Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning Techniques

Hydropower plays an essential role in Europe’s energy transition and can serve as an important factor in the stability of the electricity system. This is even more crucial in areas that rely strongly on renewable energy production, for instance, solar and wind power, as for example the Peloponnese a...

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Main Authors: Kyriakos Skarlatos, Eleni S. Bekri, Dimitrios Georgakellos, Polychronis Economou, Sotirios Bersimis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-02-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/3/1459
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author Kyriakos Skarlatos
Eleni S. Bekri
Dimitrios Georgakellos
Polychronis Economou
Sotirios Bersimis
author_facet Kyriakos Skarlatos
Eleni S. Bekri
Dimitrios Georgakellos
Polychronis Economou
Sotirios Bersimis
author_sort Kyriakos Skarlatos
collection DOAJ
description Hydropower plays an essential role in Europe’s energy transition and can serve as an important factor in the stability of the electricity system. This is even more crucial in areas that rely strongly on renewable energy production, for instance, solar and wind power, as for example the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. To safeguard hydropower’s contribution to total energy production, an accurate prediction of the annual precipitation is required. Valuable tools to obtain accurate predictions of future observations are firstly a series of sophisticated data preprocessing techniques and secondly the use of advanced machine learning algorithms. In the present paper, a complete procedure is proposed to obtain accurate predictions of meteorological data, such as precipitation. This procedure is applied to the Greek automated weather stations network, operated by the National Observatory of Athens, in the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. The proposed prediction algorithm successfully identified the climatic zones based on their different geographic and climatic characteristics for most meteorological stations, resulting in realistic precipitation predictions. For some stations, the algorithm underestimated the annual total precipitation, a weakness also reported by other research works.
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spelling doaj.art-58f9862193f946fea68a98b1f243ee3c2023-11-16T16:37:47ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732023-02-01163145910.3390/en16031459Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning TechniquesKyriakos Skarlatos0Eleni S. Bekri1Dimitrios Georgakellos2Polychronis Economou3Sotirios Bersimis4Department of Business Administration, University of Piraeus, 18534 Piraeus, GreeceDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, GreeceDepartment of Business Administration, University of Piraeus, 18534 Piraeus, GreeceDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, GreeceDepartment of Business Administration, University of Piraeus, 18534 Piraeus, GreeceHydropower plays an essential role in Europe’s energy transition and can serve as an important factor in the stability of the electricity system. This is even more crucial in areas that rely strongly on renewable energy production, for instance, solar and wind power, as for example the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. To safeguard hydropower’s contribution to total energy production, an accurate prediction of the annual precipitation is required. Valuable tools to obtain accurate predictions of future observations are firstly a series of sophisticated data preprocessing techniques and secondly the use of advanced machine learning algorithms. In the present paper, a complete procedure is proposed to obtain accurate predictions of meteorological data, such as precipitation. This procedure is applied to the Greek automated weather stations network, operated by the National Observatory of Athens, in the Peloponnese and the Ionian islands in Greece. The proposed prediction algorithm successfully identified the climatic zones based on their different geographic and climatic characteristics for most meteorological stations, resulting in realistic precipitation predictions. For some stations, the algorithm underestimated the annual total precipitation, a weakness also reported by other research works.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/3/1459hydropowerprecipitationGreecemachine learningpredictions
spellingShingle Kyriakos Skarlatos
Eleni S. Bekri
Dimitrios Georgakellos
Polychronis Economou
Sotirios Bersimis
Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning Techniques
Energies
hydropower
precipitation
Greece
machine learning
predictions
title Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_full Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_fullStr Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_full_unstemmed Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_short Projecting Annual Rainfall Timeseries Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_sort projecting annual rainfall timeseries using machine learning techniques
topic hydropower
precipitation
Greece
machine learning
predictions
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/3/1459
work_keys_str_mv AT kyriakosskarlatos projectingannualrainfalltimeseriesusingmachinelearningtechniques
AT elenisbekri projectingannualrainfalltimeseriesusingmachinelearningtechniques
AT dimitriosgeorgakellos projectingannualrainfalltimeseriesusingmachinelearningtechniques
AT polychroniseconomou projectingannualrainfalltimeseriesusingmachinelearningtechniques
AT sotiriosbersimis projectingannualrainfalltimeseriesusingmachinelearningtechniques