Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
Simulations of the impact of future climate change on crop yield vary considerably. Here, the authors use a climate analogue approach to estimate the response of maximum attainable yield to climate change and predict that large shifts in land use and crop choice would be required to meet demand.
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2016-09-01
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| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12608 |
| _version_ | 1818405408995278848 |
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| author | T.A.M. Pugh C. Müller J. Elliott D. Deryng C. Folberth S. Olin E. Schmid A. Arneth |
| author_facet | T.A.M. Pugh C. Müller J. Elliott D. Deryng C. Folberth S. Olin E. Schmid A. Arneth |
| author_sort | T.A.M. Pugh |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Simulations of the impact of future climate change on crop yield vary considerably. Here, the authors use a climate analogue approach to estimate the response of maximum attainable yield to climate change and predict that large shifts in land use and crop choice would be required to meet demand. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-14T08:55:35Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-58effdbb62a548a59de4fc976d143094 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2041-1723 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-14T08:55:35Z |
| publishDate | 2016-09-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nature Communications |
| spelling | doaj.art-58effdbb62a548a59de4fc976d1430942022-12-21T23:08:57ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232016-09-01711810.1038/ncomms12608Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate changeT.A.M. Pugh0C. Müller1J. Elliott2D. Deryng3C. Folberth4S. Olin5E. Schmid6A. Arneth7Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of TechnologyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact ResearchUniversity of Chicago and Argonne National Laboratory Computation InstituteUniversity of Chicago and Argonne National Laboratory Computation InstituteEcosystem Services and Management Program, International Institute for Applied Systems AnalysisDepartment of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund UniversityDepartment of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life SciencesInstitute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of TechnologySimulations of the impact of future climate change on crop yield vary considerably. Here, the authors use a climate analogue approach to estimate the response of maximum attainable yield to climate change and predict that large shifts in land use and crop choice would be required to meet demand.https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12608 |
| spellingShingle | T.A.M. Pugh C. Müller J. Elliott D. Deryng C. Folberth S. Olin E. Schmid A. Arneth Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change Nature Communications |
| title | Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
| title_full | Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
| title_fullStr | Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
| title_short | Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
| title_sort | climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12608 |
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