A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke Subtype

BackgroundOccult atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the major causes of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Knowing the underlying etiology of an ESUS will reduce stroke recurrence and/or unnecessary use of anticoagulants. Understanding cardioembolic strokes (CES), whose main cause is AF,...

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Main Authors: Jara Cárcel-Márquez, Elena Muiño, Cristina Gallego-Fabrega, Natalia Cullell, Miquel Lledós, Laia Llucià-Carol, Tomás Sobrino, Francisco Campos, José Castillo, Marimar Freijo, Juan Francisco Arenillas, Victor Obach, José Álvarez-Sabín, Carlos A. Molina, Marc Ribó, Jordi Jiménez-Conde, Jaume Roquer, Lucia Muñoz-Narbona, Elena Lopez-Cancio, Mònica Millán, Rosa Diaz-Navarro, Cristòfol Vives-Bauza, Gemma Serrano-Heras, Tomás Segura, Laura Ibañez, Laura Heitsch, Pilar Delgado, Rajat Dhar, Jerzy Krupinski, Raquel Delgado-Mederos, Luis Prats-Sánchez, Pol Camps-Renom, Natalia Blay, Lauro Sumoy, Rafael de Cid, Joan Montaner, Carlos Cruchaga, Jin-Moo Lee, Joan Martí-Fàbregas, Israel Férnandez-Cadenas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2022.940696/full
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author Jara Cárcel-Márquez
Jara Cárcel-Márquez
Elena Muiño
Cristina Gallego-Fabrega
Cristina Gallego-Fabrega
Natalia Cullell
Natalia Cullell
Miquel Lledós
Laia Llucià-Carol
Laia Llucià-Carol
Tomás Sobrino
Francisco Campos
José Castillo
Marimar Freijo
Juan Francisco Arenillas
Victor Obach
José Álvarez-Sabín
Carlos A. Molina
Marc Ribó
Jordi Jiménez-Conde
Jaume Roquer
Lucia Muñoz-Narbona
Elena Lopez-Cancio
Mònica Millán
Rosa Diaz-Navarro
Cristòfol Vives-Bauza
Gemma Serrano-Heras
Tomás Segura
Laura Ibañez
Laura Heitsch
Laura Heitsch
Pilar Delgado
Rajat Dhar
Jerzy Krupinski
Raquel Delgado-Mederos
Luis Prats-Sánchez
Pol Camps-Renom
Natalia Blay
Lauro Sumoy
Rafael de Cid
Joan Montaner
Carlos Cruchaga
Carlos Cruchaga
Jin-Moo Lee
Joan Martí-Fàbregas
Israel Férnandez-Cadenas
author_facet Jara Cárcel-Márquez
Jara Cárcel-Márquez
Elena Muiño
Cristina Gallego-Fabrega
Cristina Gallego-Fabrega
Natalia Cullell
Natalia Cullell
Miquel Lledós
Laia Llucià-Carol
Laia Llucià-Carol
Tomás Sobrino
Francisco Campos
José Castillo
Marimar Freijo
Juan Francisco Arenillas
Victor Obach
José Álvarez-Sabín
Carlos A. Molina
Marc Ribó
Jordi Jiménez-Conde
Jaume Roquer
Lucia Muñoz-Narbona
Elena Lopez-Cancio
Mònica Millán
Rosa Diaz-Navarro
Cristòfol Vives-Bauza
Gemma Serrano-Heras
Tomás Segura
Laura Ibañez
Laura Heitsch
Laura Heitsch
Pilar Delgado
Rajat Dhar
Jerzy Krupinski
Raquel Delgado-Mederos
Luis Prats-Sánchez
Pol Camps-Renom
Natalia Blay
Lauro Sumoy
Rafael de Cid
Joan Montaner
Carlos Cruchaga
Carlos Cruchaga
Jin-Moo Lee
Joan Martí-Fàbregas
Israel Férnandez-Cadenas
author_sort Jara Cárcel-Márquez
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundOccult atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the major causes of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Knowing the underlying etiology of an ESUS will reduce stroke recurrence and/or unnecessary use of anticoagulants. Understanding cardioembolic strokes (CES), whose main cause is AF, will provide tools to select patients who would benefit from anticoagulants among those with ESUS or AF. We aimed to discover novel loci associated with CES and create a polygenetic risk score (PRS) for a more efficient CES risk stratification.MethodsMultitrait analysis of GWAS (MTAG) was performed with MEGASTROKE-CES cohort (n = 362,661) and AF cohort (n = 1,030,836). We considered significant variants and replicated those variants with MTAG p-value < 5 × 10−8 influencing both traits (GWAS-pairwise) with a p-value < 0.05 in the original GWAS and in an independent cohort (n = 9,105). The PRS was created with PRSice-2 and evaluated in the independent cohort.ResultsWe found and replicated eleven loci associated with CES. Eight were novel loci. Seven of them had been previously associated with AF, namely, CAV1, ESR2, GORAB, IGF1R, NEURL1, WIPF1, and ZEB2. KIAA1755 locus had never been associated with CES/AF, leading its index variant to a missense change (R1045W). The PRS generated has been significantly associated with CES improving discrimination and patient reclassification of a model with age, sex, and hypertension.ConclusionThe loci found significantly associated with CES in the MTAG, together with the creation of a PRS that improves the predictive clinical models of CES, might help guide future clinical trials of anticoagulant therapy in patients with ESUS or AF.
