Trends and Spatial Heterogeneity of Climate Extremes in the Southwestern Region of Bangladesh

This study attempts to investigate the climatic variability in the southwestern area of Bangladesh focusing on temperature and precipitation extremes. Long-term daily records of temperature and precipitation from six weather stations spread over the study area were analyzed. A total of 20 yearly ind...

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Main Authors: Tasnima SHIRIN, Tithi SAHA, Md. Hasibur RAHAMAN, Md. Arif CHOWDHURY, Ehsanul BARI, Tusar Kumar DAS, Mohammad Mahfuzur RAHMAN
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd. 2022-12-01
Series:Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2345748122500233
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author Tasnima SHIRIN
Tithi SAHA
Md. Hasibur RAHAMAN
Md. Arif CHOWDHURY
Ehsanul BARI
Tusar Kumar DAS
Mohammad Mahfuzur RAHMAN
author_facet Tasnima SHIRIN
Tithi SAHA
Md. Hasibur RAHAMAN
Md. Arif CHOWDHURY
Ehsanul BARI
Tusar Kumar DAS
Mohammad Mahfuzur RAHMAN
author_sort Tasnima SHIRIN
collection DOAJ
description This study attempts to investigate the climatic variability in the southwestern area of Bangladesh focusing on temperature and precipitation extremes. Long-term daily records of temperature and precipitation from six weather stations spread over the study area were analyzed. A total of 20 yearly indices were calculated and testified for the trends with the Mann–Kendal test and Sen’s estimator of slope at a 95% confidence interval. Moreover, one-way ANOVA and Tukey–Kramer post-hoc tests were applied to verify the spatial heterogeneity of the climatic indices among the meteorological stations. Findings revealed that Khulna is the worst affected area with significant changes in 12 climatic indices. Jessore and Faridpur followed Khulna with significant changes in 10 and 9 indices, respectively. Among the indices, significant changes in TN10p (frequencies of daily minimum temperature event that falls below the 10th percentile value), TX10p (frequencies of daily maximum temperature event that falls beyond the 10th percentile value), CSDI (cold spell duration indicator), and CDD (consecutive dry day) are the most common phenomenon in the studied region. Five out of six stations have been experiencing significant increasing trends for TN10p. That indicates an overall increase of extreme cold day frequencies in the area. Khulna station showed shreds of evidence of extreme cold temperature instances with a statistically significant fall in the minimum value of the yearly minimum temperatures (TNn). Besides, Khulna also experienced a statistically significant fall in the minimum value of the yearly maximum temperatures. Consistently, the area showed a significant trend of wider cold spells. Similarly, the extremely warm day frequencies have also been increasing significantly for the Khulna, Jessore, and Faridpur areas. Therefore, it is evident that the studied area has been experiencing temperature extremes. On the other hand, precipitation extremes are apparent for only Khulna and Jessore. Both these stations showed increasing trends in heavy precipitation events and wet spells (consecutive precipitation days). ANOVA outcome suggests that the study area has significant spatial heterogeneity in climatic indices. Precipitation indices show high spatial heterogeneity than those of temperature. Among the meteorological stations, Mongla and Ishwardi show the maximum departure than those of others. This study may help policy-makers, researchers, and academicians to take proper initiatives to reduce the impacts of changing climatic parameters in the coastal areas of Bangladesh.
