Occupancy-Based HVAC Control with Short-Term Occupancy Prediction Algorithms for Energy-Efficient Buildings

This study aims to develop a concrete occupancy prediction as well as an optimal occupancy-based control solution for improving the efficiency of Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) systems. Accurate occupancy prediction is a key enabler for demand-based HVAC control so as to ensure HV...

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Main Authors: Jin Dong, Christopher Winstead, James Nutaro, Teja Kuruganti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-09-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/9/2427
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author Jin Dong
Christopher Winstead
James Nutaro
Teja Kuruganti
author_facet Jin Dong
Christopher Winstead
James Nutaro
Teja Kuruganti
author_sort Jin Dong
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to develop a concrete occupancy prediction as well as an optimal occupancy-based control solution for improving the efficiency of Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) systems. Accurate occupancy prediction is a key enabler for demand-based HVAC control so as to ensure HVAC is not run needlessly when when a room/zone is unoccupied. In this paper, we propose simple yet effective algorithms to predict occupancy alongside an algorithm for automatically assigning temperature set-points. Utilizing past occupancy observations, we introduce three different techniques for occupancy prediction. Firstly, we propose an identification-based approach, which identifies the model via Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. Secondly, we study a novel finite state automata (FSA) which can be reconstructed by a general systems problem solver (GSPS). Thirdly, we introduce an alternative stochastic model based on uncertain basis functions. The results show that all the proposed occupancy prediction techniques could achieve around 70% accuracy. Then, we have proposed a scheme to adaptively adjust the temperature set-points according to a novel temperature set algorithm with customers’ different discomfort tolerance indexes. By cooperating with the temperature set algorithm, our occupancy-based HVAC control shows 20% energy saving while still maintaining building comfort requirements.
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spelling doaj.art-594e4f2842bd486fb32493c46e4524492022-12-22T04:23:30ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732018-09-01119242710.3390/en11092427en11092427Occupancy-Based HVAC Control with Short-Term Occupancy Prediction Algorithms for Energy-Efficient BuildingsJin Dong0Christopher Winstead1James Nutaro2Teja Kuruganti3Energy and Transportation Science Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, USAComputational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, USAComputational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, USAComputational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, USAThis study aims to develop a concrete occupancy prediction as well as an optimal occupancy-based control solution for improving the efficiency of Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) systems. Accurate occupancy prediction is a key enabler for demand-based HVAC control so as to ensure HVAC is not run needlessly when when a room/zone is unoccupied. In this paper, we propose simple yet effective algorithms to predict occupancy alongside an algorithm for automatically assigning temperature set-points. Utilizing past occupancy observations, we introduce three different techniques for occupancy prediction. Firstly, we propose an identification-based approach, which identifies the model via Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. Secondly, we study a novel finite state automata (FSA) which can be reconstructed by a general systems problem solver (GSPS). Thirdly, we introduce an alternative stochastic model based on uncertain basis functions. The results show that all the proposed occupancy prediction techniques could achieve around 70% accuracy. Then, we have proposed a scheme to adaptively adjust the temperature set-points according to a novel temperature set algorithm with customers’ different discomfort tolerance indexes. By cooperating with the temperature set algorithm, our occupancy-based HVAC control shows 20% energy saving while still maintaining building comfort requirements.http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/9/2427occupancy modeloccupancy-based controlmodel predictive controlenergy efficiencybuilding climate control
spellingShingle Jin Dong
Christopher Winstead
James Nutaro
Teja Kuruganti
Occupancy-Based HVAC Control with Short-Term Occupancy Prediction Algorithms for Energy-Efficient Buildings
Energies
occupancy model
occupancy-based control
model predictive control
energy efficiency
building climate control
title Occupancy-Based HVAC Control with Short-Term Occupancy Prediction Algorithms for Energy-Efficient Buildings
title_full Occupancy-Based HVAC Control with Short-Term Occupancy Prediction Algorithms for Energy-Efficient Buildings
title_fullStr Occupancy-Based HVAC Control with Short-Term Occupancy Prediction Algorithms for Energy-Efficient Buildings
title_full_unstemmed Occupancy-Based HVAC Control with Short-Term Occupancy Prediction Algorithms for Energy-Efficient Buildings
title_short Occupancy-Based HVAC Control with Short-Term Occupancy Prediction Algorithms for Energy-Efficient Buildings
title_sort occupancy based hvac control with short term occupancy prediction algorithms for energy efficient buildings
topic occupancy model
occupancy-based control
model predictive control
energy efficiency
building climate control
url http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/9/2427
work_keys_str_mv AT jindong occupancybasedhvaccontrolwithshorttermoccupancypredictionalgorithmsforenergyefficientbuildings
AT christopherwinstead occupancybasedhvaccontrolwithshorttermoccupancypredictionalgorithmsforenergyefficientbuildings
AT jamesnutaro occupancybasedhvaccontrolwithshorttermoccupancypredictionalgorithmsforenergyefficientbuildings
AT tejakuruganti occupancybasedhvaccontrolwithshorttermoccupancypredictionalgorithmsforenergyefficientbuildings