Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence
We estimate the impact of strict social distancing policies on isolation, COVID-19 cases and deaths, and employment in Brazil. Compiling social distancing decrees and combining them with publicly available data, we identify a set of treated municipalities that adopted lockdown between May and June...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Universidade de São Paulo
2023-06-01
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Series: | Estudos Econômicos |
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Online Access: | https://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/193446 |
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author | Angelo Kisil Marino Naercio Menezes-Filho |
author_facet | Angelo Kisil Marino Naercio Menezes-Filho |
author_sort | Angelo Kisil Marino |
collection | DOAJ |
description |
We estimate the impact of strict social distancing policies on isolation, COVID-19 cases and deaths, and employment in Brazil. Compiling social distancing decrees and combining them with publicly available data, we identify a set of treated municipalities that adopted lockdown between May and June 2021 in the State of São Paulo and build a control group with cities from the same Regional Health Departments. We estimate the lockdown effects using a Difference- -in-Differences model with two-way fixed effects and staggered adoption. Our findings suggest that the policy increased social distancing one week after its adoption, decreased cases from two weeks on, reduced deaths from four weeks on, and did not significantly impact employment.
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first_indexed | 2024-03-13T02:43:20Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-5cb39dad57a8431d9071da4553b8b2b6 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 0101-4161 1980-5357 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-13T02:43:20Z |
publishDate | 2023-06-01 |
publisher | Universidade de São Paulo |
record_format | Article |
series | Estudos Econômicos |
spelling | doaj.art-5cb39dad57a8431d9071da4553b8b2b62023-06-28T20:50:21ZengUniversidade de São PauloEstudos Econômicos0101-41611980-53572023-06-01532Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidenceAngelo Kisil Marino0Naercio Menezes-Filho1The University of ChicagoInsper e Universidade de São Paulo We estimate the impact of strict social distancing policies on isolation, COVID-19 cases and deaths, and employment in Brazil. Compiling social distancing decrees and combining them with publicly available data, we identify a set of treated municipalities that adopted lockdown between May and June 2021 in the State of São Paulo and build a control group with cities from the same Regional Health Departments. We estimate the lockdown effects using a Difference- -in-Differences model with two-way fixed effects and staggered adoption. Our findings suggest that the policy increased social distancing one week after its adoption, decreased cases from two weeks on, reduced deaths from four weeks on, and did not significantly impact employment. https://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/193446COVID-19LockdownMortalityEmploymentBrazil |
spellingShingle | Angelo Kisil Marino Naercio Menezes-Filho Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence Estudos Econômicos COVID-19 Lockdown Mortality Employment Brazil |
title | Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence |
title_full | Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence |
title_fullStr | Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence |
title_full_unstemmed | Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence |
title_short | Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence |
title_sort | lockdown and covid 19 brazilian evidence |
topic | COVID-19 Lockdown Mortality Employment Brazil |
url | https://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/193446 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT angelokisilmarino lockdownandcovid19brazilianevidence AT naerciomenezesfilho lockdownandcovid19brazilianevidence |