Modelling Shifts and Contraction of Seed Zones in Two Mexican Pine Species by Using Molecular Markers
A seed zone or provenance region is an area within which plants can be moved with little risk of maladaptation because of the low environmental variation. Delineation of seed zones is of great importance for commercial plantations and reforestation and restoration programs. In this study, we used AF...
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MDPI AG
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/5/570 |
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| author | Sergio Leonel Simental-Rodriguez Alberto Pérez-Luna José Ciro Hernández-Díaz Juan Pablo Jaramillo-Correa Carlos A. López-Sánchez Lluvia Flores-Rentería Artemio Carrillo-Parra Christian Wehenkel |
| author_facet | Sergio Leonel Simental-Rodriguez Alberto Pérez-Luna José Ciro Hernández-Díaz Juan Pablo Jaramillo-Correa Carlos A. López-Sánchez Lluvia Flores-Rentería Artemio Carrillo-Parra Christian Wehenkel |
| author_sort | Sergio Leonel Simental-Rodriguez |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | A seed zone or provenance region is an area within which plants can be moved with little risk of maladaptation because of the low environmental variation. Delineation of seed zones is of great importance for commercial plantations and reforestation and restoration programs. In this study, we used AFLP markers associated with environmental variation for locating and delimiting seed zones for two widespread and economically important Mexican pine species (<i>Pinus arizonica</i> Engelm. and <i>P. durangensis</i> Martínez), both based on recent climate conditions and under a predicted climate scenario for 2030 (Representative Concentration Pathway of ~4.5 Wm<sup>−2</sup>). We expected to observe: (i) associations between seed zones and local climate, soil and geographical factors, and (ii) a meaning latitudinal shift of seed zones, along with a contraction of species distributions for the period 1990–2030 in a northward direction. Some AFLP outliers were significantly associated with spring and winter precipitation, and with phosphorus concentration in the soil. According to the scenario for 2030, the estimated species and seed zone distributions will change both in size and position. Our modeling of seed zones could contribute to reducing the probabilities of maladaptation of future reforestations and plantations with the pine species studied. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T11:45:12Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-5cd3e24988c645c0a0fdc815715f01be |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1999-4907 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T11:45:12Z |
| publishDate | 2021-05-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Forests |
| spelling | doaj.art-5cd3e24988c645c0a0fdc815715f01be2023-11-21T18:09:22ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072021-05-0112557010.3390/f12050570Modelling Shifts and Contraction of Seed Zones in Two Mexican Pine Species by Using Molecular MarkersSergio Leonel Simental-Rodriguez0Alberto Pérez-Luna1José Ciro Hernández-Díaz2Juan Pablo Jaramillo-Correa3Carlos A. López-Sánchez4Lluvia Flores-Rentería5Artemio Carrillo-Parra6Christian Wehenkel7Programa Institucional de Doctorado en Ciencias Agropecuarias y Forestales, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango, Durango 34000, MexicoPrograma Institucional de Doctorado en Ciencias Agropecuarias y Forestales, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango, Durango 34000, MexicoInstituto de Silvicultura e Industria de la Madera, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango, Durango 34120, MexicoInstituto de Ecología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City 04510, MexicoSMartForest Group, Department of Biology of Organisms and Systems, Mieres Polytechnic School, University of Oviedo, Campus Universitario de Mieres, C/Gonzalo Gutiérrez Quirós S/N, 33600 Mieres, SpainDepartment of Biology, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182, USAInstituto de Silvicultura e Industria de la Madera, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango, Durango 34120, MexicoInstituto de Silvicultura e Industria de la Madera, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango, Durango 34120, MexicoA seed zone or provenance region is an area within which plants can be moved with little risk of maladaptation because of the low environmental variation. Delineation of seed zones is of great importance for commercial plantations and reforestation and restoration programs. In this study, we used AFLP markers associated with environmental variation for locating and delimiting seed zones for two widespread and economically important Mexican pine species (<i>Pinus arizonica</i> Engelm. and <i>P. durangensis</i> Martínez), both based on recent climate conditions and under a predicted climate scenario for 2030 (Representative Concentration Pathway of ~4.5 Wm<sup>−2</sup>). We expected to observe: (i) associations between seed zones and local climate, soil and geographical factors, and (ii) a meaning latitudinal shift of seed zones, along with a contraction of species distributions for the period 1990–2030 in a northward direction. Some AFLP outliers were significantly associated with spring and winter precipitation, and with phosphorus concentration in the soil. According to the scenario for 2030, the estimated species and seed zone distributions will change both in size and position. Our modeling of seed zones could contribute to reducing the probabilities of maladaptation of future reforestations and plantations with the pine species studied.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/5/570RDAgene-environment associationslocuswaikato environment for knowledge analysisWorldClim |
| spellingShingle | Sergio Leonel Simental-Rodriguez Alberto Pérez-Luna José Ciro Hernández-Díaz Juan Pablo Jaramillo-Correa Carlos A. López-Sánchez Lluvia Flores-Rentería Artemio Carrillo-Parra Christian Wehenkel Modelling Shifts and Contraction of Seed Zones in Two Mexican Pine Species by Using Molecular Markers Forests RDA gene-environment associations locus waikato environment for knowledge analysis WorldClim |
| title | Modelling Shifts and Contraction of Seed Zones in Two Mexican Pine Species by Using Molecular Markers |
| title_full | Modelling Shifts and Contraction of Seed Zones in Two Mexican Pine Species by Using Molecular Markers |
| title_fullStr | Modelling Shifts and Contraction of Seed Zones in Two Mexican Pine Species by Using Molecular Markers |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modelling Shifts and Contraction of Seed Zones in Two Mexican Pine Species by Using Molecular Markers |
| title_short | Modelling Shifts and Contraction of Seed Zones in Two Mexican Pine Species by Using Molecular Markers |
| title_sort | modelling shifts and contraction of seed zones in two mexican pine species by using molecular markers |
| topic | RDA gene-environment associations locus waikato environment for knowledge analysis WorldClim |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/5/570 |
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