Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations
Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) have a large potential to reduce greenhouse gases emissions and increase fuel economy and fuel flexibility. PHEVs are propelled by the energy from both gasoline and electric power sources. Penetration of PHEVs into the automobile market affects the electrical...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2012-11-01
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Series: | Energies |
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Online Access: | http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/5/12/5019 |
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author | Lena Ahmadi Eric Croiset Ali Elkamel Peter L. Douglas Woramon Unbangluang Evgueniy Entchev |
author_facet | Lena Ahmadi Eric Croiset Ali Elkamel Peter L. Douglas Woramon Unbangluang Evgueniy Entchev |
author_sort | Lena Ahmadi |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) have a large potential to reduce greenhouse gases emissions and increase fuel economy and fuel flexibility. PHEVs are propelled by the energy from both gasoline and electric power sources. Penetration of PHEVs into the automobile market affects the electrical grid through an increase in electricity demand. This paper studies effects of the wide spread adoption of PHEVs on peak and base load demands in Ontario, Canada. Long-term forecasting models of peak and base load demands and the number of light-duty vehicles sold were developed. To create proper forecasting models, both linear regression (LR) and non-linear regression (NLR) techniques were employed, considering different ranges in the demographic, climate and economic variables. The results from the LR and NLR models were compared and the most accurate one was selected. Furthermore, forecasting the effects of PHEVs penetration is done through consideration of various scenarios of penetration levels, such as mild, normal and aggressive ones. Finally, the additional electricity demand on the Ontario electricity grid from charging PHEVs is incorporated for electricity production planning purposes. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-14T00:54:29Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-5ba46e3dbfd2424f96b6795467790897 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1996-1073 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-14T00:54:29Z |
publishDate | 2012-11-01 |
publisher | MDPI AG |
record_format | Article |
series | Energies |
spelling | doaj.art-5ba46e3dbfd2424f96b67954677908972022-12-22T02:21:40ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732012-11-015125019503710.3390/en5125019Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental ConsiderationsLena AhmadiEric CroisetAli ElkamelPeter L. DouglasWoramon UnbangluangEvgueniy EntchevPlug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) have a large potential to reduce greenhouse gases emissions and increase fuel economy and fuel flexibility. PHEVs are propelled by the energy from both gasoline and electric power sources. Penetration of PHEVs into the automobile market affects the electrical grid through an increase in electricity demand. This paper studies effects of the wide spread adoption of PHEVs on peak and base load demands in Ontario, Canada. Long-term forecasting models of peak and base load demands and the number of light-duty vehicles sold were developed. To create proper forecasting models, both linear regression (LR) and non-linear regression (NLR) techniques were employed, considering different ranges in the demographic, climate and economic variables. The results from the LR and NLR models were compared and the most accurate one was selected. Furthermore, forecasting the effects of PHEVs penetration is done through consideration of various scenarios of penetration levels, such as mild, normal and aggressive ones. Finally, the additional electricity demand on the Ontario electricity grid from charging PHEVs is incorporated for electricity production planning purposes.http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/5/12/5019plug-in hybrid electric vehicleelectricity gridpeak load demandbase load demandload forecasting |
spellingShingle | Lena Ahmadi Eric Croiset Ali Elkamel Peter L. Douglas Woramon Unbangluang Evgueniy Entchev Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations Energies plug-in hybrid electric vehicle electricity grid peak load demand base load demand load forecasting |
title | Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations |
title_full | Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations |
title_fullStr | Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations |
title_full_unstemmed | Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations |
title_short | Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations |
title_sort | impact of phevs penetration on ontario amp 8217 s electricity grid and environmental considerations |
topic | plug-in hybrid electric vehicle electricity grid peak load demand base load demand load forecasting |
url | http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/5/12/5019 |
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