The long-term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of Uzbekistan
The article considers the possibility of using the least squares method (LSM) for long-term forecasting of the parameters of the regime of electric power systems. There is presented least squares method for predicting the parameters of the regime of electric power systems. It is shown that, based on...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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EDP Sciences
2020-01-01
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Series: | E3S Web of Conferences |
Online Access: | https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/76/e3sconf_rses2020_01101.pdf |
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author | Losev Denis |
author_facet | Losev Denis |
author_sort | Losev Denis |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The article considers the possibility of using the least squares method (LSM) for long-term forecasting of the parameters of the regime of electric power systems. There is presented least squares method for predicting the parameters of the regime of electric power systems. It is shown that, based on the least-squares method, it is possible to obtain prognostic equations, as well as coefficients of approximating functions necessary for the formation of these equations. The results of the analysis of the comparison of linear, hyperbolic, logarithmic, exponential and quadratic functions on the use of LSMs to predict specific fuel consumption are presented. The criterion of the least squares method, which is according for using the statistical data of the control sample in the obtained prognostic functions, the standard deviations are found. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-13T10:37:04Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-5a0eb87cc90b4b1bbc76eca7b7d3e290 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2267-1242 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-13T10:37:04Z |
publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
publisher | EDP Sciences |
record_format | Article |
series | E3S Web of Conferences |
spelling | doaj.art-5a0eb87cc90b4b1bbc76eca7b7d3e2902022-12-21T23:50:41ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422020-01-012160110110.1051/e3sconf/202021601101e3sconf_rses2020_01101The long-term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of UzbekistanLosev Denis0Joint-stock company «National electric networks of Uzbekistan», National Dispatch CenterThe article considers the possibility of using the least squares method (LSM) for long-term forecasting of the parameters of the regime of electric power systems. There is presented least squares method for predicting the parameters of the regime of electric power systems. It is shown that, based on the least-squares method, it is possible to obtain prognostic equations, as well as coefficients of approximating functions necessary for the formation of these equations. The results of the analysis of the comparison of linear, hyperbolic, logarithmic, exponential and quadratic functions on the use of LSMs to predict specific fuel consumption are presented. The criterion of the least squares method, which is according for using the statistical data of the control sample in the obtained prognostic functions, the standard deviations are found.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/76/e3sconf_rses2020_01101.pdf |
spellingShingle | Losev Denis The long-term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of Uzbekistan E3S Web of Conferences |
title | The long-term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of Uzbekistan |
title_full | The long-term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of Uzbekistan |
title_fullStr | The long-term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of Uzbekistan |
title_full_unstemmed | The long-term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of Uzbekistan |
title_short | The long-term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of Uzbekistan |
title_sort | long term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of uzbekistan |
url | https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/76/e3sconf_rses2020_01101.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv | AT losevdenis thelongtermforecastingofspecificfuelconsumptionbythepowersystemofuzbekistan AT losevdenis longtermforecastingofspecificfuelconsumptionbythepowersystemofuzbekistan |