Physician density: will we ever close the gap?

Abstract Objective Physician density is a crucial element of a well-functioning health system. Previous research has investigated factors affecting country-level physician supply. To date, however, no evidence has been provided about the patterns of convergence in physician density among countries....

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Main Authors: Fabrizio Ferretti, Michele Mariani, Elena Sarti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-05-01
Series:BMC Research Notes
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-023-06353-8
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author Fabrizio Ferretti
Michele Mariani
Elena Sarti
author_facet Fabrizio Ferretti
Michele Mariani
Elena Sarti
author_sort Fabrizio Ferretti
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective Physician density is a crucial element of a well-functioning health system. Previous research has investigated factors affecting country-level physician supply. To date, however, no evidence has been provided about the patterns of convergence in physician density among countries. This paper thus tested club convergence in physician density in 204 countries worldwide from 1990 to 2019. A nonlinear time-varying factor model was adopted to identify potential clubs, wherein groups of countries tend to converge towards the same level of physician density. Our primary purpose was to document the potential long-lasting disparity in future global physician distribution. Results Despite physician density increasing in all regions globally from 1990 to 2019, we found no evidence in favor of the hypothesis of global convergence. Conversely, the clustering algorithm successfully identified three main patterns (i.e., three final clubs). With few exceptions, the results indicated an uneven physician distribution between the majority of North and Sub-Saharan African countries (where physician density would remain well below the estimated threshold of at least 70% of the Universal Health Coverage Services Index) and the rest of the world. These findings support the WHO's global strategy to reverse the chronic under-investment in human resources for health.
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spelling doaj.art-597f2a259eec49da9853f170ec661b612023-05-28T11:07:39ZengBMCBMC Research Notes1756-05002023-05-011611610.1186/s13104-023-06353-8Physician density: will we ever close the gap?Fabrizio Ferretti0Michele Mariani1Elena Sarti2Department of Communication and Economics, University of Modena and Reggio EmiliaDepartment of Communication and Economics, University of Modena and Reggio EmiliaDepartment of Economics – Marco Biagi, University of Modena and Reggio EmiliaAbstract Objective Physician density is a crucial element of a well-functioning health system. Previous research has investigated factors affecting country-level physician supply. To date, however, no evidence has been provided about the patterns of convergence in physician density among countries. This paper thus tested club convergence in physician density in 204 countries worldwide from 1990 to 2019. A nonlinear time-varying factor model was adopted to identify potential clubs, wherein groups of countries tend to converge towards the same level of physician density. Our primary purpose was to document the potential long-lasting disparity in future global physician distribution. Results Despite physician density increasing in all regions globally from 1990 to 2019, we found no evidence in favor of the hypothesis of global convergence. Conversely, the clustering algorithm successfully identified three main patterns (i.e., three final clubs). With few exceptions, the results indicated an uneven physician distribution between the majority of North and Sub-Saharan African countries (where physician density would remain well below the estimated threshold of at least 70% of the Universal Health Coverage Services Index) and the rest of the world. These findings support the WHO's global strategy to reverse the chronic under-investment in human resources for health.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-023-06353-8African countriesConvergenceClubsLog-t regressionPhysician density
spellingShingle Fabrizio Ferretti
Michele Mariani
Elena Sarti
Physician density: will we ever close the gap?
BMC Research Notes
African countries
Convergence
Clubs
Log-t regression
Physician density
title Physician density: will we ever close the gap?
title_full Physician density: will we ever close the gap?
title_fullStr Physician density: will we ever close the gap?
title_full_unstemmed Physician density: will we ever close the gap?
title_short Physician density: will we ever close the gap?
title_sort physician density will we ever close the gap
topic African countries
Convergence
Clubs
Log-t regression
Physician density
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-023-06353-8
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AT elenasarti physiciandensitywillweeverclosethegap