Does Fiscal Policy Matter? A Study on Economic Crises in Indonesia

Fiscal policy is one of the instruments used by the government in dealing with economic crises. The recent COVID-19 pandemic crisis has different characteristics from the previous ones in  Indonesia. Hence, the fiscal policy needed is also different. Therefore, this study aims to know the role of fi...

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Main Authors: Sri Rejeki Prasasti, Mahjus Ekananda
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Negeri Semarang 2023-03-01
Series:JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journal.unnes.ac.id/nju/index.php/jejak/article/view/37532
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author Sri Rejeki Prasasti
Mahjus Ekananda
author_facet Sri Rejeki Prasasti
Mahjus Ekananda
author_sort Sri Rejeki Prasasti
collection DOAJ
description Fiscal policy is one of the instruments used by the government in dealing with economic crises. The recent COVID-19 pandemic crisis has different characteristics from the previous ones in  Indonesia. Hence, the fiscal policy needed is also different. Therefore, this study aims to know the role of fiscal policy shocks in affecting some macroeconomic indicators, including GDP, inflation, and interest rate, in Indonesia and investigate its differences within two periods: Period I (1993Q1-2018Q4), which includes the Asian Financial Crisis and the Global Financial Crisis, and Period II (2019M1-2021M12), which include the COVID-19 Pandemic crisis. This study employs the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model, using institutional information of the government budget system as restrictions. This study concludes that: 1) shocks in fiscal policies significantly affect GDP in both periods; 2) the dynamic movement of GDP is more influenced by government spending than government revenue; 3) fiscal policy, especially revenue, has greater influences on inflation during the COVID-19 Pandemic; 4) fiscal policy has a minor role in affecting the interest rate.
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spelling doaj.art-5c0d5b02438147128d5ef000bea20c882023-07-03T03:03:21ZengUniversitas Negeri SemarangJEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan2460-51232023-03-0116110.15294/jejak.v16i1.3753213684Does Fiscal Policy Matter? A Study on Economic Crises in IndonesiaSri Rejeki Prasasti0Mahjus Ekananda1Universitas IndonesiaUniversitas IndonesiaFiscal policy is one of the instruments used by the government in dealing with economic crises. The recent COVID-19 pandemic crisis has different characteristics from the previous ones in  Indonesia. Hence, the fiscal policy needed is also different. Therefore, this study aims to know the role of fiscal policy shocks in affecting some macroeconomic indicators, including GDP, inflation, and interest rate, in Indonesia and investigate its differences within two periods: Period I (1993Q1-2018Q4), which includes the Asian Financial Crisis and the Global Financial Crisis, and Period II (2019M1-2021M12), which include the COVID-19 Pandemic crisis. This study employs the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model, using institutional information of the government budget system as restrictions. This study concludes that: 1) shocks in fiscal policies significantly affect GDP in both periods; 2) the dynamic movement of GDP is more influenced by government spending than government revenue; 3) fiscal policy, especially revenue, has greater influences on inflation during the COVID-19 Pandemic; 4) fiscal policy has a minor role in affecting the interest rate.https://journal.unnes.ac.id/nju/index.php/jejak/article/view/37532fiscal policy, economic crises, structural vector autoregression
spellingShingle Sri Rejeki Prasasti
Mahjus Ekananda
Does Fiscal Policy Matter? A Study on Economic Crises in Indonesia
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan
fiscal policy, economic crises, structural vector autoregression
title Does Fiscal Policy Matter? A Study on Economic Crises in Indonesia
title_full Does Fiscal Policy Matter? A Study on Economic Crises in Indonesia
title_fullStr Does Fiscal Policy Matter? A Study on Economic Crises in Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Does Fiscal Policy Matter? A Study on Economic Crises in Indonesia
title_short Does Fiscal Policy Matter? A Study on Economic Crises in Indonesia
title_sort does fiscal policy matter a study on economic crises in indonesia
topic fiscal policy, economic crises, structural vector autoregression
url https://journal.unnes.ac.id/nju/index.php/jejak/article/view/37532
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AT mahjusekananda doesfiscalpolicymatterastudyoneconomiccrisesinindonesia