An overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy

Summary: In recent years, a variety of wind forecasting models have been developed, prompting necessity to review the abundant methods to gain insights of the state-of-the-art development status. However, existing literature reviews only focus on a subclass of methods, such as multi-objective optimi...

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Main Authors: Yuying Xie, Chaoshun Li, Mengying Li, Fangjie Liu, Meruyert Taukenova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-01-01
Series:iScience
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004222020776
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author Yuying Xie
Chaoshun Li
Mengying Li
Fangjie Liu
Meruyert Taukenova
author_facet Yuying Xie
Chaoshun Li
Mengying Li
Fangjie Liu
Meruyert Taukenova
author_sort Yuying Xie
collection DOAJ
description Summary: In recent years, a variety of wind forecasting models have been developed, prompting necessity to review the abundant methods to gain insights of the state-of-the-art development status. However, existing literature reviews only focus on a subclass of methods, such as multi-objective optimization and machine learning methods while lacking the full particulars of wind forecasting field. Furthermore, the classification of wind forecasting methods is unclear and incomplete, especially considering the rapid development of this field. Therefore, this article aims to provide a systematic review of the existing deterministic and probabilistic wind forecasting methods, from the perspectives of data source, model evaluation framework, technical background, theoretical basis, and model performance. It is expected that this work will provide junior researchers with broad and detailed information on wind forecasting for their future development of more accurate and practical wind forecasting models.
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spelling doaj.art-596545ca1fc34f199d928967412fb9892023-01-22T04:41:06ZengElsevieriScience2589-00422023-01-01261105804An overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energyYuying Xie0Chaoshun Li1Mengying Li2Fangjie Liu3Meruyert Taukenova4China-EU Institute for Clean and Renewable Energy, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China; Department of Mechanical Engineering and Research Institute for Smart Energy, the Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, ChinaSchool of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China; China-EU Institute for Clean and Renewable Energy, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China; Corresponding authorDepartment of Mechanical Engineering and Research Institute for Smart Energy, the Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, ChinaChina-EU Institute for Clean and Renewable Energy, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, ChinaChina-EU Institute for Clean and Renewable Energy, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, ChinaSummary: In recent years, a variety of wind forecasting models have been developed, prompting necessity to review the abundant methods to gain insights of the state-of-the-art development status. However, existing literature reviews only focus on a subclass of methods, such as multi-objective optimization and machine learning methods while lacking the full particulars of wind forecasting field. Furthermore, the classification of wind forecasting methods is unclear and incomplete, especially considering the rapid development of this field. Therefore, this article aims to provide a systematic review of the existing deterministic and probabilistic wind forecasting methods, from the perspectives of data source, model evaluation framework, technical background, theoretical basis, and model performance. It is expected that this work will provide junior researchers with broad and detailed information on wind forecasting for their future development of more accurate and practical wind forecasting models.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004222020776Energy modelingenergy engineeringenergy systems
spellingShingle Yuying Xie
Chaoshun Li
Mengying Li
Fangjie Liu
Meruyert Taukenova
An overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy
iScience
Energy modeling
energy engineering
energy systems
title An overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy
title_full An overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy
title_fullStr An overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy
title_full_unstemmed An overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy
title_short An overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy
title_sort overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy
topic Energy modeling
energy engineering
energy systems
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004222020776
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