Predicting Customers Churn in a Relational Database

This paper explores how two main classical classification models work and generate predictions through a commercial solution of relational database management system (Microsoft SQL Server 2012). The aim of the paper is to accurately predict churn among a set of customers defined by various discrete...

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Main Authors: Catalin CIMPOERU, Anca Ioana ANDREESCU
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Inforec Association 2014-01-01
Series:Informatică economică
Subjects:
Online Access:http://revistaie.ase.ro/content/71/01%20-%20Cimpoeru,%20Andreescu.pdf
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author Catalin CIMPOERU
Anca Ioana ANDREESCU
author_facet Catalin CIMPOERU
Anca Ioana ANDREESCU
author_sort Catalin CIMPOERU
collection DOAJ
description This paper explores how two main classical classification models work and generate predictions through a commercial solution of relational database management system (Microsoft SQL Server 2012). The aim of the paper is to accurately predict churn among a set of customers defined by various discrete and continuous variables, derived from three main data sources: the commercial transactions history; the users’ behavior or events happening on their computers; the specific identity information provided by the customers themselves. On a theoretical side, the paper presents the main concepts and ideas underlying the Decision Tree and Naïve Bayes classifiers and exemplifies some of them with actual hand-made calculations of the data being modeled by the software. On an analytical and practical side, the paper analyzes the graphs and tables generated by the classifying models and also reveal the main data insights. In the end, the classifiers’ accuracy is evaluated based on the test data method. The most accurate one is chosen for generating predictions on the customers’ data where the values of the response variable are not known.
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spelling doaj.art-5a8cb8fc7027425f80d19ff3a1a969252022-12-21T19:27:19ZengInforec AssociationInformatică economică1453-13051842-80882014-01-0118351610.12948/issn14531305/18.3.2014.01Predicting Customers Churn in a Relational DatabaseCatalin CIMPOERUAnca Ioana ANDREESCUThis paper explores how two main classical classification models work and generate predictions through a commercial solution of relational database management system (Microsoft SQL Server 2012). The aim of the paper is to accurately predict churn among a set of customers defined by various discrete and continuous variables, derived from three main data sources: the commercial transactions history; the users’ behavior or events happening on their computers; the specific identity information provided by the customers themselves. On a theoretical side, the paper presents the main concepts and ideas underlying the Decision Tree and Naïve Bayes classifiers and exemplifies some of them with actual hand-made calculations of the data being modeled by the software. On an analytical and practical side, the paper analyzes the graphs and tables generated by the classifying models and also reveal the main data insights. In the end, the classifiers’ accuracy is evaluated based on the test data method. The most accurate one is chosen for generating predictions on the customers’ data where the values of the response variable are not known.http://revistaie.ase.ro/content/71/01%20-%20Cimpoeru,%20Andreescu.pdfData MiningPredictive AnalyticsClassificationDecision TreeNaïve BayesChurn AnalysisMicrosoft SQL Server
spellingShingle Catalin CIMPOERU
Anca Ioana ANDREESCU
Predicting Customers Churn in a Relational Database
Informatică economică
Data Mining
Predictive Analytics
Classification
Decision Tree
Naïve Bayes
Churn Analysis
Microsoft SQL Server
title Predicting Customers Churn in a Relational Database
title_full Predicting Customers Churn in a Relational Database
title_fullStr Predicting Customers Churn in a Relational Database
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Customers Churn in a Relational Database
title_short Predicting Customers Churn in a Relational Database
title_sort predicting customers churn in a relational database
topic Data Mining
Predictive Analytics
Classification
Decision Tree
Naïve Bayes
Churn Analysis
Microsoft SQL Server
url http://revistaie.ase.ro/content/71/01%20-%20Cimpoeru,%20Andreescu.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT catalincimpoeru predictingcustomerschurninarelationaldatabase
AT ancaioanaandreescu predictingcustomerschurninarelationaldatabase