A Causality Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure In Indonesia

This paper attempts to model the relationship between tax revenue and government expenditure for Indonesia over the period 1970-2007. The empirical analysis employs tests of cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The empirical evidence suggests that there is a long run relationship...

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Main Author: Jaka Sriyana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Islam Indonesia 2011-09-01
Series:Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Online Access:https://jurnal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/2275
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author Jaka Sriyana
author_facet Jaka Sriyana
author_sort Jaka Sriyana
collection DOAJ
description This paper attempts to model the relationship between tax revenue and government expenditure for Indonesia over the period 1970-2007. The empirical analysis employs tests of cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The empirical evidence suggests that there is a long run relationship between tax and government expenditure, but in the short term, the model explains unidirectional causality relationship, namely from tax revenue to govern ment expenditure This finding indicates that the budget deficit increase continuously, which threaten the fiscal sustainability in the long term. It suggests that the government should organize a better management on public finance policies to support the tax-spend fiscal policy. Key words: tax, government, causality, expenditure, cointegration.
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spelling doaj.art-5bd09a3c9c5041fcac368fe143ab47f72022-12-22T02:31:14ZengUniversitas Islam IndonesiaEconomic Journal of Emerging Markets2086-31282502-180X2011-09-011210.20885/ejem.v1i2.2275A Causality Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure In IndonesiaJaka SriyanaThis paper attempts to model the relationship between tax revenue and government expenditure for Indonesia over the period 1970-2007. The empirical analysis employs tests of cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The empirical evidence suggests that there is a long run relationship between tax and government expenditure, but in the short term, the model explains unidirectional causality relationship, namely from tax revenue to govern ment expenditure This finding indicates that the budget deficit increase continuously, which threaten the fiscal sustainability in the long term. It suggests that the government should organize a better management on public finance policies to support the tax-spend fiscal policy. Key words: tax, government, causality, expenditure, cointegration.https://jurnal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/2275
spellingShingle Jaka Sriyana
A Causality Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure In Indonesia
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
title A Causality Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure In Indonesia
title_full A Causality Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure In Indonesia
title_fullStr A Causality Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure In Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed A Causality Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure In Indonesia
title_short A Causality Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure In Indonesia
title_sort causality relationship between tax revenue and government expenditure in indonesia
url https://jurnal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/2275
work_keys_str_mv AT jakasriyana acausalityrelationshipbetweentaxrevenueandgovernmentexpenditureinindonesia
AT jakasriyana causalityrelationshipbetweentaxrevenueandgovernmentexpenditureinindonesia