Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in Brazil: implications for the immunisation policy for at-risk populations

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is the leading cause of hospitalisation for respiratory diseases among children under 5 years old. The aim of this study was to analyse RSV seasonality in the five distinct regions of Brazil using time series analysis (wavelet and Fourier series) of the fo...

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Main Authors: André Ricardo Ribas Freitas, Maria Rita Donalisio
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ) 2016-01-01
Series:Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762016005005101&lng=en&tlng=en
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author André Ricardo Ribas Freitas
Maria Rita Donalisio
author_facet André Ricardo Ribas Freitas
Maria Rita Donalisio
author_sort André Ricardo Ribas Freitas
collection DOAJ
description Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is the leading cause of hospitalisation for respiratory diseases among children under 5 years old. The aim of this study was to analyse RSV seasonality in the five distinct regions of Brazil using time series analysis (wavelet and Fourier series) of the following indicators: monthly positivity of the immunofluorescence reaction for RSV identified by virologic surveillance system, and rate of hospitalisations per bronchiolitis and pneumonia due to RSV in children under 5 years old (codes CID-10 J12.1, J20.5, J21.0 and J21.9). A total of 12,501 samples with 11.6% positivity for RSV (95% confidence interval 11 - 12.2), varying between 7.1 and 21.4% in the five Brazilian regions, was analysed. A strong trend for annual cycles with a stable stationary pattern in the five regions was identified through wavelet analysis of the indicators. The timing of RSV activity by Fourier analysis was similar between the two indicators analysed and showed regional differences. This study reinforces the importance of adjusting the immunisation period for high risk population with the monoclonal antibody palivizumab taking into account regional differences in seasonality of RSV.
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spelling doaj.art-5c5ac93efa38456da8f2b2ff60b3ed382023-09-02T19:06:41ZengFundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz1678-80602016-01-01010.1590/0074-02760150341S0074-02762016005005101Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in Brazil: implications for the immunisation policy for at-risk populationsAndré Ricardo Ribas FreitasMaria Rita DonalisioRespiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is the leading cause of hospitalisation for respiratory diseases among children under 5 years old. The aim of this study was to analyse RSV seasonality in the five distinct regions of Brazil using time series analysis (wavelet and Fourier series) of the following indicators: monthly positivity of the immunofluorescence reaction for RSV identified by virologic surveillance system, and rate of hospitalisations per bronchiolitis and pneumonia due to RSV in children under 5 years old (codes CID-10 J12.1, J20.5, J21.0 and J21.9). A total of 12,501 samples with 11.6% positivity for RSV (95% confidence interval 11 - 12.2), varying between 7.1 and 21.4% in the five Brazilian regions, was analysed. A strong trend for annual cycles with a stable stationary pattern in the five regions was identified through wavelet analysis of the indicators. The timing of RSV activity by Fourier analysis was similar between the two indicators analysed and showed regional differences. This study reinforces the importance of adjusting the immunisation period for high risk population with the monoclonal antibody palivizumab taking into account regional differences in seasonality of RSV.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762016005005101&lng=en&tlng=enrespiratory syncytial virusseasonalitypalivizumabtime series analysis
spellingShingle André Ricardo Ribas Freitas
Maria Rita Donalisio
Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in Brazil: implications for the immunisation policy for at-risk populations
Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz
respiratory syncytial virus
seasonality
palivizumab
time series analysis
title Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in Brazil: implications for the immunisation policy for at-risk populations
title_full Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in Brazil: implications for the immunisation policy for at-risk populations
title_fullStr Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in Brazil: implications for the immunisation policy for at-risk populations
title_full_unstemmed Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in Brazil: implications for the immunisation policy for at-risk populations
title_short Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in Brazil: implications for the immunisation policy for at-risk populations
title_sort respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in brazil implications for the immunisation policy for at risk populations
topic respiratory syncytial virus
seasonality
palivizumab
time series analysis
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762016005005101&lng=en&tlng=en
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