Consistency of reports of violence from northern Rakhine state in August 2017

Abstract Background In August 2017, Myanmar’s Armed Forces, the Tatmadaw, launched an orchestrated attack on hundreds of Rohingya-majority villages in northern Rakhine state. This study seeks to validate the consistency of previous reports of violence against the Rohingya people in the region carrie...

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Main Authors: Sarah Trager, Jennifer Leigh, Andrea Woods, Parveen Parmar, Agnes Petty, Rohini Haar, Chris Beyrer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-05-01
Series:Conflict and Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13031-022-00453-1
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author Sarah Trager
Jennifer Leigh
Andrea Woods
Parveen Parmar
Agnes Petty
Rohini Haar
Chris Beyrer
author_facet Sarah Trager
Jennifer Leigh
Andrea Woods
Parveen Parmar
Agnes Petty
Rohini Haar
Chris Beyrer
author_sort Sarah Trager
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background In August 2017, Myanmar’s Armed Forces, the Tatmadaw, launched an orchestrated attack on hundreds of Rohingya-majority villages in northern Rakhine state. This study seeks to validate the consistency of previous reports of violence against the Rohingya people in the region carried out by the Tatmadaw, Border Guard Police, and Rakhine villagers in the late summer and early fall of 2017. Methods Internal validation data is from a three-armed study. Data analyzed in the external triangulation was sourced through a literature review of known, publicly available surveys and interviews. Both sets of data documented instances of violence against the Rohingya people in northern Rakhine state during the late summer and early fall of 2017. Consistency was evaluated across five indicators of violence: arson, presence of mass graves, reports of sexual violence and human injuries, as well as human fatalities, across 611 locales in northern Rakhine state. Further analysis was conducted to measure consistency of reports by locale and across locales by indicator. Results Overall, an internal validation of 94 hamlets found that 98% of these locales were consistent across at least four of the five indicators (80% + consistency). Arson and reports of human injuries were the most consistent indicators across locales (100% and 99% consistency, respectively) and sexual violence was the least consistent indicator, with 84% of participating locales exhibiting consistent reports of sexual violence between the qualitative and quantitative data. Similarly, an external validation of 57 locations found that 50 of the 57 locations (88%) were consistent across indicators. Arson was the most consistent across sources (96%), whereas source agreement across locations was the least consistent for reports of sexual violence (58%). Conclusion The government of Myanmar has denied involvement in the 2017 attacks on Rohingya communities in northern Rakhine state and purports that reports of the violence and destruction are overstated. However, consistent reporting from multiple sources on the same locales clearly underscores the veracity of the evidence documented, both by investigative groups and as recounted by Rohingya survivors of violence. It is our hope that this cataloging and comparison of available data, along with this study’s assessment of its consistency, will aid ongoing accountability efforts.
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spelling doaj.art-5a6f11d85d7c4ebea1e5a1f0de1c18ee2022-12-22T02:23:54ZengBMCConflict and Health1752-15052022-05-0116111610.1186/s13031-022-00453-1Consistency of reports of violence from northern Rakhine state in August 2017Sarah Trager0Jennifer Leigh1Andrea Woods2Parveen Parmar3Agnes Petty4Rohini Haar5Chris Beyrer6Johns Hopkins Center for Public Health and Human RightsJohns Hopkins Center for Public Health and Human RightsJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public HealthClinical Emergency Medicine, University of Southern CaliforniaJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public HealthPhysicians for Human RightsJohns Hopkins Center for Public Health and Human RightsAbstract Background In August 2017, Myanmar’s Armed Forces, the Tatmadaw, launched an orchestrated attack on hundreds of Rohingya-majority villages in northern Rakhine state. This study seeks to validate the consistency of previous reports of violence against the Rohingya people in the region carried out by the Tatmadaw, Border Guard Police, and Rakhine villagers in the late summer and early fall of 2017. Methods Internal validation data is from a three-armed study. Data analyzed in the external triangulation was sourced through a literature review of known, publicly available surveys and interviews. Both sets of data documented instances of violence against the Rohingya people in northern Rakhine state during the late summer and early fall of 2017. Consistency was evaluated across five indicators of violence: arson, presence of mass graves, reports of sexual violence and human injuries, as well as human fatalities, across 611 locales in northern Rakhine state. Further analysis was conducted to measure consistency of reports by locale and across locales by indicator. Results Overall, an internal validation of 94 hamlets found that 98% of these locales were consistent across at least four of the five indicators (80% + consistency). Arson and reports of human injuries were the most consistent indicators across locales (100% and 99% consistency, respectively) and sexual violence was the least consistent indicator, with 84% of participating locales exhibiting consistent reports of sexual violence between the qualitative and quantitative data. Similarly, an external validation of 57 locations found that 50 of the 57 locations (88%) were consistent across indicators. Arson was the most consistent across sources (96%), whereas source agreement across locations was the least consistent for reports of sexual violence (58%). Conclusion The government of Myanmar has denied involvement in the 2017 attacks on Rohingya communities in northern Rakhine state and purports that reports of the violence and destruction are overstated. However, consistent reporting from multiple sources on the same locales clearly underscores the veracity of the evidence documented, both by investigative groups and as recounted by Rohingya survivors of violence. It is our hope that this cataloging and comparison of available data, along with this study’s assessment of its consistency, will aid ongoing accountability efforts.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13031-022-00453-1RohingyaMyanmarConsistencyTriangulationValidationAugust 2017
spellingShingle Sarah Trager
Jennifer Leigh
Andrea Woods
Parveen Parmar
Agnes Petty
Rohini Haar
Chris Beyrer
Consistency of reports of violence from northern Rakhine state in August 2017
Conflict and Health
Rohingya
Myanmar
Consistency
Triangulation
Validation
August 2017
title Consistency of reports of violence from northern Rakhine state in August 2017
title_full Consistency of reports of violence from northern Rakhine state in August 2017
title_fullStr Consistency of reports of violence from northern Rakhine state in August 2017
title_full_unstemmed Consistency of reports of violence from northern Rakhine state in August 2017
title_short Consistency of reports of violence from northern Rakhine state in August 2017
title_sort consistency of reports of violence from northern rakhine state in august 2017
topic Rohingya
Myanmar
Consistency
Triangulation
Validation
August 2017
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13031-022-00453-1
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