Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions

The appropriate development of graphical visualisations to communicate climate data is fundamental to the provision of climate services to guide climate change adaptation decisions. However, at present there is a lack of empirical evidence, particularly in Africa, to help climate information provide...

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Main Authors: Joseph D. Daron, Susanne Lorenz, Piotr Wolski, Ross C. Blamey, Christopher Jack
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2015-01-01
Series:Climate Risk Management
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209631500025X
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author Joseph D. Daron
Susanne Lorenz
Piotr Wolski
Ross C. Blamey
Christopher Jack
author_facet Joseph D. Daron
Susanne Lorenz
Piotr Wolski
Ross C. Blamey
Christopher Jack
author_sort Joseph D. Daron
collection DOAJ
description The appropriate development of graphical visualisations to communicate climate data is fundamental to the provision of climate services to guide climate change adaptation decisions. However, at present there is a lack of empirical evidence, particularly in Africa, to help climate information providers determine how best to communicate and display climate data. To help address this issue, an online survey, primarily targeted at the African vulnerability, impacts and adaptation community, was designed and disseminated widely. The survey examines the interpretation of climate data as a function of the style and information content of graphical visualisations. It is shown that choices made when constructing the visualisations, such as presenting percentile information versus showing the range, significantly impact on interpretation. Results also show that respondents who interpret a higher likelihood of future changes to climate, based on the visualisation of climate model projections, express greater confidence in their interpretations. The findings have relevance to the climate risk community in Africa and elsewhere across the world, and imply that a naïve approach to visualising climate data risks misinterpretation and unjustified levels of trust, with the potential to misinform adaptation and policy decisions.
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spelling doaj.art-5bdad17a975f46eebca4c6bfa6ab66382022-12-21T19:29:36ZengElsevierClimate Risk Management2212-09632015-01-0110C172610.1016/j.crm.2015.06.007Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisionsJoseph D. Daron0Susanne Lorenz1Piotr Wolski2Ross C. Blamey3Christopher Jack4Climate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South AfricaSustainability Research Institute, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United KingdomClimate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South AfricaClimate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South AfricaClimate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South AfricaThe appropriate development of graphical visualisations to communicate climate data is fundamental to the provision of climate services to guide climate change adaptation decisions. However, at present there is a lack of empirical evidence, particularly in Africa, to help climate information providers determine how best to communicate and display climate data. To help address this issue, an online survey, primarily targeted at the African vulnerability, impacts and adaptation community, was designed and disseminated widely. The survey examines the interpretation of climate data as a function of the style and information content of graphical visualisations. It is shown that choices made when constructing the visualisations, such as presenting percentile information versus showing the range, significantly impact on interpretation. Results also show that respondents who interpret a higher likelihood of future changes to climate, based on the visualisation of climate model projections, express greater confidence in their interpretations. The findings have relevance to the climate risk community in Africa and elsewhere across the world, and imply that a naïve approach to visualising climate data risks misinterpretation and unjustified levels of trust, with the potential to misinform adaptation and policy decisions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209631500025XClimate changeCommunicationUncertaintyConfidenceAfrica
spellingShingle Joseph D. Daron
Susanne Lorenz
Piotr Wolski
Ross C. Blamey
Christopher Jack
Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions
Climate Risk Management
Climate change
Communication
Uncertainty
Confidence
Africa
title Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions
title_full Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions
title_fullStr Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions
title_full_unstemmed Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions
title_short Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions
title_sort interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions
topic Climate change
Communication
Uncertainty
Confidence
Africa
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209631500025X
work_keys_str_mv AT josephddaron interpretingclimatedatavisualisationstoinformadaptationdecisions
AT susannelorenz interpretingclimatedatavisualisationstoinformadaptationdecisions
AT piotrwolski interpretingclimatedatavisualisationstoinformadaptationdecisions
AT rosscblamey interpretingclimatedatavisualisationstoinformadaptationdecisions
AT christopherjack interpretingclimatedatavisualisationstoinformadaptationdecisions