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spelling doaj.art-59cc2ac670ff4756af4144e6cde2a58a2022-12-22T00:54:56ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine2297-055X2022-07-01910.3389/fcvm.2022.940696940696A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke SubtypeJara Cárcel-Márquez0Jara Cárcel-Márquez1Elena Muiño2Cristina Gallego-Fabrega3Cristina Gallego-Fabrega4Natalia Cullell5Natalia Cullell6Miquel Lledós7Laia Llucià-Carol8Laia Llucià-Carol9Tomás Sobrino10Francisco Campos11José Castillo12Marimar Freijo13Juan Francisco Arenillas14Victor Obach15José Álvarez-Sabín16Carlos A. Molina17Marc Ribó18Jordi Jiménez-Conde19Jaume Roquer20Lucia Muñoz-Narbona21Elena Lopez-Cancio22Mònica Millán23Rosa Diaz-Navarro24Cristòfol Vives-Bauza25Gemma Serrano-Heras26Tomás Segura27Laura Ibañez28Laura Heitsch29Laura Heitsch30Pilar Delgado31Rajat Dhar32Jerzy Krupinski33Raquel Delgado-Mederos34Luis Prats-Sánchez35Pol Camps-Renom36Natalia Blay37Lauro Sumoy38Rafael de Cid39Joan Montaner40Carlos Cruchaga41Carlos Cruchaga42Jin-Moo Lee43Joan Martí-Fàbregas44Israel Férnandez-Cadenas45Stroke Pharmacogenomics and Genetics Group, Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB SANT PAU), Barcelona, SpainDepartament de Medicina, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, SpainStroke Pharmacogenomics and Genetics Group, Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB SANT PAU), Barcelona, SpainStroke Pharmacogenomics and Genetics Group, Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB SANT PAU), Barcelona, SpainStroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Barcelona, SpainStroke Pharmacogenomics and Genetics Group, Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB SANT PAU), Barcelona, SpainStroke Pharmacogenomics and Genetics Laboratory, Fundación Docència i Recerca Mútua Terrassa, Hospital Mútua Terrassa, Terrassa, SpainStroke Pharmacogenomics and Genetics Group, Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB SANT PAU), Barcelona, SpainStroke Pharmacogenomics and Genetics Group, Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB SANT PAU), Barcelona, SpainDepartment de Genética i de Microbiologia, Universitat Autónoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, SpainClinical Neurosciences Research Laboratory, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Santiago de Compostela, Health Research Institute of Santiago de Compostela (IDIS), Santiago de Compostela, SpainClinical Neurosciences Research Laboratory, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Santiago de Compostela, Health Research Institute of Santiago de Compostela (IDIS), Santiago de Compostela, SpainClinical Neurosciences Research Laboratory, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Santiago de Compostela, Health Research Institute of Santiago de Compostela (IDIS), Santiago de Compostela, SpainDepartment of Neurology, Biocruces-Bizkaia Health Research Institute, Bilbao, SpainStroke Unit, Department of Neurology, University Hospital of Valladolid, Valladolid, SpainDepartment of Neurology, Hospital Clínic de Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Barcelona, Spain0Stroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain0Stroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain0Stroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain1Department of Neurology, IMIM-Hospital del Mar; Neurovascular Research Group, IMIM (Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona/DCEXS-Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain1Department of Neurology, IMIM-Hospital del Mar; Neurovascular Research Group, IMIM (Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona/DCEXS-Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain2Department of Neurosciences, Hospital Germans Trias i Pujol, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain3Department of Neurology, University Hospital Central de Asturias (HUCA).Oviedo, Spain2Department of Neurosciences, Hospital Germans Trias i Pujol, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain4Department of Neurology, Son Espases University Hospital, Illes Balears Health Research Institute (IdISBa), Palma, Spain4Department of Neurology, Son Espases University Hospital, Illes Balears Health Research Institute (IdISBa), Palma, Spain5Department of Neurology, University Hospital of Albacete, Albacete, Spain5Department of Neurology, University Hospital of Albacete, Albacete, Spain6Department of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO, United States7Department of Emergency Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO, United States8Department of Neurology, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO, United States9Neurovascular Research Laboratory, Vall d'Hebron Institute of Research, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain8Department of Neurology, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO, United States0Neurology Service, Hospital Universitari Mútua Terrassa, Terrassa, SpainStroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Barcelona, SpainStroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Barcelona, SpainStroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Barcelona, Spain1GenomesForLife-GCAT Lab, Germans Trias i Pujol Research Institute (IGTP), Badalona, Spain2High Content Genomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Germans Trias i Pujol Research Institute (IGTP), Badalona, Spain1GenomesForLife-GCAT Lab, Germans Trias i Pujol Research Institute (IGTP), Badalona, Spain3Institute de