Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method
The randomness of the power supply side and the load side of comprehensive energy systems is increasingly prominent. It is very difficult to meet demand through traditional planning methods. To solve this problem, this paper explores the coordinated planning of a power system under uncertain charact...
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MDPI AG
2023-11-01
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Series: | Energies |
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Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/23/7761 |
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author | Lang Zhao Yuan Zeng Yizheng Li Dong Peng Yao Wang |
author_facet | Lang Zhao Yuan Zeng Yizheng Li Dong Peng Yao Wang |
author_sort | Lang Zhao |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The randomness of the power supply side and the load side of comprehensive energy systems is increasingly prominent. It is very difficult to meet demand through traditional planning methods. To solve this problem, this paper explores the coordinated planning of a power system under uncertain characteristics using the multilinear Monte Carlo method. The uncertain characteristic model and probability density function of the system’s power supply side and load side are established. Taking the optimal operating cost and the maximum wind power consumption as the system planning objectives, a system coordination planning scheme is established, and it is solved by multilinear Monte Carlo simulation. The superiority of this method is verified by taking the modified IEEE 39-bus test system as an example. This method can provide a reference for system planning. |
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format | Article |
id | doaj.art-594464ed2af041bab08bebf3b15def1f |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1996-1073 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-09T01:51:47Z |
publishDate | 2023-11-01 |
publisher | MDPI AG |
record_format | Article |
series | Energies |
spelling | doaj.art-594464ed2af041bab08bebf3b15def1f2023-12-08T15:14:42ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732023-11-011623776110.3390/en16237761Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo MethodLang Zhao0Yuan Zeng1Yizheng Li2Dong Peng3Yao Wang4Key Laboratory of Smart Grid of Ministry of Education, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaKey Laboratory of Smart Grid of Ministry of Education, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaState Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 100005, ChinaState Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 100005, ChinaEconomic and Technical Research Institute of State Grid Shanxi Electric Power Company, Taiyuan 030001, ChinaThe randomness of the power supply side and the load side of comprehensive energy systems is increasingly prominent. It is very difficult to meet demand through traditional planning methods. To solve this problem, this paper explores the coordinated planning of a power system under uncertain characteristics using the multilinear Monte Carlo method. The uncertain characteristic model and probability density function of the system’s power supply side and load side are established. Taking the optimal operating cost and the maximum wind power consumption as the system planning objectives, a system coordination planning scheme is established, and it is solved by multilinear Monte Carlo simulation. The superiority of this method is verified by taking the modified IEEE 39-bus test system as an example. This method can provide a reference for system planning.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/23/7761coordinated planningMonte Carlopower systemuncertainty |
spellingShingle | Lang Zhao Yuan Zeng Yizheng Li Dong Peng Yao Wang Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method Energies coordinated planning Monte Carlo power system uncertainty |
title | Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method |
title_full | Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method |
title_fullStr | Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method |
title_full_unstemmed | Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method |
title_short | Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method |
title_sort | coordinated planning of power systems under uncertain characteristics based on the multilinear monte carlo method |
topic | coordinated planning Monte Carlo power system uncertainty |
url | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/23/7761 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT langzhao coordinatedplanningofpowersystemsunderuncertaincharacteristicsbasedonthemultilinearmontecarlomethod AT yuanzeng coordinatedplanningofpowersystemsunderuncertaincharacteristicsbasedonthemultilinearmontecarlomethod AT yizhengli coordinatedplanningofpowersystemsunderuncertaincharacteristicsbasedonthemultilinearmontecarlomethod AT dongpeng coordinatedplanningofpowersystemsunderuncertaincharacteristicsbasedonthemultilinearmontecarlomethod AT yaowang coordinatedplanningofpowersystemsunderuncertaincharacteristicsbasedonthemultilinearmontecarlomethod |