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spelling doaj.art-5ca5caade3204de2b6cc9a541fa096ff2023-09-28T03:55:36ZengWorld Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd.Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies2345-74812345-752X2022-12-01100410.1142/S2345748122500233Trends and Spatial Heterogeneity of Climate Extremes in the Southwestern Region of BangladeshTasnima SHIRIN0Tithi SAHA1Md. Hasibur RAHAMAN2Md. Arif CHOWDHURY3Ehsanul BARI4Tusar Kumar DAS5Mohammad Mahfuzur RAHMAN6Department of Botany, Eden Mohila College, National University, Dhaka 1205, BangladeshDepartment of Environmental Science and Technology, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore 7408, BangladeshDepartment of Environmental Science and Technology, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore 7408, BangladeshDepartment of Climate and Disaster Management, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore 7408, BangladeshDepartment of Environmental Science and Technology, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore 7408, BangladeshDepartment of Environmental Science and Technology, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore 7408, BangladeshDepartment of Environmental Science and Technology, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore 7408, BangladeshThis study attempts to investigate the climatic variability in the southwestern area of Bangladesh focusing on temperature and precipitation extremes. Long-term daily records of temperature and precipitation from six weather stations spread over the study area were analyzed. A total of 20 yearly indices were calculated and testified for the trends with the Mann–Kendal test and Sen’s estimator of slope at a 95% confidence interval. Moreover, one-way ANOVA and Tukey–Kramer post-hoc tests were applied to verify the spatial heterogeneity of the climatic indices among the meteorological stations. Findings revealed that Khulna is the worst affected area with significant changes in 12 climatic indices. Jessore and Faridpur followed Khulna with significant changes in 10 and 9 indices, respectively. Among the indices, significant changes in TN10p (frequencies of daily minimum temperature event that falls below the 10th percentile value), TX10p (frequencies of daily maximum temperature event that falls beyond the 10th percentile value), CSDI (cold spell duration indicator), and CDD (consecutive dry day) are the most common phenomenon in the studied region. Five out of six stations have been experiencing significant increasing trends for TN10p. That indicates an overall increase of extreme cold day frequencies in the area. Khulna station showed shreds of evidence of extreme cold temperature instances with a statistically significant fall in the minimum value of the yearly minimum temperatures (TNn). Besides, Khulna also experienced a statistically significant fall in the minimum value of the yearly maximum temperatures. Consistently, the area showed a significant trend of wider cold spells. Similarly, the extremely warm day frequencies have also been increasing significantly for the Khulna, Jessore, and Faridpur areas. Therefore, it is evident that the studied area has been experiencing temperature extremes. On the other hand, precipitation extremes are apparent for only Khulna and Jessore. Both these stations showed increasing trends in heavy precipitation events and wet spells (consecutive precipitation days). ANOVA outcome suggests that the study area has significant spatial heterogeneity in climatic indices. Precipitation indices show high spatial heterogeneity than those of temperature. Among the meteorological stations, Mongla and Ishwardi show the maximum departure than those of others. This study may help policy-makers, researchers, and academicians to take proper initiatives to reduce the impacts of changing climatic parameters in the coastal areas of Bangladesh.https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2345748122500233Climatic indicesclimate extremesclimate changeBangladeshtrend analysis
spellingShingle Tasnima SHIRIN
Tithi SAHA
Md. Hasibur RAHAMAN
Md. Arif CHOWDHURY
Ehsanul BARI
Tusar Kumar DAS
Mohammad Mahfuzur RAHMAN
Trends and Spatial Heterogeneity of Climate Extremes in the Southwestern Region of Bangladesh
Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies
Climatic indices
climate extremes
climate change
Bangladesh
trend analysis
title Trends and Spatial Heterogeneity of Climate Extremes in the Southwestern Region of Bangladesh
title_full Trends and Spatial Heterogeneity of Climate Extremes in the Southwestern Region of Bangladesh
title_fullStr Trends and Spatial Heterogeneity of Climate Extremes in the Southwestern Region of Bangladesh
title_full_unstemmed Trends and Spatial Heterogeneity of Climate Extremes in the Southwestern Region of Bangladesh
title_short Trends and Spatial Heterogeneity of Climate Extremes in the Southwestern Region of Bangladesh
title_sort trends and spatial heterogeneity of climate extremes in the southwestern region of bangladesh
topic Climatic indices
climate extremes
climate change
Bangladesh
trend analysis
url https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2345748122500233
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