Biomedicine of Seville, IBiS/Hospital Universitario Virgen del Rocío/CSIC/University of Seville and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitario Virgen Macarena, Seville, Spain6Department of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO, United States4Neurogenomics and Informatics Center at Washington University in St. Louis, Saint Louis, MO, United States8Department of Neurology, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO, United StatesStroke Unit, Department of Neurology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Barcelona, SpainStroke Pharmacogenomics and Genetics Group, Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB SANT PAU), Barcelona, SpainBackgroundOccult atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the major causes of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Knowing the underlying etiology of an ESUS will reduce stroke recurrence and/or unnecessary use of anticoagulants. Understanding cardioembolic strokes (CES), whose main cause is AF, will provide tools to select patients who would benefit from anticoagulants among those with ESUS or AF. We aimed to discover novel loci associated with CES and create a polygenetic risk score (PRS) for a more efficient CES risk stratification.MethodsMultitrait analysis of GWAS (MTAG) was performed with MEGASTROKE-CES cohort (n = 362,661) and AF cohort (n = 1,030,836). We considered significant variants and replicated those variants with MTAG p-value < 5 × 10−8 influencing both traits (GWAS-pairwise) with a p-value < 0.05 in the original GWAS and in an independent cohort (n = 9,105). The PRS was created with PRSice-2 and evaluated in the independent cohort.ResultsWe found and replicated eleven loci associated with CES. Eight were novel loci. Seven of them had been previously associated with AF, namely, CAV1, ESR2, GORAB, IGF1R, NEURL1, WIPF1, and ZEB2. KIAA1755 locus had never been associated with CES/AF, leading its index variant to a missense change (R1045W). The PRS generated has been significantly associated with CES improving discrimination and patient reclassification of a model with age, sex, and hypertension.ConclusionThe loci found significantly associated with CES in the MTAG, together with the creation of a PRS that improves the predictive clinical models of CES, might help guide future clinical trials of anticoagulant therapy in patients with ESUS or AF.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2022.940696/fullpolygenic risk scoreGWASmulti-trait analysisstrokeESUs
spellingShingle Jara Cárcel-Márquez
Jara Cárcel-Márquez
Elena Muiño
Cristina Gallego-Fabrega
Cristina Gallego-Fabrega
Natalia Cullell
Natalia Cullell
Miquel Lledós
Laia Llucià-Carol
Laia Llucià-Carol
Tomás Sobrino
Francisco Campos
José Castillo
Marimar Freijo
Juan Francisco Arenillas
Victor Obach
José Álvarez-Sabín
Carlos A. Molina
Marc Ribó
Jordi Jiménez-Conde
Jaume Roquer
Lucia Muñoz-Narbona
Elena Lopez-Cancio
Mònica Millán
Rosa Diaz-Navarro
Cristòfol Vives-Bauza
Gemma Serrano-Heras
Tomás Segura
Laura Ibañez
Laura Heitsch
Laura Heitsch
Pilar Delgado
Rajat Dhar
Jerzy Krupinski
Raquel Delgado-Mederos
Luis Prats-Sánchez
Pol Camps-Renom
Natalia Blay
Lauro Sumoy
Rafael de Cid
Joan Montaner
Carlos Cruchaga
Carlos Cruchaga
Jin-Moo Lee
Joan Martí-Fàbregas
Israel Férnandez-Cadenas
A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke Subtype
Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
polygenic risk score
GWAS
multi-trait analysis
stroke
ESUs
title A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke Subtype
title_full A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke Subtype
title_fullStr A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke Subtype
title_full_unstemmed A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke Subtype
title_short A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke Subtype
title_sort polygenic risk score based on a cardioembolic stroke multitrait analysis improves a clinical prediction model for this stroke subtype
topic polygenic risk score
GWAS
multi-trait analysis
stroke
ESUs
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2022.940696/full
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AT lauraibanez polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT lauraheitsch polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT lauraheitsch polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT pilardelgado polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT rajatdhar polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT jerzykrupinski polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT raqueldelgadomederos polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT luispratssanchez polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT polcampsrenom polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT nataliablay polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT laurosumoy polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT rafaeldecid polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT joanmontaner polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT carloscruchaga polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT carloscruchaga polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT jinmoolee polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT joanmartifabregas polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype
AT israelfernandezcadenas polygenicriskscorebasedonacardioembolicstrokemultitraitanalysisimprovesaclinicalpredictionmodelforthisstrokesubtype