Denotative and connotative management of uncertainty: A computational dual-process model

The interplay between intuitive and deliberative processing is known to be important for human decision making. As independent modes, intuitive processes can take on many forms from associative to constructive, while deliberative processes often rely on some notion of decision theoretic rationality...

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Main Authors: Jesse Hoey, Neil J. MacKinnon, Tobias Schröder
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2021-03-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200104/jdm200104.pdf
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author Jesse Hoey
Neil J. MacKinnon
Tobias Schröder
author_facet Jesse Hoey
Neil J. MacKinnon
Tobias Schröder
author_sort Jesse Hoey
collection DOAJ
description The interplay between intuitive and deliberative processing is known to be important for human decision making. As independent modes, intuitive processes can take on many forms from associative to constructive, while deliberative processes often rely on some notion of decision theoretic rationality or pattern matching. Dual process models attempt to unify these two modes based on parallel constraint networks or on socially or emotionally oriented adjustments to utility functions. This paper presents a new kind of dual process model that unifies decision theoretic deliberative reasoning with intuitive reasoning based on shared cultural affective meanings in a single Bayesian sequential model. Agents constructed according to this unified model are motivated by a combination of affective alignment (intuitive) and decision theoretic reasoning (deliberative), trading the two off as a function of the uncertainty or unpredictability of the situation. The model also provides a theoretical bridge between decision-making research and sociological symbolic interactionism. Starting with a high-level view of existing models, we advance Bayesian Affect Control Theory (BayesACT) as a promising new type of dual process model that explicitly and optimally (in the Bayesian sense) trades off motivation, action, beliefs and utility. We demonstrate a key component of the model as being sufficient to account for some aspects of classic cognitive biases about fairness and dissonance, and outline how this new theory relates to parallel constraint satisfaction models.
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spelling doaj.art-58b2a7d637a644629bed58cb403c607d2023-09-02T20:10:19ZengCambridge University PressJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752021-03-01162505550Denotative and connotative management of uncertainty: A computational dual-process modelJesse HoeyNeil J. MacKinnonTobias SchröderThe interplay between intuitive and deliberative processing is known to be important for human decision making. As independent modes, intuitive processes can take on many forms from associative to constructive, while deliberative processes often rely on some notion of decision theoretic rationality or pattern matching. Dual process models attempt to unify these two modes based on parallel constraint networks or on socially or emotionally oriented adjustments to utility functions. This paper presents a new kind of dual process model that unifies decision theoretic deliberative reasoning with intuitive reasoning based on shared cultural affective meanings in a single Bayesian sequential model. Agents constructed according to this unified model are motivated by a combination of affective alignment (intuitive) and decision theoretic reasoning (deliberative), trading the two off as a function of the uncertainty or unpredictability of the situation. The model also provides a theoretical bridge between decision-making research and sociological symbolic interactionism. Starting with a high-level view of existing models, we advance Bayesian Affect Control Theory (BayesACT) as a promising new type of dual process model that explicitly and optimally (in the Bayesian sense) trades off motivation, action, beliefs and utility. We demonstrate a key component of the model as being sufficient to account for some aspects of classic cognitive biases about fairness and dissonance, and outline how this new theory relates to parallel constraint satisfaction models.http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200104/jdm200104.pdfdual-process model emotion affect cognitive dissonance fairnessnakeywords
spellingShingle Jesse Hoey
Neil J. MacKinnon
Tobias Schröder
Denotative and connotative management of uncertainty: A computational dual-process model
Judgment and Decision Making
dual-process model
emotion
affect
cognitive dissonance
fairnessnakeywords
title Denotative and connotative management of uncertainty: A computational dual-process model
title_full Denotative and connotative management of uncertainty: A computational dual-process model
title_fullStr Denotative and connotative management of uncertainty: A computational dual-process model
title_full_unstemmed Denotative and connotative management of uncertainty: A computational dual-process model
title_short Denotative and connotative management of uncertainty: A computational dual-process model
title_sort denotative and connotative management of uncertainty a computational dual process model
topic dual-process model
emotion
affect
cognitive dissonance
fairnessnakeywords
url http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200104/jdm200104.pdf
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