Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence

We estimate the impact of strict social distancing policies on isolation, COVID-19 cases and deaths, and employment in Brazil. Compiling social distancing decrees and combining them with publicly available data, we identify a set of treated municipalities that adopted lockdown between May and June...

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Main Authors: Angelo Kisil Marino, Naercio Menezes-Filho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 2023-06-01
Series:Estudos Econômicos
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/193446
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author Angelo Kisil Marino
Naercio Menezes-Filho
author_facet Angelo Kisil Marino
Naercio Menezes-Filho
author_sort Angelo Kisil Marino
collection DOAJ
description We estimate the impact of strict social distancing policies on isolation, COVID-19 cases and deaths, and employment in Brazil. Compiling social distancing decrees and combining them with publicly available data, we identify a set of treated municipalities that adopted lockdown between May and June 2021 in the State of São Paulo and build a control group with cities from the same Regional Health Departments. We estimate the lockdown effects using a Difference- -in-Differences model with two-way fixed effects and staggered adoption. Our findings suggest that the policy increased social distancing one week after its adoption, decreased cases from two weeks on, reduced deaths from four weeks on, and did not significantly impact employment.
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spelling doaj.art-5cb39dad57a8431d9071da4553b8b2b62023-06-28T20:50:21ZengUniversidade de São PauloEstudos Econômicos0101-41611980-53572023-06-01532Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidenceAngelo Kisil Marino0Naercio Menezes-Filho1The University of ChicagoInsper e Universidade de São Paulo We estimate the impact of strict social distancing policies on isolation, COVID-19 cases and deaths, and employment in Brazil. Compiling social distancing decrees and combining them with publicly available data, we identify a set of treated municipalities that adopted lockdown between May and June 2021 in the State of São Paulo and build a control group with cities from the same Regional Health Departments. We estimate the lockdown effects using a Difference- -in-Differences model with two-way fixed effects and staggered adoption. Our findings suggest that the policy increased social distancing one week after its adoption, decreased cases from two weeks on, reduced deaths from four weeks on, and did not significantly impact employment. https://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/193446COVID-19LockdownMortalityEmploymentBrazil
spellingShingle Angelo Kisil Marino
Naercio Menezes-Filho
Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence
Estudos Econômicos
COVID-19
Lockdown
Mortality
Employment
Brazil
title Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence
title_full Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence
title_fullStr Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence
title_full_unstemmed Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence
title_short Lockdown and Covid-19:Brazilian evidence
title_sort lockdown and covid 19 brazilian evidence
topic COVID-19
Lockdown
Mortality
Employment
Brazil
url https://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/193446
work_keys_str_mv AT angelokisilmarino lockdownandcovid19brazilianevidence
AT naerciomenezesfilho lockdownandcovid19brazilianevidence