Effects of Domain Selection on Singular-Value-Decomposition Based Statistical Downscaling of Monthly Rainfall Accumulation in Southern Taiwan
A singular-value-decomposition (SVD) statistical downscaling technique was developed for monthly rainfall over southern Taiwan. The statistical model was applied to seven different general circulation models. Seven different geographical domains for the large-scale atmospheric predictors were tested...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Springer
2013-01-01
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| Series: | Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: |
http://tao.cgu.org.tw/images/attachments/v243p369.pdf
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| _version_ | 1828276806017351680 |
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| author | Tao-Chang Yang Chen-Min Kuo Cheng-Chin Liu Hung-Wei Tseng Pao-Shan Yu |
| author_facet | Tao-Chang Yang Chen-Min Kuo Cheng-Chin Liu Hung-Wei Tseng Pao-Shan Yu |
| author_sort | Tao-Chang Yang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | A singular-value-decomposition (SVD) statistical downscaling technique was developed for monthly rainfall over southern Taiwan. The statistical model was applied to seven different general circulation models. Seven different geographical domains for the large-scale atmospheric predictors were tested and their effects on rainfall projections were evaluated. Because different climate models indicate different future rainfall projections, a multi-model ensemble approach was applied to provide best guess estimates. Using the multi-model ensemble, and a range of metrics, it was found that the different predictor geographical domains had little influence on the projected monthly rainfalls. Two emission climate change scenarios (A1B and B1) were used to project the future rainfalls for the period from 2010 to 2045 across southern Taiwan. Overall, future rainfall shows an increasing trend during the May-to-October wet season and a decreasing trend during the November-to-April dry season. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-13T07:04:16Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-5b70b5293c6a435d8c55aa9335c8d2dc |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1017-0839 2311-7680 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-13T07:04:16Z |
| publishDate | 2013-01-01 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences |
| spelling | doaj.art-5b70b5293c6a435d8c55aa9335c8d2dc2022-12-22T02:57:02ZengSpringerTerrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences1017-08392311-76802013-01-0124336910.3319/TAO.2013.01.09.01(A)1139Effects of Domain Selection on Singular-Value-Decomposition Based Statistical Downscaling of Monthly Rainfall Accumulation in Southern TaiwanTao-Chang YangChen-Min KuoCheng-Chin LiuHung-Wei TsengPao-Shan YuA singular-value-decomposition (SVD) statistical downscaling technique was developed for monthly rainfall over southern Taiwan. The statistical model was applied to seven different general circulation models. Seven different geographical domains for the large-scale atmospheric predictors were tested and their effects on rainfall projections were evaluated. Because different climate models indicate different future rainfall projections, a multi-model ensemble approach was applied to provide best guess estimates. Using the multi-model ensemble, and a range of metrics, it was found that the different predictor geographical domains had little influence on the projected monthly rainfalls. Two emission climate change scenarios (A1B and B1) were used to project the future rainfalls for the period from 2010 to 2045 across southern Taiwan. Overall, future rainfall shows an increasing trend during the May-to-October wet season and a decreasing trend during the November-to-April dry season. http://tao.cgu.org.tw/images/attachments/v243p369.pdf Statistical downscalingGeographical domainGeneral circulation modelMulti-model ensembleClimate change |
| spellingShingle | Tao-Chang Yang Chen-Min Kuo Cheng-Chin Liu Hung-Wei Tseng Pao-Shan Yu Effects of Domain Selection on Singular-Value-Decomposition Based Statistical Downscaling of Monthly Rainfall Accumulation in Southern Taiwan Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Statistical downscaling Geographical domain General circulation model Multi-model ensemble Climate change |
| title | Effects of Domain Selection on Singular-Value-Decomposition Based Statistical Downscaling of Monthly Rainfall Accumulation in Southern Taiwan |
| title_full | Effects of Domain Selection on Singular-Value-Decomposition Based Statistical Downscaling of Monthly Rainfall Accumulation in Southern Taiwan |
| title_fullStr | Effects of Domain Selection on Singular-Value-Decomposition Based Statistical Downscaling of Monthly Rainfall Accumulation in Southern Taiwan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Effects of Domain Selection on Singular-Value-Decomposition Based Statistical Downscaling of Monthly Rainfall Accumulation in Southern Taiwan |
| title_short | Effects of Domain Selection on Singular-Value-Decomposition Based Statistical Downscaling of Monthly Rainfall Accumulation in Southern Taiwan |
| title_sort | effects of domain selection on singular value decomposition based statistical downscaling of monthly rainfall accumulation in southern taiwan |
| topic | Statistical downscaling Geographical domain General circulation model Multi-model ensemble Climate change |
| url |
http://tao.cgu.org.tw/images/attachments/v243p369.pdf
|
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