Fleet Type Planning for Private Air Transport After Covid-19

The global impact of the epidemic COVID-19 has done great damage to air transport. Demand for airline transportation has declined for reasons such as quarantine practices by countries, curfews, the economic recession, and the transfer of meetings to digital platforms. This situation has also led to...

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Main Authors: Raziye KILIÇ, Özge ALBAYRAK ÜNAL, Burak ERKAYMAN
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Gazi University 2023-06-01
Series:Gazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/gujsc/issue/78178/1178375
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author Raziye KILIÇ
Özge ALBAYRAK ÜNAL
Burak ERKAYMAN
author_facet Raziye KILIÇ
Özge ALBAYRAK ÜNAL
Burak ERKAYMAN
author_sort Raziye KILIÇ
collection DOAJ
description The global impact of the epidemic COVID-19 has done great damage to air transport. Demand for airline transportation has declined for reasons such as quarantine practices by countries, curfews, the economic recession, and the transfer of meetings to digital platforms. This situation has also led to a change in individuals' preferences for air transport. The most striking change in air transport is the tendency of individuals to private air transport privately to minimize the health risks that may arise from personal contacts. Individuals who avoid commercial air transport where public transportation is has transitioned private air transport. For these reasons, an forecasting study was conducted in this study so that a private airline company can provide accurate flight plans in the future. For the forecast study, the number of aircraft types for 2022 was determined by obtaining data on the number of aircraft by passenger capacity, the number of flights, and the number of passengers for 2019-2021 from the airline company. In the forecasting study, the models with the highest accuracy value were selected from the machine learning models. The results provided important information about the company's future fleet planning.
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spelling doaj.art-5b191d07e51d49bfa141f7873d598d8b2023-09-26T10:34:45ZengGazi UniversityGazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi2147-95262023-06-0111247548510.29109/gujsc.1178375Fleet Type Planning for Private Air Transport After Covid-19Raziye KILIÇ0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9238-7710Özge ALBAYRAK ÜNAL1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7798-8799Burak ERKAYMAN 2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9551-2679Atatürk ÜniversitesiAtatürk ÜniversitesiATATÜRK ÜNİVERSİTESİThe global impact of the epidemic COVID-19 has done great damage to air transport. Demand for airline transportation has declined for reasons such as quarantine practices by countries, curfews, the economic recession, and the transfer of meetings to digital platforms. This situation has also led to a change in individuals' preferences for air transport. The most striking change in air transport is the tendency of individuals to private air transport privately to minimize the health risks that may arise from personal contacts. Individuals who avoid commercial air transport where public transportation is has transitioned private air transport. For these reasons, an forecasting study was conducted in this study so that a private airline company can provide accurate flight plans in the future. For the forecast study, the number of aircraft types for 2022 was determined by obtaining data on the number of aircraft by passenger capacity, the number of flights, and the number of passengers for 2019-2021 from the airline company. In the forecasting study, the models with the highest accuracy value were selected from the machine learning models. The results provided important information about the company's future fleet planning.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/gujsc/issue/78178/1178375private airline transportfleet type planningmachine learningsupport vector machinegaussian process regression
spellingShingle Raziye KILIÇ
Özge ALBAYRAK ÜNAL
Burak ERKAYMAN
Fleet Type Planning for Private Air Transport After Covid-19
Gazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
private airline transport
fleet type planning
machine learning
support vector machine
gaussian process regression
title Fleet Type Planning for Private Air Transport After Covid-19
title_full Fleet Type Planning for Private Air Transport After Covid-19
title_fullStr Fleet Type Planning for Private Air Transport After Covid-19
title_full_unstemmed Fleet Type Planning for Private Air Transport After Covid-19
title_short Fleet Type Planning for Private Air Transport After Covid-19
title_sort fleet type planning for private air transport after covid 19
topic private airline transport
fleet type planning
machine learning
support vector machine
gaussian process regression
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/gujsc/issue/78178/1178375
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