Entropy Variations of Multi-Scale Returns of Optimal and Noise Traders Engaged in “Bucket Shop Trading”

In this paper a comparative, coarse grained, entropy data analysis of multi-scale log-returns distribution, produced by an ideal “optimal trader” and one thousand “noise traders” performing “bucket shop” trading, by following four different financial daily indices, is presented. A sole optimal trade...

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Main Authors: Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya, Carlos Manuel Rodríguez-Martínez, Manuel Enríque Rodríguez-Achach, David Hernández-Enríquez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-01-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/2/215
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author Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya
Carlos Manuel Rodríguez-Martínez
Manuel Enríque Rodríguez-Achach
David Hernández-Enríquez
author_facet Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya
Carlos Manuel Rodríguez-Martínez
Manuel Enríque Rodríguez-Achach
David Hernández-Enríquez
author_sort Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya
collection DOAJ
description In this paper a comparative, coarse grained, entropy data analysis of multi-scale log-returns distribution, produced by an ideal “optimal trader” and one thousand “noise traders” performing “bucket shop” trading, by following four different financial daily indices, is presented. A sole optimal trader is assigned to each one of these four analyzed markets, DJIA, IPC, Nikkei and DAX. Distribution of differential entropies of the corresponding multi-scale log-returns of the optimal and noise traders are calculated. Kullback-Leiber distances between the different optimal traders returns distributions are also calculated and results discussed. We show that the entropy of returns distribution of optimal traders for each analyzed market indeed reaches minimum values with respect to entropy distribution of noise traders and we measure this distance in <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mi>σ</mi></semantics></math></inline-formula> units for each analyzed market. We also include a discussion on stationarity of the introduced multi-scale log-returns observable. Finally, a practical application of the obtained results related with ranking markets by their entropy measure as calculated here is presented.
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spelling doaj.art-59e68e78eea94a5989af757a487fcf7d2023-11-23T14:34:06ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902022-01-0110221510.3390/math10020215Entropy Variations of Multi-Scale Returns of Optimal and Noise Traders Engaged in “Bucket Shop Trading”Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya0Carlos Manuel Rodríguez-Martínez1Manuel Enríque Rodríguez-Achach2David Hernández-Enríquez3Instituto de Investigaciones en Inteligencia Artificial, Universidad Veracruzana, Xalapa Veracruz 91097, MexicoInstituto de Investigaciones en Inteligencia Artificial, Universidad Veracruzana, Xalapa Veracruz 91097, MexicoUnidad Experimental Marista (UNEXMAR), Universidad Marista de Mérida, Mérida Yucatán 97300, MexicoInstituto de Investigaciones en Inteligencia Artificial, Universidad Veracruzana, Xalapa Veracruz 91097, MexicoIn this paper a comparative, coarse grained, entropy data analysis of multi-scale log-returns distribution, produced by an ideal “optimal trader” and one thousand “noise traders” performing “bucket shop” trading, by following four different financial daily indices, is presented. A sole optimal trader is assigned to each one of these four analyzed markets, DJIA, IPC, Nikkei and DAX. Distribution of differential entropies of the corresponding multi-scale log-returns of the optimal and noise traders are calculated. Kullback-Leiber distances between the different optimal traders returns distributions are also calculated and results discussed. We show that the entropy of returns distribution of optimal traders for each analyzed market indeed reaches minimum values with respect to entropy distribution of noise traders and we measure this distance in <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mi>σ</mi></semantics></math></inline-formula> units for each analyzed market. We also include a discussion on stationarity of the introduced multi-scale log-returns observable. Finally, a practical application of the obtained results related with ranking markets by their entropy measure as calculated here is presented.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/2/215financial marketsentropyprice trendsmulti-scale returnsoptimal tradernoise trader
spellingShingle Alejandro Raúl Hernández-Montoya
Carlos Manuel Rodríguez-Martínez
Manuel Enríque Rodríguez-Achach
David Hernández-Enríquez
Entropy Variations of Multi-Scale Returns of Optimal and Noise Traders Engaged in “Bucket Shop Trading”
Mathematics
financial markets
entropy
price trends
multi-scale returns
optimal trader
noise trader
title Entropy Variations of Multi-Scale Returns of Optimal and Noise Traders Engaged in “Bucket Shop Trading”
title_full Entropy Variations of Multi-Scale Returns of Optimal and Noise Traders Engaged in “Bucket Shop Trading”
title_fullStr Entropy Variations of Multi-Scale Returns of Optimal and Noise Traders Engaged in “Bucket Shop Trading”
title_full_unstemmed Entropy Variations of Multi-Scale Returns of Optimal and Noise Traders Engaged in “Bucket Shop Trading”
title_short Entropy Variations of Multi-Scale Returns of Optimal and Noise Traders Engaged in “Bucket Shop Trading”
title_sort entropy variations of multi scale returns of optimal and noise traders engaged in bucket shop trading
topic financial markets
entropy
price trends
multi-scale returns
optimal trader
noise trader
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/2/215
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AT manuelenriquerodriguezachach entropyvariationsofmultiscalereturnsofoptimalandnoisetradersengagedinbucketshoptrading
AT davidhernandezenriquez entropyvariationsofmultiscalereturnsofoptimalandnoisetradersengagedinbucketshoptrading