Ocean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removal

In combination with drastic emission reduction cuts, limiting global warming below 1.5 °C or 2 °C requires atmospheric carbon dioxide removal (CDR) of up to 16 GtCO _2 yr ^−1 by 2050. Among CDR solutions, ocean afforestation through macroalgae cultivation is considered promising due to high rates of...

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Main Authors: Manon Berger, Lester Kwiatkowski, David T Ho, Laurent Bopp
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2023-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acb06e
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author Manon Berger
Lester Kwiatkowski
David T Ho
Laurent Bopp
author_facet Manon Berger
Lester Kwiatkowski
David T Ho
Laurent Bopp
author_sort Manon Berger
collection DOAJ
description In combination with drastic emission reduction cuts, limiting global warming below 1.5 °C or 2 °C requires atmospheric carbon dioxide removal (CDR) of up to 16 GtCO _2 yr ^−1 by 2050. Among CDR solutions, ocean afforestation through macroalgae cultivation is considered promising due to high rates of productivity and environmental co-benefits. We modify a high-resolution ocean biogeochemical model to simulate the consumption of dissolved inorganic carbon and macronutrients by idealised macroalgal cultivation in Exclusive Economic Zones. Under imposed macroalgal production of 0.5 PgC yr ^−1 with no nutrient feedbacks, physicochemical processes are found to limit the enhancement in the ocean carbon sink to 0.39 PgC yr ^−1 (1.43 GtCO _2 yr ^−1 ), corresponding to CDR efficiency of 79%. Only 0.22 PgC yr ^−1 (56%) of this air–sea carbon flux occurs in the regions of macroalgae cultivation, posing potential issues for measurement, reporting, and verification. When additional macronutrient limitations and feedbacks are simulated, the realised macroalgal production rate drops to 0.37 PgC yr ^−1 and the enhancement in the air–sea carbon flux to 0.21 PgC yr ^−1 (0.79 GtCO yr ^−1 ), or 58% of the macroalgal net production. This decrease in CDR efficiency is a consequence of a deepening in the optimum depth of macroalgal production and a reduction in phytoplankton production due to reduced nitrate and phosphate availability. At regional scales, the decrease of phytoplankton productivity can even cause a net reduction in the oceanic carbon sink. Although additional modelling efforts are required, Eastern boundary upwelling systems and regions of the Northeast Pacific and the Southern Ocean are revealed as potentially promising locations for efficient macroalgae-based CDR. Despite the CDR potential of ocean afforestation, our simulations indicate potential negative impacts on marine food webs with reductions in phytoplankton primary production of up to −40 gC m ^−2 yr ^−1 in the eastern tropical Pacific.
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spelling doaj.art-5bc9ffb54d314ae3bc78eccecd0fa9e72023-08-09T15:20:07ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262023-01-0118202403910.1088/1748-9326/acb06eOcean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removalManon Berger0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6519-5393Lester Kwiatkowski1David T Ho2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0944-6952Laurent Bopp3LMD/IPSL, Ecole Normale Supérieure/Université PSL, CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique, Sorbonne Université , Paris, FranceLOCEAN/IPSL, Sorbonne Université, CNRS, IRD, MNHN , Paris, FranceDepartment of Oceanography, University of Hawai’i at Mānoa , Honolulu, HI, United States of AmericaLMD/IPSL, Ecole Normale Supérieure/Université PSL, CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique, Sorbonne Université , Paris, FranceIn combination with drastic emission reduction cuts, limiting global warming below 1.5 °C or 2 °C requires atmospheric carbon dioxide removal (CDR) of up to 16 GtCO _2 yr ^−1 by 2050. Among CDR solutions, ocean afforestation through macroalgae cultivation is considered promising due to high rates of productivity and environmental co-benefits. We modify a high-resolution ocean biogeochemical model to simulate the consumption of dissolved inorganic carbon and macronutrients by idealised macroalgal cultivation in Exclusive Economic Zones. Under imposed macroalgal production of 0.5 PgC yr ^−1 with no nutrient feedbacks, physicochemical processes are found to limit the enhancement in the ocean carbon sink to 0.39 PgC yr ^−1 (1.43 GtCO _2 yr ^−1 ), corresponding to CDR efficiency of 79%. Only 0.22 PgC yr ^−1 (56%) of this air–sea carbon flux occurs in the regions of macroalgae cultivation, posing potential issues for measurement, reporting, and verification. When additional macronutrient limitations and feedbacks are simulated, the realised macroalgal production rate drops to 0.37 PgC yr ^−1 and the enhancement in the air–sea carbon flux to 0.21 PgC yr ^−1 (0.79 GtCO yr ^−1 ), or 58% of the macroalgal net production. This decrease in CDR efficiency is a consequence of a deepening in the optimum depth of macroalgal production and a reduction in phytoplankton production due to reduced nitrate and phosphate availability. At regional scales, the decrease of phytoplankton productivity can even cause a net reduction in the oceanic carbon sink. Although additional modelling efforts are required, Eastern boundary upwelling systems and regions of the Northeast Pacific and the Southern Ocean are revealed as potentially promising locations for efficient macroalgae-based CDR. Despite the CDR potential of ocean afforestation, our simulations indicate potential negative impacts on marine food webs with reductions in phytoplankton primary production of up to −40 gC m ^−2 yr ^−1 in the eastern tropical Pacific.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acb06ecarbon dioxide removalCDRmacroalgae cultivationair–sea equilibriumseaweedkelp
spellingShingle Manon Berger
Lester Kwiatkowski
David T Ho
Laurent Bopp
Ocean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removal
Environmental Research Letters
carbon dioxide removal
CDR
macroalgae cultivation
air–sea equilibrium
seaweed
kelp
title Ocean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removal
title_full Ocean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removal
title_fullStr Ocean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removal
title_full_unstemmed Ocean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removal
title_short Ocean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removal
title_sort ocean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removal
topic carbon dioxide removal
CDR
macroalgae cultivation
air–sea equilibrium
seaweed
kelp
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acb06e
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AT davidtho oceandynamicsandbiologicalfeedbackslimitthepotentialofmacroalgaecarbondioxideremoval
AT laurentbopp oceandynamicsandbiologicalfeedbackslimitthepotentialofmacroalgaecarbondioxideremoval