Bovine anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe: spatio-temporal distribution and environmental drivers
AbstractUnderstanding the spatial and temporal distribution of Bovine anaplasmosis is crucial for identifying areas of high prevalence for targeted disease control. This research was aimed at modelling and mapping the B. anaplasmosis potential distribution, and identify hotspots as well as significa...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Taylor & Francis Group
2024-12-01
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| Series: | Veterinary Quarterly |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/01652176.2024.2306210 |
| _version_ | 1797341823135383552 |
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| author | Natasher Madyavanhu Munyaradzi Davis Shekede Samuel Kusangaya Davies Mubika Pfukenyi Sylvester Chikerema Isaiah Gwitira |
| author_facet | Natasher Madyavanhu Munyaradzi Davis Shekede Samuel Kusangaya Davies Mubika Pfukenyi Sylvester Chikerema Isaiah Gwitira |
| author_sort | Natasher Madyavanhu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | AbstractUnderstanding the spatial and temporal distribution of Bovine anaplasmosis is crucial for identifying areas of high prevalence for targeted disease control. This research was aimed at modelling and mapping the B. anaplasmosis potential distribution, and identify hotspots as well as significant variables explaining the occurrence of the disease. The Getis Ord Gi* statistic for Hotspot analysis was used as well as MaxEnt ecological niche modelling. The effects of time, land-use, and agro-ecological regions on B. anaplasmosis occurrence were tested using Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). Results showed that several districts in Zimbabwe are suitable for the occurence of the disease for example Binga, Seke, Buhera, Kwekwe, Gweru, Mhondoro, Chegutu, Sanyati, and in the North: Mbire, Muzarabani, Mt Darwin, Shamva, Bindura, Zvimba and Makonde. Morbidity and mortality hotspots were detected in Gokwe-south, Kwekwe, and Chirumhanzu districts. Binga, Gokwe-south, Gutu, Hurungwe, Mazoe, Nkayi, Shamva, and Kwekwe districts also experienced high disease incidences. Temperature seasonality, precipitation seasonality, mean diurnal range, and isothermality were the most important variables in explaining 93% of B. anaplasmosis distribution. Unlike land-use and agro-ecological regions, time (months) had a significant effect on B. anaplasmosis occurrence with July and September having significantly (p < 0.05) higher cases and deaths than the rest of the months. The results of this study provide insights into the management strategies and control of B. anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe. It is thus concluded that geo-spatial techniques, combined with ecological niche modelling can provide useful insights into disease prevalence and distribution and hence can contribute to effective management and control of B. anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T10:24:37Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-5ca11600a6dd43ed9f914e433a900d67 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0165-2176 1875-5941 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T10:24:37Z |
| publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
| publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Veterinary Quarterly |
| spelling | doaj.art-5ca11600a6dd43ed9f914e433a900d672024-01-27T08:41:02ZengTaylor & Francis GroupVeterinary Quarterly0165-21761875-59412024-12-0144111610.1080/01652176.2024.2306210Bovine anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe: spatio-temporal distribution and environmental driversNatasher Madyavanhu0Munyaradzi Davis Shekede1Samuel Kusangaya2Davies Mubika Pfukenyi3Sylvester Chikerema4Isaiah Gwitira5Department of Geography Geospatial Sciences and Earth Observation, Faculty of Science, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweDepartment of Geography Geospatial Sciences and Earth Observation, Faculty of Science, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweDepartment of Geography Geospatial Sciences and Earth Observation, Faculty of Science, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweDepartment of Veterinary Sciences, Faculty of Animal and Veterinary Sciences, Botswana University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Gaborone, BotswanaDepartment of Clinical Veterinary Studies, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweDepartment of Geography Geospatial Sciences and Earth Observation, Faculty of Science, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweAbstractUnderstanding the spatial and temporal distribution of Bovine anaplasmosis is crucial for identifying areas of high prevalence for targeted disease control. This research was aimed at modelling and mapping the B. anaplasmosis potential distribution, and identify hotspots as well as significant variables explaining the occurrence of the disease. The Getis Ord Gi* statistic for Hotspot analysis was used as well as MaxEnt ecological niche modelling. The effects of time, land-use, and agro-ecological regions on B. anaplasmosis occurrence were tested using Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). Results showed that several districts in Zimbabwe are suitable for the occurence of the disease for example Binga, Seke, Buhera, Kwekwe, Gweru, Mhondoro, Chegutu, Sanyati, and in the North: Mbire, Muzarabani, Mt Darwin, Shamva, Bindura, Zvimba and Makonde. Morbidity and mortality hotspots were detected in Gokwe-south, Kwekwe, and Chirumhanzu districts. Binga, Gokwe-south, Gutu, Hurungwe, Mazoe, Nkayi, Shamva, and Kwekwe districts also experienced high disease incidences. Temperature seasonality, precipitation seasonality, mean diurnal range, and isothermality were the most important variables in explaining 93% of B. anaplasmosis distribution. Unlike land-use and agro-ecological regions, time (months) had a significant effect on B. anaplasmosis occurrence with July and September having significantly (p < 0.05) higher cases and deaths than the rest of the months. The results of this study provide insights into the management strategies and control of B. anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe. It is thus concluded that geo-spatial techniques, combined with ecological niche modelling can provide useful insights into disease prevalence and distribution and hence can contribute to effective management and control of B. anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/01652176.2024.2306210Bovine anaplasmosishotspotclusteringMaxEntspatio-temporal distribution |
| spellingShingle | Natasher Madyavanhu Munyaradzi Davis Shekede Samuel Kusangaya Davies Mubika Pfukenyi Sylvester Chikerema Isaiah Gwitira Bovine anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe: spatio-temporal distribution and environmental drivers Veterinary Quarterly Bovine anaplasmosis hotspot clustering MaxEnt spatio-temporal distribution |
| title | Bovine anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe: spatio-temporal distribution and environmental drivers |
| title_full | Bovine anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe: spatio-temporal distribution and environmental drivers |
| title_fullStr | Bovine anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe: spatio-temporal distribution and environmental drivers |
| title_full_unstemmed | Bovine anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe: spatio-temporal distribution and environmental drivers |
| title_short | Bovine anaplasmosis in Zimbabwe: spatio-temporal distribution and environmental drivers |
| title_sort | bovine anaplasmosis in zimbabwe spatio temporal distribution and environmental drivers |
| topic | Bovine anaplasmosis hotspot clustering MaxEnt spatio-temporal distribution |
| url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/01652176.2024.2306210 |
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