Estimating the epidemiology of chronic Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection in the UK: what do we know and what are we missing? [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]

Background: HBV is the leading global cause of cirrhosis and primary liver cancer. However, the UK HBV population has not been well characterised, and estimates of UK HBV prevalence and/or incidence vary widely between sources. We aimed to i) extract and summarise existing national HBV prevalence es...

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Main Authors: Tingyan Wang, Philippa C Matthews, Julia Hippisley-Cox, Eleanor Barnes, Cori Campbell, Sema Mandal, Rebekah Burrow
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wellcome 2023-03-01
Series:Wellcome Open Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/7-203/v2
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author Tingyan Wang
Philippa C Matthews
Julia Hippisley-Cox
Eleanor Barnes
Cori Campbell
Sema Mandal
Rebekah Burrow
author_facet Tingyan Wang
Philippa C Matthews
Julia Hippisley-Cox
Eleanor Barnes
Cori Campbell
Sema Mandal
Rebekah Burrow
author_sort Tingyan Wang
collection DOAJ
description Background: HBV is the leading global cause of cirrhosis and primary liver cancer. However, the UK HBV population has not been well characterised, and estimates of UK HBV prevalence and/or incidence vary widely between sources. We aimed to i) extract and summarise existing national HBV prevalence estimates, ii) add a new estimate based on primary care data, and; iii) critique data sources from which estimates were derived. Methods: We undertook a narrative review, searching for national estimates of CHB case numbers in the UK (incorporating incidence, prevalence and/or test positivity data) across a range of overlapping sources, including governmental body reports, publications from independent bodies (including medical charities and non-governmental organisations) and articles in peer-reviewed scientific journals.  An alternative proxy for population prevalence was obtained via the UK antenatal screening programme which achieves over 95% coverage of pregnant women. We also searched for diagnoses of HBV in the QResearch primary care database based on laboratory tests and standardised coding. Results: We identified six CHB case number estimates, of which three reported information concerning population subgroups, including number of infected individuals across age, sex and ethnicity categories. Estimates among sources reporting prevalence varied from 0.27% to 0.73%, congruent with an estimated antenatal CHB prevalence of <0.5%. Our estimate, based on QResearch data, suggests a population prevalence of ~0.05%, reflecting a substantial underestimation based on primary care records. Discussion: Estimates varied by sources of error, bias and missingness, data linkage, and “blind spots” in HBV diagnoses testing/registration. The UK HBV burden is likely to be concentrated in vulnerable populations who may not be well represented in existing datasets including those experiencing socioeconomic deprivation and/or homelessness, ethnic minorities and people born in high-prevalence countries. This could lead to under- or over-estimation of population prevalence estimation. Multi-agency collaboration is required to fill evidence gaps.
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spelling doaj.art-5c098eae25e14529982891876a262a722023-03-10T01:00:00ZengWellcomeWellcome Open Research2398-502X2023-03-01721210Estimating the epidemiology of chronic Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection in the UK: what do we know and what are we missing? [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]Tingyan Wang0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8351-9494Philippa C Matthews1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4036-4269Julia Hippisley-Cox2Eleanor Barnes3Cori Campbell4https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5890-7105Sema Mandal5Rebekah Burrow6Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3XY, UKNIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UKQResearch / Nuffield Dept of Primary Care, Oxford, UKNIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UKNuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3XY, UKBlood safety, Hepatitis, STI & HIV Division, UK Health Security Agency, London, UKQResearch / Nuffield Dept of Primary Care, Oxford, UKBackground: HBV is the leading global cause of cirrhosis and primary liver cancer. However, the UK HBV population has not been well characterised, and estimates of UK HBV prevalence and/or incidence vary widely between sources. We aimed to i) extract and summarise existing national HBV prevalence estimates, ii) add a new estimate based on primary care data, and; iii) critique data sources from which estimates were derived. Methods: We undertook a narrative review, searching for national estimates of CHB case numbers in the UK (incorporating incidence, prevalence and/or test positivity data) across a range of overlapping sources, including governmental body reports, publications from independent bodies (including medical charities and non-governmental organisations) and articles in peer-reviewed scientific journals.  An alternative proxy for population prevalence was obtained via the UK antenatal screening programme which achieves over 95% coverage of pregnant women. We also searched for diagnoses of HBV in the QResearch primary care database based on laboratory tests and standardised coding. Results: We identified six CHB case number estimates, of which three reported information concerning population subgroups, including number of infected individuals across age, sex and ethnicity categories. Estimates among sources reporting prevalence varied from 0.27% to 0.73%, congruent with an estimated antenatal CHB prevalence of <0.5%. Our estimate, based on QResearch data, suggests a population prevalence of ~0.05%, reflecting a substantial underestimation based on primary care records. Discussion: Estimates varied by sources of error, bias and missingness, data linkage, and “blind spots” in HBV diagnoses testing/registration. The UK HBV burden is likely to be concentrated in vulnerable populations who may not be well represented in existing datasets including those experiencing socioeconomic deprivation and/or homelessness, ethnic minorities and people born in high-prevalence countries. This could lead to under- or over-estimation of population prevalence estimation. Multi-agency collaboration is required to fill evidence gaps.https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/7-203/v2hepatitis B virus HBV prevalence epidemiologyeng
spellingShingle Tingyan Wang
Philippa C Matthews
Julia Hippisley-Cox
Eleanor Barnes
Cori Campbell
Sema Mandal
Rebekah Burrow
Estimating the epidemiology of chronic Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection in the UK: what do we know and what are we missing? [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]
Wellcome Open Research
hepatitis B virus
HBV
prevalence
epidemiology
eng
title Estimating the epidemiology of chronic Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection in the UK: what do we know and what are we missing? [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]
title_full Estimating the epidemiology of chronic Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection in the UK: what do we know and what are we missing? [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]
title_fullStr Estimating the epidemiology of chronic Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection in the UK: what do we know and what are we missing? [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the epidemiology of chronic Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection in the UK: what do we know and what are we missing? [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]
title_short Estimating the epidemiology of chronic Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) infection in the UK: what do we know and what are we missing? [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]
title_sort estimating the epidemiology of chronic hepatitis b virus hbv infection in the uk what do we know and what are we missing version 2 peer review 1 approved 2 approved with reservations
topic hepatitis B virus
HBV
prevalence
epidemiology
eng
url https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/7-203/v2
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