Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations

Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) have a large potential to reduce greenhouse gases emissions and increase fuel economy and fuel flexibility. PHEVs are propelled by the energy from both gasoline and electric power sources. Penetration of PHEVs into the automobile market affects the electrical...

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Main Authors: Lena Ahmadi, Eric Croiset, Ali Elkamel, Peter L. Douglas, Woramon Unbangluang, Evgueniy Entchev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2012-11-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/5/12/5019
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author Lena Ahmadi
Eric Croiset
Ali Elkamel
Peter L. Douglas
Woramon Unbangluang
Evgueniy Entchev
author_facet Lena Ahmadi
Eric Croiset
Ali Elkamel
Peter L. Douglas
Woramon Unbangluang
Evgueniy Entchev
author_sort Lena Ahmadi
collection DOAJ
description Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) have a large potential to reduce greenhouse gases emissions and increase fuel economy and fuel flexibility. PHEVs are propelled by the energy from both gasoline and electric power sources. Penetration of PHEVs into the automobile market affects the electrical grid through an increase in electricity demand. This paper studies effects of the wide spread adoption of PHEVs on peak and base load demands in Ontario, Canada. Long-term forecasting models of peak and base load demands and the number of light-duty vehicles sold were developed. To create proper forecasting models, both linear regression (LR) and non-linear regression (NLR) techniques were employed, considering different ranges in the demographic, climate and economic variables. The results from the LR and NLR models were compared and the most accurate one was selected. Furthermore, forecasting the effects of PHEVs penetration is done through consideration of various scenarios of penetration levels, such as mild, normal and aggressive ones. Finally, the additional electricity demand on the Ontario electricity grid from charging PHEVs is incorporated for electricity production planning purposes.
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spelling doaj.art-5ba46e3dbfd2424f96b67954677908972022-12-22T02:21:40ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732012-11-015125019503710.3390/en5125019Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental ConsiderationsLena AhmadiEric CroisetAli ElkamelPeter L. DouglasWoramon UnbangluangEvgueniy EntchevPlug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) have a large potential to reduce greenhouse gases emissions and increase fuel economy and fuel flexibility. PHEVs are propelled by the energy from both gasoline and electric power sources. Penetration of PHEVs into the automobile market affects the electrical grid through an increase in electricity demand. This paper studies effects of the wide spread adoption of PHEVs on peak and base load demands in Ontario, Canada. Long-term forecasting models of peak and base load demands and the number of light-duty vehicles sold were developed. To create proper forecasting models, both linear regression (LR) and non-linear regression (NLR) techniques were employed, considering different ranges in the demographic, climate and economic variables. The results from the LR and NLR models were compared and the most accurate one was selected. Furthermore, forecasting the effects of PHEVs penetration is done through consideration of various scenarios of penetration levels, such as mild, normal and aggressive ones. Finally, the additional electricity demand on the Ontario electricity grid from charging PHEVs is incorporated for electricity production planning purposes.http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/5/12/5019plug-in hybrid electric vehicleelectricity gridpeak load demandbase load demandload forecasting
spellingShingle Lena Ahmadi
Eric Croiset
Ali Elkamel
Peter L. Douglas
Woramon Unbangluang
Evgueniy Entchev
Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations
Energies
plug-in hybrid electric vehicle
electricity grid
peak load demand
base load demand
load forecasting
title Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations
title_full Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations
title_fullStr Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations
title_full_unstemmed Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations
title_short Impact of PHEVs Penetration on Ontario’s Electricity Grid and Environmental Considerations
title_sort impact of phevs penetration on ontario amp 8217 s electricity grid and environmental considerations
topic plug-in hybrid electric vehicle
electricity grid
peak load demand
base load demand
load forecasting
url http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/5/12/5019
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