ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA: POTENTIAL LEVEL AND LIMITATIONS

Objective: comprehensive analysis of the causes of the observed slowdown of the Russian economy from the standpoint of internal growth factors - expansion of production capacity of the economic system and changes in purchasing power of the population. Methods: statistical, abstract-logical, method o...

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Main Author: S. N. Gusev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tatar Educational Center “Taglimat” Ltd. 2013-12-01
Series:Russian Journal of Economics and Law
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.rusjel.ru/jour/article/view/1475
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author S. N. Gusev
author_facet S. N. Gusev
author_sort S. N. Gusev
collection DOAJ
description Objective: comprehensive analysis of the causes of the observed slowdown of the Russian economy from the standpoint of internal growth factors - expansion of production capacity of the economic system and changes in purchasing power of the population. Methods: statistical, abstract-logical, method of calculations. Results: it is found that the "damping" rate of increase in gross domestic product in the domestic economy generally correspond to the potential level, set by the current intensity of the process of capital accumulation and the increasing dynamics of the households welfare. The assumption is formulated and justified that if the current reproduction trends continue to exist, the risk will increase for Russia to lag (on several key parameters of social and economic development) not only behind countries with mature market or rapidly growing economies , but also behind some of the former USSR republics. Scientific novelty: it is found that the existing models of investment activity and increase in population income (with such basic features as active migration of private capital to the foreign centres of profit accumulation; large share of state and quasi-state investments in the structure of national accumulation; deficit of internal sources of the cheap “long” money, and the extreme inequality in distribution of personal wealth) has no prerquisits for the Russian economy transitiion to the higher and more stable growth trajectory. Practical value: possible revision of conceptual frameworks, principles and directions of economic dynamics stimulation based on the full participation of national savings in investment turnover and overcoming excessive differentiation of the population by income level.
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spelling doaj.art-5973c7ba28424b769347233ffa1b94222024-03-20T08:16:46ZengTatar Educational Center “Taglimat” Ltd.Russian Journal of Economics and Law2782-29232013-12-01041301371473ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA: POTENTIAL LEVEL AND LIMITATIONSS. N. Gusev0Kazan (Volga region) Federal UniversityObjective: comprehensive analysis of the causes of the observed slowdown of the Russian economy from the standpoint of internal growth factors - expansion of production capacity of the economic system and changes in purchasing power of the population. Methods: statistical, abstract-logical, method of calculations. Results: it is found that the "damping" rate of increase in gross domestic product in the domestic economy generally correspond to the potential level, set by the current intensity of the process of capital accumulation and the increasing dynamics of the households welfare. The assumption is formulated and justified that if the current reproduction trends continue to exist, the risk will increase for Russia to lag (on several key parameters of social and economic development) not only behind countries with mature market or rapidly growing economies , but also behind some of the former USSR republics. Scientific novelty: it is found that the existing models of investment activity and increase in population income (with such basic features as active migration of private capital to the foreign centres of profit accumulation; large share of state and quasi-state investments in the structure of national accumulation; deficit of internal sources of the cheap “long” money, and the extreme inequality in distribution of personal wealth) has no prerquisits for the Russian economy transitiion to the higher and more stable growth trajectory. Practical value: possible revision of conceptual frameworks, principles and directions of economic dynamics stimulation based on the full participation of national savings in investment turnover and overcoming excessive differentiation of the population by income level.https://www.rusjel.ru/jour/article/view/1475economic growthproduction capabilitiesinvestment activitiescapital investmentsinvestment climateconsumer and corporate lendinghousehold incomepurchasing capacity of the populationinequality
spellingShingle S. N. Gusev
ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA: POTENTIAL LEVEL AND LIMITATIONS
Russian Journal of Economics and Law
economic growth
production capabilities
investment activities
capital investments
investment climate
consumer and corporate lending
household income
purchasing capacity of the population
inequality
title ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA: POTENTIAL LEVEL AND LIMITATIONS
title_full ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA: POTENTIAL LEVEL AND LIMITATIONS
title_fullStr ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA: POTENTIAL LEVEL AND LIMITATIONS
title_full_unstemmed ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA: POTENTIAL LEVEL AND LIMITATIONS
title_short ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA: POTENTIAL LEVEL AND LIMITATIONS
title_sort economic growth in russia potential level and limitations
topic economic growth
production capabilities
investment activities
capital investments
investment climate
consumer and corporate lending
household income
purchasing capacity of the population
inequality
url https://www.rusjel.ru/jour/article/view/1475
work_keys_str_mv AT sngusev economicgrowthinrussiapotentiallevelandlimitations