Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Exchange Rate Volatility: Empirical Evidence From Somalia

The purpose of this research is to investigate the effect of macroeconomic factors on the volatility of Somalia’s unregulated exchange rates. While utilizing the EGARCH (exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic) model, this study found that the unregulated exchange rate vol...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mohamed Ibrahim Nor, Tajul Ariffin Masron, Tariq Tawfeeq Yousif Alabdullah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2020-01-01
Series:SAGE Open
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244019898841
_version_ 1818511250905104384
author Mohamed Ibrahim Nor
Tajul Ariffin Masron
Tariq Tawfeeq Yousif Alabdullah
author_facet Mohamed Ibrahim Nor
Tajul Ariffin Masron
Tariq Tawfeeq Yousif Alabdullah
author_sort Mohamed Ibrahim Nor
collection DOAJ
description The purpose of this research is to investigate the effect of macroeconomic factors on the volatility of Somalia’s unregulated exchange rates. While utilizing the EGARCH (exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic) model, this study found that the unregulated exchange rate volatility of Somalia is influenced by its own shocks and the macroeconomic factors. This study implies that although Somali shilling circulated without regulatory authority for the period of the statelessness, this circulation has been accompanied by volatile exchange rates. This phenomenon makes this study an appealing work that should be pursued further. Hence, this study contributes notably to the process of reforming the exchange rate system and the monetary policy of the post-conflict economy of Somalia. In addition, the results of this study imply that even in times of war and lawlessness the laws of economics do not change completely.
first_indexed 2024-12-10T23:30:49Z
format Article
id doaj.art-5b567228cf774af098d2fd2b1d90058d
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2158-2440
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-10T23:30:49Z
publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher SAGE Publishing
record_format Article
series SAGE Open
spelling doaj.art-5b567228cf774af098d2fd2b1d90058d2022-12-22T01:29:24ZengSAGE PublishingSAGE Open2158-24402020-01-011010.1177/2158244019898841Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Exchange Rate Volatility: Empirical Evidence From SomaliaMohamed Ibrahim Nor0Tajul Ariffin Masron1Tariq Tawfeeq Yousif Alabdullah2SIMAD University, Mogadishu, SomaliaUniversiti Sains Malaysia, MalaysiaUniversity of Basrah, Basrah, IraqThe purpose of this research is to investigate the effect of macroeconomic factors on the volatility of Somalia’s unregulated exchange rates. While utilizing the EGARCH (exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic) model, this study found that the unregulated exchange rate volatility of Somalia is influenced by its own shocks and the macroeconomic factors. This study implies that although Somali shilling circulated without regulatory authority for the period of the statelessness, this circulation has been accompanied by volatile exchange rates. This phenomenon makes this study an appealing work that should be pursued further. Hence, this study contributes notably to the process of reforming the exchange rate system and the monetary policy of the post-conflict economy of Somalia. In addition, the results of this study imply that even in times of war and lawlessness the laws of economics do not change completely.https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244019898841
spellingShingle Mohamed Ibrahim Nor
Tajul Ariffin Masron
Tariq Tawfeeq Yousif Alabdullah
Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Exchange Rate Volatility: Empirical Evidence From Somalia
SAGE Open
title Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Exchange Rate Volatility: Empirical Evidence From Somalia
title_full Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Exchange Rate Volatility: Empirical Evidence From Somalia
title_fullStr Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Exchange Rate Volatility: Empirical Evidence From Somalia
title_full_unstemmed Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Exchange Rate Volatility: Empirical Evidence From Somalia
title_short Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Exchange Rate Volatility: Empirical Evidence From Somalia
title_sort macroeconomic fundamentals and the exchange rate volatility empirical evidence from somalia
url https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244019898841
work_keys_str_mv AT mohamedibrahimnor macroeconomicfundamentalsandtheexchangeratevolatilityempiricalevidencefromsomalia
AT tajulariffinmasron macroeconomicfundamentalsandtheexchangeratevolatilityempiricalevidencefromsomalia
AT tariqtawfeeqyousifalabdullah macroeconomicfundamentalsandtheexchangeratevolatilityempiricalevidencefromsomalia