Particle swarm optimization and RBF neural networks for public transport arrival time prediction using GTFS data

Accurate prediction of Public Transport (PT) mobility is important for intelligent transportation. Nowadays, mobility data have become increasingly available with the General Transit Feed Specification (GTFS) being the format for PT agencies to disseminate such data. Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA)...

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Main Authors: Eva Chondrodima, Harris Georgiou, Nikos Pelekis, Yannis Theodoridis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-11-01
Series:International Journal of Information Management Data Insights
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667096822000295
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author Eva Chondrodima
Harris Georgiou
Nikos Pelekis
Yannis Theodoridis
author_facet Eva Chondrodima
Harris Georgiou
Nikos Pelekis
Yannis Theodoridis
author_sort Eva Chondrodima
collection DOAJ
description Accurate prediction of Public Transport (PT) mobility is important for intelligent transportation. Nowadays, mobility data have become increasingly available with the General Transit Feed Specification (GTFS) being the format for PT agencies to disseminate such data. Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) of PT is crucial for the public, as well as the PT agency for logistics, route-optimization, maintenance, etc. However, prediction of PT-ETA is a challenging task, due to the complex and non-stationary urban traffic. This work introduces a novel data-driven approach for predicting PT-ETA based on RBF neural networks, using a modified version of the successful PSO-NSFM algorithm for training. Additionally, a novel pre-processing pipeline (CR-GTFS) is designed for cleansing and reconstructing the GTFS data. The combination of PSO-NSFM and CR-GTFS introduces a complete framework for predicting PT-ETA accurately with real-world data feeds. Experiments on GTFS data verify the proposed approach, outperforming state-of-the-art in prediction accuracy and computational times.
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spelling doaj.art-5a6220091add4fb68530a333adfc27bb2022-12-22T04:36:39ZengElsevierInternational Journal of Information Management Data Insights2667-09682022-11-0122100086Particle swarm optimization and RBF neural networks for public transport arrival time prediction using GTFS dataEva Chondrodima0Harris Georgiou1Nikos Pelekis2Yannis Theodoridis3Corresponding author.; Department of Informatics, University of Piraeus, GreeceDepartment of Informatics, University of Piraeus, GreeceDepartment of Statistics and Insurance Science, University of Piraeus, GreeceDepartment of Informatics, University of Piraeus, GreeceAccurate prediction of Public Transport (PT) mobility is important for intelligent transportation. Nowadays, mobility data have become increasingly available with the General Transit Feed Specification (GTFS) being the format for PT agencies to disseminate such data. Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) of PT is crucial for the public, as well as the PT agency for logistics, route-optimization, maintenance, etc. However, prediction of PT-ETA is a challenging task, due to the complex and non-stationary urban traffic. This work introduces a novel data-driven approach for predicting PT-ETA based on RBF neural networks, using a modified version of the successful PSO-NSFM algorithm for training. Additionally, a novel pre-processing pipeline (CR-GTFS) is designed for cleansing and reconstructing the GTFS data. The combination of PSO-NSFM and CR-GTFS introduces a complete framework for predicting PT-ETA accurately with real-world data feeds. Experiments on GTFS data verify the proposed approach, outperforming state-of-the-art in prediction accuracy and computational times.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667096822000295Estimated time of arrival (ETA)Fuzzy meansGeneral transit feed specification (GTFS)Intelligent transportation systemsNeural networks (NN)Particle swarm optimization (PSO)
spellingShingle Eva Chondrodima
Harris Georgiou
Nikos Pelekis
Yannis Theodoridis
Particle swarm optimization and RBF neural networks for public transport arrival time prediction using GTFS data
International Journal of Information Management Data Insights
Estimated time of arrival (ETA)
Fuzzy means
General transit feed specification (GTFS)
Intelligent transportation systems
Neural networks (NN)
Particle swarm optimization (PSO)
title Particle swarm optimization and RBF neural networks for public transport arrival time prediction using GTFS data
title_full Particle swarm optimization and RBF neural networks for public transport arrival time prediction using GTFS data
title_fullStr Particle swarm optimization and RBF neural networks for public transport arrival time prediction using GTFS data
title_full_unstemmed Particle swarm optimization and RBF neural networks for public transport arrival time prediction using GTFS data
title_short Particle swarm optimization and RBF neural networks for public transport arrival time prediction using GTFS data
title_sort particle swarm optimization and rbf neural networks for public transport arrival time prediction using gtfs data
topic Estimated time of arrival (ETA)
Fuzzy means
General transit feed specification (GTFS)
Intelligent transportation systems
Neural networks (NN)
Particle swarm optimization (PSO)
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667096822000295
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