An optimized fractional grey model based on weighted least squares and its application

The fractional grey model is an effective tool for modeling small samples of data. Due to its essential characteristics of mathematical modeling, it has attracted considerable interest from scholars. A number of compelling methods have been proposed by many scholars in order to improve the accuracy...

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Main Authors: Caixia Liu, Wanli Xie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2023-01-01
Series:AIMS Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/math.2023198?viewType=HTML
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author Caixia Liu
Wanli Xie
author_facet Caixia Liu
Wanli Xie
author_sort Caixia Liu
collection DOAJ
description The fractional grey model is an effective tool for modeling small samples of data. Due to its essential characteristics of mathematical modeling, it has attracted considerable interest from scholars. A number of compelling methods have been proposed by many scholars in order to improve the accuracy and extend the scope of the application of the model. Examples include initial value optimization, order optimization, etc. The weighted least squares approach is used in this paper in order to enhance the model's accuracy. The first step in this study is to develop a novel fractional prediction model based on weighted least squares operators. Thereafter, the accumulative order of the proposed model is determined, and the stability of the optimization algorithm is assessed. Lastly, three actual cases are presented to verify the validity of the model, and the error variance of the model is further explored. Based on the results, the proposed model is more accurate than the comparison models, and it can be applied to real-world situations.
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spelling doaj.art-5c467777e01d4e4eb7fa2c37f9bfe4f62023-01-18T01:14:03ZengAIMS PressAIMS Mathematics2473-69882023-01-01823949396810.3934/math.2023198An optimized fractional grey model based on weighted least squares and its applicationCaixia Liu 0Wanli Xie11. College of Intelligent Education, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou, China 2. Jiangsu Engineering Research Center of Educational Informationization, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou, China3. College of Communication, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, ChinaThe fractional grey model is an effective tool for modeling small samples of data. Due to its essential characteristics of mathematical modeling, it has attracted considerable interest from scholars. A number of compelling methods have been proposed by many scholars in order to improve the accuracy and extend the scope of the application of the model. Examples include initial value optimization, order optimization, etc. The weighted least squares approach is used in this paper in order to enhance the model's accuracy. The first step in this study is to develop a novel fractional prediction model based on weighted least squares operators. Thereafter, the accumulative order of the proposed model is determined, and the stability of the optimization algorithm is assessed. Lastly, three actual cases are presented to verify the validity of the model, and the error variance of the model is further explored. Based on the results, the proposed model is more accurate than the comparison models, and it can be applied to real-world situations.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/math.2023198?viewType=HTMLgrey modelfractional-order accumulationweighted least squareswater consumption
spellingShingle Caixia Liu
Wanli Xie
An optimized fractional grey model based on weighted least squares and its application
AIMS Mathematics
grey model
fractional-order accumulation
weighted least squares
water consumption
title An optimized fractional grey model based on weighted least squares and its application
title_full An optimized fractional grey model based on weighted least squares and its application
title_fullStr An optimized fractional grey model based on weighted least squares and its application
title_full_unstemmed An optimized fractional grey model based on weighted least squares and its application
title_short An optimized fractional grey model based on weighted least squares and its application
title_sort optimized fractional grey model based on weighted least squares and its application
topic grey model
fractional-order accumulation
weighted least squares
water consumption
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/math.2023198?viewType=HTML
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