The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winter

Abstract We analyze multidecadal temperature fluctuations of the Atlantic Ocean and their influence on Northern Europe, focusing on the Baltic Sea, without a priori assuming a linear relationship of this teleconnection. Instead, we use the method of low-frequency component analysis to identify modes...

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Main Authors: Florian Börgel, Matthias Gröger, H. E. Markus Meier, Cyril Dutheil, Hagen Radtke, Leonard Borchert
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-06-01
Series:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00373-8
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author Florian Börgel
Matthias Gröger
H. E. Markus Meier
Cyril Dutheil
Hagen Radtke
Leonard Borchert
author_facet Florian Börgel
Matthias Gröger
H. E. Markus Meier
Cyril Dutheil
Hagen Radtke
Leonard Borchert
author_sort Florian Börgel
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We analyze multidecadal temperature fluctuations of the Atlantic Ocean and their influence on Northern Europe, focusing on the Baltic Sea, without a priori assuming a linear relationship of this teleconnection. Instead, we use the method of low-frequency component analysis to identify modes of multidecadal variability in the Baltic Sea temperature signal and relate this signal to the Atlantic climate variability. Disentangling the seasonal impact reveals that a large fraction of the variability in Baltic Sea winter temperatures is related to multidecadal temperature fluctuations in the North Atlantic, known as Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV). The strong winter response can be linked to the interaction between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the AMV and is maintained by oceanic inertia. In contrast, the AMV does not influence the Baltic Sea’s summer and spring water temperatures.
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spelling doaj.art-5b67f43a86964eabae8133e950073ea02023-06-11T11:09:41ZengNature Portfolionpj Climate and Atmospheric Science2397-37222023-06-01611910.1038/s41612-023-00373-8The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winterFlorian Börgel0Matthias Gröger1H. E. Markus Meier2Cyril Dutheil3Hagen Radtke4Leonard Borchert5Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research WarnemündeLeibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research WarnemündeLeibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research WarnemündeLeibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research WarnemündeLeibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research WarnemündeCenter for Earth System Research and Sustainability CEN, Universität HamburgAbstract We analyze multidecadal temperature fluctuations of the Atlantic Ocean and their influence on Northern Europe, focusing on the Baltic Sea, without a priori assuming a linear relationship of this teleconnection. Instead, we use the method of low-frequency component analysis to identify modes of multidecadal variability in the Baltic Sea temperature signal and relate this signal to the Atlantic climate variability. Disentangling the seasonal impact reveals that a large fraction of the variability in Baltic Sea winter temperatures is related to multidecadal temperature fluctuations in the North Atlantic, known as Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV). The strong winter response can be linked to the interaction between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the AMV and is maintained by oceanic inertia. In contrast, the AMV does not influence the Baltic Sea’s summer and spring water temperatures.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00373-8
spellingShingle Florian Börgel
Matthias Gröger
H. E. Markus Meier
Cyril Dutheil
Hagen Radtke
Leonard Borchert
The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winter
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
title The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winter
title_full The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winter
title_fullStr The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winter
title_full_unstemmed The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winter
title_short The impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on Baltic Sea temperatures limited to winter
title_sort impact of atlantic multidecadal variability on baltic sea temperatures limited to winter
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00373-8
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