Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection
Abstract Land conservation and increased carbon uptake on land are fundamental to achieving the ambitious targets of the climate and biodiversity conventions. Yet, it remains largely unknown how such ambitions, along with an increasing demand for agricultural products, could drive landscape-scale ch...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2023-05-01
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| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38043-1 |
| _version_ | 1797822802992037888 |
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| author | Patrick José von Jeetze Isabelle Weindl Justin Andrew Johnson Pasquale Borrelli Panos Panagos Edna J. Molina Bacca Kristine Karstens Florian Humpenöder Jan Philipp Dietrich Sara Minoli Christoph Müller Hermann Lotze-Campen Alexander Popp |
| author_facet | Patrick José von Jeetze Isabelle Weindl Justin Andrew Johnson Pasquale Borrelli Panos Panagos Edna J. Molina Bacca Kristine Karstens Florian Humpenöder Jan Philipp Dietrich Sara Minoli Christoph Müller Hermann Lotze-Campen Alexander Popp |
| author_sort | Patrick José von Jeetze |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Land conservation and increased carbon uptake on land are fundamental to achieving the ambitious targets of the climate and biodiversity conventions. Yet, it remains largely unknown how such ambitions, along with an increasing demand for agricultural products, could drive landscape-scale changes and affect other key regulating nature’s contributions to people (NCP) that sustain land productivity outside conservation priority areas. By using an integrated, globally consistent modelling approach, we show that ambitious carbon-focused land restoration action and the enlargement of protected areas alone may be insufficient to reverse negative trends in landscape heterogeneity, pollination supply, and soil loss. However, we also find that these actions could be combined with dedicated interventions that support critical NCP and biodiversity conservation outside of protected areas. In particular, our models indicate that conserving at least 20% semi-natural habitat within farmed landscapes could primarily be achieved by spatially relocating cropland outside conservation priority areas, without additional carbon losses from land-use change, primary land conversion or reductions in agricultural productivity. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-13T10:14:32Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-59e2c8b3a77c4411949b54a6828553c4 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2041-1723 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-13T10:14:32Z |
| publishDate | 2023-05-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nature Communications |
| spelling | doaj.art-59e2c8b3a77c4411949b54a6828553c42023-05-21T11:19:57ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232023-05-0114111410.1038/s41467-023-38043-1Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protectionPatrick José von Jeetze0Isabelle Weindl1Justin Andrew Johnson2Pasquale Borrelli3Panos Panagos4Edna J. Molina Bacca5Kristine Karstens6Florian Humpenöder7Jan Philipp Dietrich8Sara Minoli9Christoph Müller10Hermann Lotze-Campen11Alexander Popp12Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationDepartment of Applied Economics, University of Minnesota, 1940 Buford AveDepartment of Environmental Sciences, Environmental Geosciences, University of BaselEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz AssociationAbstract Land conservation and increased carbon uptake on land are fundamental to achieving the ambitious targets of the climate and biodiversity conventions. Yet, it remains largely unknown how such ambitions, along with an increasing demand for agricultural products, could drive landscape-scale changes and affect other key regulating nature’s contributions to people (NCP) that sustain land productivity outside conservation priority areas. By using an integrated, globally consistent modelling approach, we show that ambitious carbon-focused land restoration action and the enlargement of protected areas alone may be insufficient to reverse negative trends in landscape heterogeneity, pollination supply, and soil loss. However, we also find that these actions could be combined with dedicated interventions that support critical NCP and biodiversity conservation outside of protected areas. In particular, our models indicate that conserving at least 20% semi-natural habitat within farmed landscapes could primarily be achieved by spatially relocating cropland outside conservation priority areas, without additional carbon losses from land-use change, primary land conversion or reductions in agricultural productivity.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38043-1 |
| spellingShingle | Patrick José von Jeetze Isabelle Weindl Justin Andrew Johnson Pasquale Borrelli Panos Panagos Edna J. Molina Bacca Kristine Karstens Florian Humpenöder Jan Philipp Dietrich Sara Minoli Christoph Müller Hermann Lotze-Campen Alexander Popp Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection Nature Communications |
| title | Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection |
| title_full | Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection |
| title_fullStr | Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection |
| title_short | Projected landscape-scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection |
| title_sort | projected landscape scale repercussions of global action for climate and biodiversity protection |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38043-1 |
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