yang, Yan Jiang, Xiufeng Li, Shuangquan Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9955524/
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author Ruiqin Duan
Xiaosheng Peng
Cong Li
Zimin Yang
Yan Jiang
Xiufeng Li
Shuangquan Liu
author_facet Ruiqin Duan
Xiaosheng Peng
Cong Li
Zimin Yang
Yan Jiang
Xiufeng Li
Shuangquan Liu
author_sort Ruiqin Duan
collection DOAJ
description Wind power prediction (WPP) is necessary to the safe operation and economic dispatch of power systems. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of WPP, in this paper we propose a three-step model named SDAE-SVR-BA to be applied in short-term WPP based on stacked-denoising-autoencoder (SDAE) feature processing, bat algorithm (BA) optimization and support vector regression (SVR). First, we preprocessed the original NWP data input into the SDAE-SVR-BA model to adapt to the training and prediction of the proposed model. Second, we input the preprocessed features into the SDAE network, whose parameters are optimized by BA to obtain the depth-mapping features. Finally, we input the features of SDAE network mapping into SVR, whose parameters are optimized by BA for prediction, so as to obtain the SDAE-SVR-BA model. In this paper, we used BA during the training process to optimize the number of hidden layers and hidden layer nodes of SDAE, the penalty factor parameter C and the kernel function radius g of the SVR model. Additionally, we verified the model with a wind farm example and compared it to the traditional model. Based on the verification data applied in this article, in a forecast for the next twelve hours, the normalized root means square error (NRMSE) of SDAE-SVR was 11.97% and the NRMSE of SDAE-SVR-BA model was 11.54%, reduced by 1.24% compared with SDAE, which demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method.
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spelling doaj.art-586005aa63424fbcb4d401df2e9c8da32022-12-22T04:36:08ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362022-01-011012359512360410.1109/ACCESS.2022.32234359955524A Hybrid Three-Staged, Short-Term Wind-Power Prediction Method Based on SDAE-SVR Deep Learning and BA OptimizationRuiqin Duan0Xiaosheng Peng1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9958-7045Cong Li2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0604-021XZimin Yang3Yan Jiang4Xiufeng Li5Shuangquan Liu6System Operation Department, Yunnan Power Grid Corporation Ltd., Kunming, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Advanced Electromagnetic Engineering and Technology, School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Advanced Electromagnetic Engineering and Technology, School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Advanced Electromagnetic Engineering and Technology, School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaSystem Operation Department, Yunnan Power Grid Corporation Ltd., Kunming, ChinaSystem Operation Department, Yunnan Power Grid Corporation Ltd., Kunming, ChinaSystem Operation Department, Yunnan Power Grid Corporation Ltd., Kunming, ChinaWind power prediction (WPP) is necessary to the safe operation and economic dispatch of power systems. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of WPP, in this paper we propose a three-step model named SDAE-SVR-BA to be applied in short-term WPP based on stacked-denoising-autoencoder (SDAE) feature processing, bat algorithm (BA) optimization and support vector regression (SVR). First, we preprocessed the original NWP data input into the SDAE-SVR-BA model to adapt to the training and prediction of the proposed model. Second, we input the preprocessed features into the SDAE network, whose parameters are optimized by BA to obtain the depth-mapping features. Finally, we input the features of SDAE network mapping into SVR, whose parameters are optimized by BA for prediction, so as to obtain the SDAE-SVR-BA model. In this paper, we used BA during the training process to optimize the number of hidden layers and hidden layer nodes of SDAE, the penalty factor parameter C and the kernel function radius g of the SVR model. Additionally, we verified the model with a wind farm example and compared it to the traditional model. Based on the verification data applied in this article, in a forecast for the next twelve hours, the normalized root means square error (NRMSE) of SDAE-SVR was 11.97% and the NRMSE of SDAE-SVR-BA model was 11.54%, reduced by 1.24% compared with SDAE, which demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9955524/Stack denoising autoencoderbat optimization algorithmwind power prediction
spellingShingle Ruiqin Duan
Xiaosheng Peng
Cong Li
Zimin Yang
Yan Jiang
Xiufeng Li
Shuangquan Liu
A Hybrid Three-Staged, Short-Term Wind-Power Prediction Method Based on SDAE-SVR Deep Learning and BA Optimization
IEEE Access
Stack denoising autoencoder
bat optimization algorithm
wind power prediction
title A Hybrid Three-Staged, Short-Term Wind-Power Prediction Method Based on SDAE-SVR Deep Learning and BA Optimization
title_full A Hybrid Three-Staged, Short-Term Wind-Power Prediction Method Based on SDAE-SVR Deep Learning and BA Optimization
title_fullStr A Hybrid Three-Staged, Short-Term Wind-Power Prediction Method Based on SDAE-SVR Deep Learning and BA Optimization
title_full_unstemmed A Hybrid Three-Staged, Short-Term Wind-Power Prediction Method Based on SDAE-SVR Deep Learning and BA Optimization
title_short A Hybrid Three-Staged, Short-Term Wind-Power Prediction Method Based on SDAE-SVR Deep Learning and BA Optimization
title_sort hybrid three staged short term wind power prediction method based on sdae svr deep learning and ba optimization
topic Stack denoising autoencoder
bat optimization algorithm
wind power prediction
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9955524/
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