Modeling coking coal indexes by SHAP-XGBoost: Explainable artificial intelligence method

Coking coal is still on the list of critical raw materials in many countries since it is the main element integrated into the blast furnace. While the energy consumption and steelmaking efficiency in the furnace depends on the coke quality, understanding and modeling coking indexes based on their co...

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Main Authors: A. Homafar, H. Nasiri, S.Chehreh Chelgani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-12-01
Series:Fuel Communications
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666052022000280
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author A. Homafar
H. Nasiri
S.Chehreh Chelgani
author_facet A. Homafar
H. Nasiri
S.Chehreh Chelgani
author_sort A. Homafar
collection DOAJ
description Coking coal is still on the list of critical raw materials in many countries since it is the main element integrated into the blast furnace. While the energy consumption and steelmaking efficiency in the furnace depends on the coke quality, understanding and modeling coking indexes based on their coal parent properties would be a substantial approach for the steelmaking industry. As an innovative approach, this short comminucation has been considered explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) for modeling coal coking indexes (Free Swelling index “FSI” and maximum fluidity “Log (MF)”). XAIs can convert black-box models into human basis systems and develop a significant learning performance and estimation accuracy. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), as one of the most recently developed XAI models in combination with eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), were used to model coal samples from Illinois, USA. For the first time, FSI and Log (MF) treat as ordinal variables for modeling. Modeling outcomes relieved that SHAP-XGBoost could accurately show interdependency between features, demonstrate the magnitude of their multi relationships, rank them based on their importance, and predict the coking index quite accurately compared with conventional machine learning methods (random forest and support vector regression). These significant results would be opened a new window by applying XAI tools for controlling and modeling complex systems in the energy and fuel sectors.
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spelling doaj.art-5906ec840a0344f994e242c8aef516a32022-12-22T03:17:35ZengElsevierFuel Communications2666-05202022-12-0113100078Modeling coking coal indexes by SHAP-XGBoost: Explainable artificial intelligence methodA. Homafar0H. Nasiri1S.Chehreh Chelgani2Electrical and Computer Engineering Department, Semnan University, Semnan, IranDepartment of Computer Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), Tehran, Iran; Corresponding authors.Minerals and Metallurgical Engineering, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Luleå University of Technology, Luleå SE-971 87, Sweden; Corresponding authors.Coking coal is still on the list of critical raw materials in many countries since it is the main element integrated into the blast furnace. While the energy consumption and steelmaking efficiency in the furnace depends on the coke quality, understanding and modeling coking indexes based on their coal parent properties would be a substantial approach for the steelmaking industry. As an innovative approach, this short comminucation has been considered explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) for modeling coal coking indexes (Free Swelling index “FSI” and maximum fluidity “Log (MF)”). XAIs can convert black-box models into human basis systems and develop a significant learning performance and estimation accuracy. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), as one of the most recently developed XAI models in combination with eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), were used to model coal samples from Illinois, USA. For the first time, FSI and Log (MF) treat as ordinal variables for modeling. Modeling outcomes relieved that SHAP-XGBoost could accurately show interdependency between features, demonstrate the magnitude of their multi relationships, rank them based on their importance, and predict the coking index quite accurately compared with conventional machine learning methods (random forest and support vector regression). These significant results would be opened a new window by applying XAI tools for controlling and modeling complex systems in the energy and fuel sectors.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666052022000280Free swelling indexGieseler plastometerCoalExplainable artificial intelligenceMachine learningModeling
spellingShingle A. Homafar
H. Nasiri
S.Chehreh Chelgani
Modeling coking coal indexes by SHAP-XGBoost: Explainable artificial intelligence method
Fuel Communications
Free swelling index
Gieseler plastometer
Coal
Explainable artificial intelligence
Machine learning
Modeling
title Modeling coking coal indexes by SHAP-XGBoost: Explainable artificial intelligence method
title_full Modeling coking coal indexes by SHAP-XGBoost: Explainable artificial intelligence method
title_fullStr Modeling coking coal indexes by SHAP-XGBoost: Explainable artificial intelligence method
title_full_unstemmed Modeling coking coal indexes by SHAP-XGBoost: Explainable artificial intelligence method
title_short Modeling coking coal indexes by SHAP-XGBoost: Explainable artificial intelligence method
title_sort modeling coking coal indexes by shap xgboost explainable artificial intelligence method
topic Free swelling index
Gieseler plastometer
Coal
Explainable artificial intelligence
Machine learning
Modeling
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666052022000280
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