Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method

The randomness of the power supply side and the load side of comprehensive energy systems is increasingly prominent. It is very difficult to meet demand through traditional planning methods. To solve this problem, this paper explores the coordinated planning of a power system under uncertain charact...

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Main Authors: Lang Zhao, Yuan Zeng, Yizheng Li, Dong Peng, Yao Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-11-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/23/7761
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author Lang Zhao
Yuan Zeng
Yizheng Li
Dong Peng
Yao Wang
author_facet Lang Zhao
Yuan Zeng
Yizheng Li
Dong Peng
Yao Wang
author_sort Lang Zhao
collection DOAJ
description The randomness of the power supply side and the load side of comprehensive energy systems is increasingly prominent. It is very difficult to meet demand through traditional planning methods. To solve this problem, this paper explores the coordinated planning of a power system under uncertain characteristics using the multilinear Monte Carlo method. The uncertain characteristic model and probability density function of the system’s power supply side and load side are established. Taking the optimal operating cost and the maximum wind power consumption as the system planning objectives, a system coordination planning scheme is established, and it is solved by multilinear Monte Carlo simulation. The superiority of this method is verified by taking the modified IEEE 39-bus test system as an example. This method can provide a reference for system planning.
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spelling doaj.art-594464ed2af041bab08bebf3b15def1f2023-12-08T15:14:42ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732023-11-011623776110.3390/en16237761Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo MethodLang Zhao0Yuan Zeng1Yizheng Li2Dong Peng3Yao Wang4Key Laboratory of Smart Grid of Ministry of Education, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaKey Laboratory of Smart Grid of Ministry of Education, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaState Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 100005, ChinaState Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 100005, ChinaEconomic and Technical Research Institute of State Grid Shanxi Electric Power Company, Taiyuan 030001, ChinaThe randomness of the power supply side and the load side of comprehensive energy systems is increasingly prominent. It is very difficult to meet demand through traditional planning methods. To solve this problem, this paper explores the coordinated planning of a power system under uncertain characteristics using the multilinear Monte Carlo method. The uncertain characteristic model and probability density function of the system’s power supply side and load side are established. Taking the optimal operating cost and the maximum wind power consumption as the system planning objectives, a system coordination planning scheme is established, and it is solved by multilinear Monte Carlo simulation. The superiority of this method is verified by taking the modified IEEE 39-bus test system as an example. This method can provide a reference for system planning.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/23/7761coordinated planningMonte Carlopower systemuncertainty
spellingShingle Lang Zhao
Yuan Zeng
Yizheng Li
Dong Peng
Yao Wang
Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method
Energies
coordinated planning
Monte Carlo
power system
uncertainty
title Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method
title_full Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method
title_fullStr Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method
title_full_unstemmed Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method
title_short Coordinated Planning of Power Systems under Uncertain Characteristics Based on the Multilinear Monte Carlo Method
title_sort coordinated planning of power systems under uncertain characteristics based on the multilinear monte carlo method
topic coordinated planning
Monte Carlo
power system
uncertainty
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/23/7761
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AT yizhengli coordinatedplanningofpowersystemsunderuncertaincharacteristicsbasedonthemultilinearmontecarlomethod
AT dongpeng coordinatedplanningofpowersystemsunderuncertaincharacteristicsbasedonthemultilinearmontecarlomethod
AT yaowang coordinatedplanningofpowersystemsunderuncertaincharacteristicsbasedonthemultilinearmontecarlomethod