An improved LSTM-Seq2Seq-based forecasting method for electricity load

Power load forecasting has gained considerable research interest in recent years. The power load is vulnerable to randomness and uncertainty during power grid operations. Therefore, it is crucial to effectively predict the electric load and improve the accuracy of the prediction. This study proposes...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yangyang Mu, Ming Wang, Xuehan Zheng, He Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Energy Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2022.1093667/full
_version_ 1797943574504931328
author Yangyang Mu
Ming Wang
Xuehan Zheng
He Gao
He Gao
author_facet Yangyang Mu
Ming Wang
Xuehan Zheng
He Gao
He Gao
author_sort Yangyang Mu
collection DOAJ
description Power load forecasting has gained considerable research interest in recent years. The power load is vulnerable to randomness and uncertainty during power grid operations. Therefore, it is crucial to effectively predict the electric load and improve the accuracy of the prediction. This study proposes a novel power load forecasting method based on an improved long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network. Thus, an long short-term memory neural network model is established for power load forecasting, which supports variable-length inputs and outputs. The conventional convolutional neural network (CNN) and recurrent neural network (RNN) cannot reflect the sequence dependence between the output labels. Therefore, the LSTM-Seq2Seq prediction model was established by combining the sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) structure with that of the long short-term memory model to improve the prediction accuracy. Four prediction models, i.e., long short-term memory, deep belief network (DBN), support vector machine (SVM), and LSTM-Seq2Seq, were simulated and tested on two different datasets. The results demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed LSTM-Seq2Seq method. In the future, this model can be extended to more prediction application scenarios.
first_indexed 2024-04-10T20:26:20Z
format Article
id doaj.art-5c4b3e61724649c0a0d902df5b641a98
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2296-598X
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-10T20:26:20Z
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Energy Research
spelling doaj.art-5c4b3e61724649c0a0d902df5b641a982023-01-25T10:25:04ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Energy Research2296-598X2023-01-011010.3389/fenrg.2022.10936671093667An improved LSTM-Seq2Seq-based forecasting method for electricity loadYangyang Mu0Ming Wang1Xuehan Zheng2He Gao3He Gao4School of Information and Electrical Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan, ChinaSchool of Information and Electrical Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan, ChinaSchool of Information and Electrical Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan, ChinaSchool of Information and Electrical Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan, ChinaShandong Zhengchen Technology Co., Ltd, Jinan, ChinaPower load forecasting has gained considerable research interest in recent years. The power load is vulnerable to randomness and uncertainty during power grid operations. Therefore, it is crucial to effectively predict the electric load and improve the accuracy of the prediction. This study proposes a novel power load forecasting method based on an improved long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network. Thus, an long short-term memory neural network model is established for power load forecasting, which supports variable-length inputs and outputs. The conventional convolutional neural network (CNN) and recurrent neural network (RNN) cannot reflect the sequence dependence between the output labels. Therefore, the LSTM-Seq2Seq prediction model was established by combining the sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) structure with that of the long short-term memory model to improve the prediction accuracy. Four prediction models, i.e., long short-term memory, deep belief network (DBN), support vector machine (SVM), and LSTM-Seq2Seq, were simulated and tested on two different datasets. The results demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed LSTM-Seq2Seq method. In the future, this model can be extended to more prediction application scenarios.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2022.1093667/fullpower load forecastingLSTM neural networksmart gridseq2seqdeep learning
spellingShingle Yangyang Mu
Ming Wang
Xuehan Zheng
He Gao
He Gao
An improved LSTM-Seq2Seq-based forecasting method for electricity load
Frontiers in Energy Research
power load forecasting
LSTM neural network
smart grid
seq2seq
deep learning
title An improved LSTM-Seq2Seq-based forecasting method for electricity load
title_full An improved LSTM-Seq2Seq-based forecasting method for electricity load
title_fullStr An improved LSTM-Seq2Seq-based forecasting method for electricity load
title_full_unstemmed An improved LSTM-Seq2Seq-based forecasting method for electricity load
title_short An improved LSTM-Seq2Seq-based forecasting method for electricity load
title_sort improved lstm seq2seq based forecasting method for electricity load
topic power load forecasting
LSTM neural network
smart grid
seq2seq
deep learning
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2022.1093667/full
work_keys_str_mv AT yangyangmu animprovedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload
AT mingwang animprovedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload
AT xuehanzheng animprovedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload
AT hegao animprovedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload
AT hegao animprovedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload
AT yangyangmu improvedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload
AT mingwang improvedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload
AT xuehanzheng improvedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload
AT hegao improvedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload
AT hegao improvedlstmseq2seqbasedforecastingmethodforelectricityload