Biases in regional carbon budgets from covariation of surface fluxes and weather in transport model inversions

Recent advances in atmospheric transport model inversions could significantly reduce uncertainties in land carbon uptake through the assimilation of CO<sub>2</sub> concentration measurements at weekly and shorter timescales. The potential of these measurements for reducing biases in esti...

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Main Authors: I. N. Williams, W. J. Riley, M. S. Torn, S. C. Biraud, M. L. Fischer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2014-02-01
Series:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Online Access:http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/1571/2014/acp-14-1571-2014.pdf
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author I. N. Williams
W. J. Riley
M. S. Torn
S. C. Biraud
M. L. Fischer
author_facet I. N. Williams
W. J. Riley
M. S. Torn
S. C. Biraud
M. L. Fischer
author_sort I. N. Williams
collection DOAJ
description Recent advances in atmospheric transport model inversions could significantly reduce uncertainties in land carbon uptake through the assimilation of CO<sub>2</sub> concentration measurements at weekly and shorter timescales. The potential of these measurements for reducing biases in estimated land carbon sinks depends on the strength of covariation between surface fluxes and atmospheric transport at these timescales and how well transport models represent this covariation. Daily to seasonal covariation of surface fluxes and atmospheric transport was estimated in observations at the US Southern Great Plains Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Climate Research Facility, and compared to an atmospheric transport model inversion (CarbonTracker). Covariation of transport and surface fluxes was stronger in CarbonTracker than in observations on synoptic (daily to weekly) timescales, with a wet year (2007) having significant covariation compared to a dry year (2006). Differences between observed and CarbonTracker synoptic covariation resulted in a 0.3 ppm CO<sub>2</sub> enhancement in boundary layer concentrations during the growing season, and a corresponding enhancement in carbon uptake by 13% of the seasonal cycle amplitude in 2007, as estimated by an offline simplified transport model. This synoptic rectification of surface flux variability was of similar magnitude to the interannual variability in carbon sinks alone, and indicates that interannual variability in the inversions can be affected by biases in simulated synoptic rectifier effects. The most significant covariation of surface fluxes and transport had periodicities of 10 days and greater, suggesting that surface flux inversions would benefit from improved simulations of the effects of soil moisture on boundary layer heights and surface CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes. Soil moisture remote sensing could be used along with CO<sub>2</sub> concentration measurements to further constrain atmospheric transport model inversions.
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spelling doaj.art-58a959a22bfc4e44a6f48dea5b576fa12022-12-22T01:51:59ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics1680-73161680-73242014-02-011431571158510.5194/acp-14-1571-2014Biases in regional carbon budgets from covariation of surface fluxes and weather in transport model inversionsI. N. Williams0W. J. Riley1M. S. Torn2S. C. Biraud3M. L. Fischer4Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, USALawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, USALawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, USALawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, USALawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Environmental Energy Technologies Division, Berkeley, CA, USARecent advances in atmospheric transport model inversions could significantly reduce uncertainties in land carbon uptake through the assimilation of CO<sub>2</sub> concentration measurements at weekly and shorter timescales. The potential of these measurements for reducing biases in estimated land carbon sinks depends on the strength of covariation between surface fluxes and atmospheric transport at these timescales and how well transport models represent this covariation. Daily to seasonal covariation of surface fluxes and atmospheric transport was estimated in observations at the US Southern Great Plains Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Climate Research Facility, and compared to an atmospheric transport model inversion (CarbonTracker). Covariation of transport and surface fluxes was stronger in CarbonTracker than in observations on synoptic (daily to weekly) timescales, with a wet year (2007) having significant covariation compared to a dry year (2006). Differences between observed and CarbonTracker synoptic covariation resulted in a 0.3 ppm CO<sub>2</sub> enhancement in boundary layer concentrations during the growing season, and a corresponding enhancement in carbon uptake by 13% of the seasonal cycle amplitude in 2007, as estimated by an offline simplified transport model. This synoptic rectification of surface flux variability was of similar magnitude to the interannual variability in carbon sinks alone, and indicates that interannual variability in the inversions can be affected by biases in simulated synoptic rectifier effects. The most significant covariation of surface fluxes and transport had periodicities of 10 days and greater, suggesting that surface flux inversions would benefit from improved simulations of the effects of soil moisture on boundary layer heights and surface CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes. Soil moisture remote sensing could be used along with CO<sub>2</sub> concentration measurements to further constrain atmospheric transport model inversions.http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/1571/2014/acp-14-1571-2014.pdf
spellingShingle I. N. Williams
W. J. Riley
M. S. Torn
S. C. Biraud
M. L. Fischer
Biases in regional carbon budgets from covariation of surface fluxes and weather in transport model inversions
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
title Biases in regional carbon budgets from covariation of surface fluxes and weather in transport model inversions
title_full Biases in regional carbon budgets from covariation of surface fluxes and weather in transport model inversions
title_fullStr Biases in regional carbon budgets from covariation of surface fluxes and weather in transport model inversions
title_full_unstemmed Biases in regional carbon budgets from covariation of surface fluxes and weather in transport model inversions
title_short Biases in regional carbon budgets from covariation of surface fluxes and weather in transport model inversions
title_sort biases in regional carbon budgets from covariation of surface fluxes and weather in transport model inversions
url http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/1571/2014/acp-14-1571-2014.pdf
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